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Horsens vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-74
27-13 23-21 16-22 18-18
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.8
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game73.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Svendborg
16 Dec 2026
HORS v SVEN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
HORS92
SVEN74
17 Oct 2025
HORS76
SVEN72
03 Mar 2025
HORS84
SVEN74
03 Feb 2025
HORS75
SVEN72
10 May 2024
HORS94
SVEN87
05 Apr 2024
HORS80
SVEN70
11 Dec 2023
HORS75
SVEN81
03 Apr 2023
HORS101
SVEN98
10 Feb 2023
HORS98
SVEN102
02 May 2022
HORS90
SVEN87
25 Apr 2022
HORS96
SVEN100
06 Apr 2022
HORS84
SVEN88
30 Sep 2021
HORS77
SVEN93
21 Jan 2021
HORS86
SVEN81
15 Dec 2020
HORS88
SVEN69
05 Mar 2020
HORS93
SVEN86
17 Oct 2019
HORS78
SVEN59
02 Feb 2019
HORS105
SVEN70
10 Jan 2019
HORS102
SVEN80
06 Dec 2018
HORS105
SVEN78
01 Feb 2018
HORS90
SVEN81
15 Nov 2017
HORS71
SVEN67
12 Oct 2017
HORS91
SVEN78
21 Feb 2017
HORS77
SVEN91
11 Oct 2016
HORS100
SVEN86
03 Mar 2016
HORS84
SVEN79
01 Dec 2015
HORS84
SVEN50
24 Apr 2015
HORS87
SVEN71
17 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN102
08 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN71
08 Mar 2015
HORS79
SVEN100
15 Jan 2015
HORS80
SVEN78
09 Jan 2014
HORS89
SVEN77
17 Feb 2013
HORS95
SVEN84
18 Nov 2012
HORS76
SVEN85
02 Oct 2011
HORS78
SVEN105
31 Mar 2011
HORS66
SVEN88
24 Mar 2011
HORS97
SVEN84
27 Feb 2011
HORS87
SVEN89
07 Nov 2010
HORS96
SVEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
80avg 79
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
94avg 79
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
83avg 79
H27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
99-78
99
78
+21
93avg 79
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 79
A09/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 79
H19/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
74avg 79
A28/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 79
H03/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
80avg 79
A08/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
86avg 79
H13/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-27
21-18
18-15
30-15
27-25
20-15
22-16
19-24
36-18
17-22
23-27
20-15
24-16
26-23
29-24
20-26
19-30
15-15
30-18
17-13
27-22
28-20
15-22
19-15
24-15
21-19
23-26
10-17
31-14
20-15
14-26
23-16
25-16
25-19
16-18
23-18
36-16
21-25
13-19
169.5Avg total
90.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.878.8167.6+10.080%
Season at home (10)88.977.0165.9+11.990%
Season away (10)88.680.6169.2+8.070%
Last 10 (10)90.079.5169.5+10.580%
Last 5 (5)86.274.2160.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.282.0164.2+0.250%
vs Similar (7)88.391.9180.1-3.629%
vs Weaker (17)92.177.4169.5+14.794%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
89-58
89
58
+31
82avg 78
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
92avg 78
A12/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
90avg 78
A19/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
76avg 78
H29/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 78
A05/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
100avg 78
H10/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 78
A30/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 78
A03/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
82avg 78
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 78
A13/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
23-9
23-12
18-16
30-10
21-29
23-14
20-16
21-22
26-12
25-23
24-18
13-8
19-19
27-7
25-26
29-18
22-17
20-19
15-16
28-21
22-25
39-24
17-28
27-15
25-23
17-20
19-15
17-10
14-31
15-20
26-14
30-24
19-22
23-20
17-12
18-19
23-27
9-20
28-22
162.6Avg total
88.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.773.8161.5+13.985%
Season at home (10)85.771.0156.7+14.7100%
Season away (10)89.776.6166.3+13.170%
Last 10 (10)88.274.4162.6+13.880%
Last 5 (5)86.682.4169.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.694.0170.6-17.40%
vs Similar (5)86.479.0165.4+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.473.4161.8+15.088%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
HorsensSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A28/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H03/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A08/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/02
Basketligaen
85.1Avg total
47.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.284.9+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.637.884.4+8.869%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.885.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)47.237.985.1+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.032.479.4+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.839.783.5+4.267%-
vs Similar (7)44.743.688.3+1.129%-
vs Weaker (17)46.837.284.0+9.582%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A12/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A19/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H29/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A05/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H10/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A30/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/02
Basketligaen
83.4Avg total
45.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.780.6+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.676.9+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)43.240.683.9+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.283.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.446.386.7-5.929%-
vs Similar (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.334.977.2+7.471%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.9
35.3%
32.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.617.0
69.1%
70.2%17.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.6
54.7%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.414.3
66.8%
70.2%14.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWWWWLWWWL
Svendborg
LWLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+13.5
Net rating
+17.4
110.7
Offensive rating
111.7
97.2
Defensive rating
94.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
61.4%
Assist %
53.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 111.7Defence97.2 · 94.2Shooting52.9% · 53.1%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care15.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 35.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Horsens   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Horsens wins
4
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
03/02/25Horsens v Svendborg75-72
07/11/24Svendborg v Horsens78-67
10/05/24Horsens v Svendborg94-87
05/04/24Horsens v Svendborg80-70
11/03/24Svendborg v Horsens76-83
11/12/23Horsens v Svendborg75-81
14/09/23Svendborg v Horsens80-77
03/04/23Horsens v Svendborg101-98
06/03/23Svendborg v Horsens91-93
10/02/23Horsens v Svendborg98-102
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HTeam FOG Naestved93-78
08/02/25AVaerlose89-69
03/02/25HSvendborg75-72
28/01/25ABears Academy87-75
19/01/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-77
09/01/25ARanders84-89
05/01/25HCopenhagen99-78
27/12/24HBakken Bears95-91
18/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack99-71
14/12/24ABakken Bears92-95 OT
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25ABakken Bears78-88
09/02/25HAmager89-78
03/02/25AHorsens72-75
30/01/25ACopenhagen88-73
10/01/25HTeam FOG Naestved106-98
05/01/25AVaerlose86-70
29/12/24HBears Academy84-60
19/12/24AHolbaek-Stenhus96-75
12/12/24ARanders94-69
03/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack89-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game88.888.988.6
Allowed / game78.877.080.6
Point differential+9.9+11.9+8.0
Avg total167.6165.9169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%100%70%
Points / game87.785.789.7
Allowed / game73.871.076.6
Point differential+13.9+14.7+13.1
Avg total161.5156.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2017385%87.773.8+13.9
2 Team FOG Naestved2017385%98.287.7+10.5
3 Horsens2016480%88.878.8+9.9
4 Bakken Bears2015575%95.081.6+13.4
5 Randers2014670%93.281.0+12.3
6 Copenhagen2071335%83.084.4-1.4
7 Amager2061430%86.293.0-6.8
8 Herlev Wolfpack2051525%79.289.2-10.0
9 Vaerlose2051525%77.089.7-12.7
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2051525%79.393.0-13.7
11 Bears Academy2031715%74.590.0-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2723161884
Svendborg1321221874
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