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Hogsbo W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 97-101 (OT)
27-25 14-20 13-21 25-13 18-22
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game73.1
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Sodertalje W 🏆
Sweden
Position#6
Record14-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.1
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Quarter-finals· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W
27 Feb 2027
HOGS v SODE
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
HOGS97
SODE101
22 Nov 2025
HOGS61
SODE53
23 Nov 2024
HOGS86
SODE62
02 Dec 2023
HOGS51
SODE82
08 Oct 2022
HOGS65
SODE103
27 Dec 2021
HOGS69
SODE64
04 Nov 2020
HOGS94
SODE60
27 Nov 2019
HOGS82
SODE62
23 Feb 2019
HOGS64
SODE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#12
W
82-67
82
67
+15
68avg 77
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 77
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
58avg 77
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 77
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
67-62
67
62
+5
52avg 77
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
84avg 77
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 77
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
94-61
94
61
+33
89avg 77
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 77
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 77
A21/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-15
17-12
28-22
20-18
21-24
19-24
27-16
27-23
15-20
15-23
16-25
26-21
17-17
21-19
19-20
19-11
13-16
18-6
17-29
31-11
17-15
16-18
25-19
23-16
20-19
15-28
17-27
20-16
24-13
32-13
18-19
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
156.2Avg total
82.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.773.1157.8+11.671%
Season at home (12)86.172.3158.4+13.875%
Season away (12)83.273.8157.1+9.467%
Last 10 (10)82.274.0156.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)86.072.2158.2+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.2161.2-9.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.575.9154.4+2.555%
vs Weaker (14)86.668.9155.5+17.679%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
81-62
81
62
+19
79avg 71
A10/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
100avg 71
H21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 71
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
85-67
85
67
+18
85avg 71
H07/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
88-69
88
69
+19
82avg 71
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
79avg 71
H18/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 71
A22/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
103-59
103
59
+44
103avg 71
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
96-52
96
52
+44
90avg 71
H08/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
48avg 71
A21/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
22-20
19-18
19-9
23-23
26-15
20-15
24-20
23-11
26-22
12-19
28-20
18-14
26-24
21-14
20-15
21-20
31-12
16-16
20-21
25-23
15-24
22-18
15-22
20-24
23-23
18-11
7-11
27-17
25-13
31-12
20-17
25-7
17-15
28-16
26-14
20-28
21-13
10-16
15-11
152.4Avg total
84.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.769.1148.8+10.558%
Season at home (12)83.468.2151.6+15.275%
Season away (12)75.970.1146.0+5.842%
Last 10 (10)84.667.8152.4+16.870%
Last 5 (5)82.067.0149.0+15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.491.0156.4-25.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.472.3149.7+5.150%
vs Weaker (15)81.363.5144.8+17.773%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
Hogsbo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
76.2Avg total
41.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.177.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.576.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.076.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.476.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.537.075.5+1.555%-
vs Weaker (14)42.334.476.6+7.979%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H18/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H08/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/03
Basketligan W
81.8Avg total
45.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.576.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.277.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.636.875.3+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.381.8+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.481.0+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.648.679.2-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.837.477.2+2.450%-
vs Weaker (15)42.531.974.4+10.780%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.9
53.4%
46.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.8
26.9%
31.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.9
78.5%
72.5%17.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.3
50.7%
46.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.6
35.3%
31.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
72.5%14.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LWWLWWWLWW
Sodertalje W
LWWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#6
+8.6
Net rating
+18.7
88.5
Offensive rating
94.9
79.9
Defensive rating
76.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
51.4%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.9%
3-point %
35.3%
63.9%
Assist %
71.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 94.9Defence79.9 · 76.2Shooting47.7% · 51.4%3-point %26.9% · 35.3%Ball care17.2% · 15.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
6
Sodertalje W wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W61-53
28/09/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W91-86 OT
22/02/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W70-74
23/11/24Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W86-62
28/02/24Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W79-59
02/12/23Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W51-82
15/03/23Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W121-55
08/10/22Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W65-103
27/12/21Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W69-64
05/12/21Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W68-61
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
01/03/26HAlvik W94-61
28/02/26HUppsala W75-90
21/02/26HVisby W89-63
14/02/26AAlvik W67-62
11/02/26ALund W83-77
07/02/26HNorrkoping W73-91
30/01/26HLulea W87-82
24/01/26AVisby W82-67
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AAIK Basket W66-68
08/03/26HVisby W96-52
28/02/26HBrahe W103-59
22/02/26AOstersund W68-69
18/02/26HLulea W77-87
11/02/26AAlvik W88-69
07/02/26HUppsala W85-67
31/01/26ANorrkoping W89-72
21/01/26HAlvik W93-73
10/01/26ARIG Lulea W81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game84.786.183.2
Allowed / game73.172.373.8
Point differential+11.6+13.8+9.4
Avg total157.8158.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game79.783.475.9
Allowed / game69.168.270.1
Point differential+10.5+15.2+5.8
Avg total148.8151.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2523292%91.263.6+27.6
2 Uppsala W2519676%80.369.8+10.4
3 Hogsbo W2417771%84.773.1+11.6
4 Ostersund W2517868%82.473.9+8.5
5 AIK Basket W2516964%77.873.5+4.3
6 Sodertalje W24141058%79.769.1+10.5
7 Norrkoping W25141156%81.974.0+7.9
8 Malbas Malmo W25131252%73.777.4-3.7
9 Lund W2491538%77.978.8-0.9
10 Alvik W2481633%72.075.7-3.7
11 Brahe W2471729%67.278.1-10.8
12 Visby W241234%57.889.1-31.3
13 RIG Lulea W241234%53.286.0-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hogsbo W271413251897
Sodertalje W2520211322101
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