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Horsens vs Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-78
15-21 25-24 23-13 25-20
Position#3
Record21-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.7
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#8
Record9-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game87.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Copenhagen
04 Feb 2027
HORS v COPE
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
HORS83
COPE85
30 Sep 2025
HORS84
COPE83
21 Apr 2025
HORS88
COPE78
05 Jan 2025
HORS99
COPE78
08 Jan 2024
HORS71
COPE42
02 Oct 2022
HORS97
COPE76
19 Feb 2022
HORS102
COPE104
23 Jan 2021
HORS85
COPE64
27 Oct 2019
HORS107
COPE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Copenhagen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
86avg 78
H13/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 78
H03/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
76-96
76
96
-20
62avg 78
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-84
86
84
+2
69avg 78
H13/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
74avg 78
A17/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 78
H24/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-85
75
85
-10
65avg 78
A27/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 78
A03/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
44avg 78
A07/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 78
A16/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
36-16
21-25
13-19
27-13
23-21
16-22
18-18
19-17
17-32
26-21
14-26
10-17
25-19
27-26
24-22
24-10
18-27
15-15
20-32
21-13
16-22
28-24
18-22
15-12
22-28
20-25
18-20
28-27
22-13
20-13
22-22
16-11
12-25
19-29
14-26
24-22
16-18
24-4
22-21
162.6Avg total
81.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.079.7165.7+6.372%
Season at home (14)87.078.9165.9+8.186%
Season away (15)85.180.4165.5+4.760%
Last 10 (10)81.381.3162.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)79.479.4158.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.083.5162.5-4.545%
vs Similar (4)85.885.2171.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.075.9167.9+16.193%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
103-56
103
56
+47
105avg 72
H13/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
99-87
99
87
+12
88avg 72
A03/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
65avg 72
H06/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
49avg 72
A13/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
44avg 72
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 72
A24/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
68avg 72
H28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 72
A31/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
112-104
112
104
+8
103avg 72
H11/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
52avg 72
H16/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
27-16
32-20
18-10
24-17
19-21
26-34
30-15
17-27
22-24
12-20
22-20
11-28
15-26
28-25
18-29
15-23
16-25
17-21
14-24
20-26
17-30
15-18
17-18
20-16
23-23
20-32
21-28
18-23
15-27
18-14
25-23
31-19
25-29
29-25
27-31
22-24
18-16
4-24
21-22
171.8Avg total
81.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.887.4169.2-5.631%
Season at home (15)84.185.3169.5-1.240%
Season away (14)79.489.6169.0-10.321%
Last 10 (10)81.590.3171.8-8.830%
Last 5 (5)81.293.6174.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.993.4172.4-14.511%
vs Similar (6)85.784.2169.8+1.567%
vs Weaker (4)89.863.8153.5+26.075%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
HorsensCopenhagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H24/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A16/04
Basketligaen
79.5Avg total
41.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.981.5+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.536.581.1+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.381.9+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.179.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.938.378.2+1.655%-
vs Similar (4)46.241.287.5+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.636.782.3+8.980%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H13/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H06/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A13/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A24/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/04
Basketligaen
85.1Avg total
40.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.884.7-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.346.084.3-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.085.1-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.688.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.947.085.9-8.126%-
vs Similar (6)45.743.288.8+2.567%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.876.2+12.875%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.5
30.9%
32.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
70.2%12.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.3
52.6%
51.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
32.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.310.6
69.3%
70.2%10.6
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WLWLWLWLWW
Copenhagen
LWLLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#8
+0.0
Net rating
-10.8
102.7
Offensive rating
101.8
102.7
Defensive rating
112.6
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.9%
3-point %
30.5%
67.2%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 101.8Defence102.7 · 112.6Shooting49.1% · 49.9%3-point %30.9% · 30.5%Ball care17.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Horsens   ■ Copenhagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Horsens wins
1
Copenhagen wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Copenhagen v Horsens65-86
05/01/25Horsens v Copenhagen99-78
11/10/24Copenhagen v Horsens78-88
08/01/24Horsens v Copenhagen71-42
12/10/23Copenhagen v Horsens65-84
10/12/22Copenhagen v Horsens88-91
02/10/22Horsens v Copenhagen97-76
19/02/22Horsens v Copenhagen102-104
16/11/21Copenhagen v Horsens66-74
23/01/21Horsens v Copenhagen85-64
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25ACopenhagen86-65
07/04/25ASvendborg61-91
03/04/25ATeam FOG Naestved92-75
27/03/25ABakken Bears75-85
24/03/25HRanders83-81
17/03/25ARanders77-84
13/03/25HBakken Bears86-84
07/03/25HTeam FOG Naestved76-96
03/03/25HSvendborg84-74
13/02/25HTeam FOG Naestved93-78
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HHorsens65-86
11/04/25HTeam FOG Naestved112-104
31/03/25ARanders76-87
28/03/25HSvendborg84-99
24/03/25ABakken Bears69-92
21/03/25HBakken Bears62-93
13/03/25ASvendborg72-108
06/03/25HRanders73-91
03/03/25ATeam FOG Naestved99-87
13/02/25HBears Academy103-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %72%86%60%
Points / game86.087.085.1
Allowed / game79.778.980.4
Point differential+6.3+8.1+4.7
Avg total165.7165.9165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%43%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%40%21%
Points / game81.884.179.4
Allowed / game87.485.389.6
Point differential-5.6-1.2-10.3
Avg total169.2169.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2923679%88.776.0+12.7
2 Bakken Bears2921872%93.080.7+12.2
3 Horsens2921872%86.079.7+6.3
4 Randers2920969%91.681.3+10.3
5 Team FOG Naestved29191066%94.690.1+4.6
6 Amager27121544%87.690.3-2.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus27101737%83.391.0-7.8
8 Copenhagen2992031%81.887.4-5.6
9 Vaerlose2781930%79.388.9-9.6
10 Herlev Wolfpack2882029%78.788.1-9.4
11 Bears Academy2742315%75.789.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1525232588
Copenhagen2124132078
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