Hottur vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 81-90

21-24 16-19 20-32 24-15

Position#9

Record7-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game85.1

Hottur

Valur 🏆

Position#2

Record13-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game81.5

Premier leagueRound 18

Other2022-23

Meetings · Hottur v Valur

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hottur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KR Basket

94-93

A12/12

Icelandic Cup

Breidablik

#10

91-69

+22

H15/12

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#11

75-65

+10

A29/12

Premier league

Haukar

83-97

-14

H05/01

Premier league

Valur

47-74

-27

H11/01

Icelandic Cup

Njardvik

90-109

109

-19

A19/01

Premier league

Thorl

83-86

-3

H28/01

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

82-81

H09/02

Premier league

Tindastoll

88-109

109

-21

A13/02

Premier league

Stjarnan

89-75 OT

+14

A17/02

Premier league

23-24

23-26

24-25

24-18

23-8

18-20

26-23

14-23

28-17

11-19

22-6

19-33

23-23

17-18

24-23

15-20

9-15

10-13

13-26

20-30

17-19

24-30

29-30

18-23

15-20

24-26

26-17

26-23

21-20

19-10

16-28

25-28

20-28

20-26

23-27

20-14

20-27

18-20

14-11

168.0Avg total

82.2Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.7	85.1	168.8	-1.4	41%
Season at home (8)	84.2	84.5	168.8	-0.2	38%
Season away (9)	83.2	85.6	168.8	-2.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	85.8	168.0	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	92.0	178.4	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	81.4	88.6	170.1	-7.2	29%
vs Similar (9)	83.8	88.3	172.1	-4.6	33%
vs Weaker (5)	83.6	75.6	159.2	+8.0	80%

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

88-75

+13

H16/12

Premier league

Tindastoll

84-78 OT

A29/12

Premier league

Stjarnan

80-76 OT

A05/01

Premier league

Hottur

74-47

+27

A11/01

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

72-66

A14/01

Icelandic Cup

Grindavik

92-67

+25

H20/01

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

78-89

-11

A27/01

Premier league

Haukar

84-76

H02/02

Premier league

Thorl

74-106

106

-32

A10/02

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

90-71

+19

H16/02

Premier league

15-25

18-12

26-18

29-20

28-17

13-19

17-15

15-22

21-12

19-19

16-18

15-22

20-15

15-9

13-10

26-13

17-22

22-16

14-16

19-12

20-19

27-15

16-17

29-16

22-21

27-20

18-31

11-17

15-23

20-16

26-22

23-15

17-16

14-29

21-25

22-36

14-21

22-17

26-11

28-22

156.7Avg total

81.6Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.6	81.5	167.1	+4.1	76%
Season at home (9)	87.9	82.1	170.0	+5.8	78%
Season away (8)	83.0	80.9	163.9	+2.1	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	75.1	156.7	+6.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	81.8	165.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	84.8	82.8	167.6	+2.1	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.2	74.6	158.8	+9.5	85%

This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HotturValur

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.5	42.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.9	21.9	41.7	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	24.3	44.4	-4.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.4	42.4	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+6.0	77%	-

HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KR Basket

46-50

-4

A12/12

Icelandic Cup

Breidablik

#10

47-26

+21

H15/12

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#11

42-40

A29/12

Premier league

Haukar

42-56

-14

H05/01

Premier league

Valur

24-35

-11

H11/01

Icelandic Cup

Njardvik

37-49

-12

A19/01

Premier league

Thorl

33-43

-10

H28/01

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

47-43

H09/02

Premier league

Tindastoll

45-56

-11

A13/02

Premier league

Stjarnan

40-41

-1

A17/02

Premier league

84.2Avg total

40.3Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	41.6	80.8	-2.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.1	43.6	85.7	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	43.9	84.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	46.4	86.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.7	44.9	85.6	-4.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	39.0	84.0	+6.0	80%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

33-37

-4

H16/12

Premier league

Tindastoll

41-36

A29/12

Premier league

Stjarnan

40-31

A05/01

Premier league

Hottur

35-24

+11

A11/01

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

39-38

A14/01

Icelandic Cup

Grindavik

47-34

+13

H20/01

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

49-41

A27/01

Premier league

Haukar

35-39

-4

H02/02

Premier league

Thorl

31-45

-14

A10/02

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

36-38

-2

H16/02

Premier league

74.9Avg total

38.6Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.2	81.6	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	41.5	84.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	36.6	78.8	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.3	74.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	41.8	41.1	82.9	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.9	37.0	79.9	+5.9	85%	-

This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	20.2	40.2	-0.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	22.1	42.6	-1.5	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	22.3	41.7	-3.0	11%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.3	42.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	23.2	44.5	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.9	23.9	45.8	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	42.8	83.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.3	43.4	84.7	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	42.4	83.0	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.6	81.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	45.0	87.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.5	45.9	88.4	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	38.7	79.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	37.9	82.4	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	39.6	76.4	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.5	37.2	77.8	+3.3	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hottur wins

Valur wins

Date	Game	Score
11/01/23	Hottur v Valur	47-74
25/11/22	Valur v Hottur	82-79
22/04/21	Hottur v Valur	91-95
28/01/21	Valur v Hottur	88-81
19/01/18	Valur v Hottur	102-94
19/10/17	Hottur v Valur	93-99 OT

Hotturlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/23	A	Stjarnan	89-75 OT
13/02/23	A	Tindastoll	88-109
09/02/23	H	KR Basket	82-81
28/01/23	H	Thorl	83-86
19/01/23	A	Njardvik	90-109
11/01/23	H	Valur	47-74
05/01/23	H	Haukar	83-97
29/12/22	A	IR Reykjavik	75-65
15/12/22	H	Breidablik	91-69
12/12/22	A	KR Basket	94-93

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/23	H	KR Basket	90-71
10/02/23	A	Thorl	74-106
02/02/23	H	Haukar	84-76
27/01/23	A	Breidablik	78-89
20/01/23	H	Grindavik	92-67
14/01/23	A	Stjarnan	72-66
11/01/23	A	Hottur	74-47
05/01/23	A	Stjarnan	80-76 OT
29/12/22	A	Tindastoll	84-78 OT
16/12/22	H	Njardvik	88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	41%
Home	LWLLW	38%
Away	LWLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	41%	38%	44%
Points / game	83.7	84.2	83.2
Allowed / game	85.1	84.5	85.6
Point differential	-1.4	-0.2	-2.3
Avg total	168.8	168.8	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	12%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	33% (6)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	12%	11%

Valur

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	76%
Home	LWWWW	78%
Away	WWWLL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	76%	78%	75%
Points / game	85.6	87.9	83.0
Allowed / game	81.5	82.1	80.9
Point differential	+4.1	+5.8	+2.1
Avg total	167.1	170.0	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Njardvik	17	13	4	76%	96.1	82.9	+13.1
2	Valur	17	13	4	76%	85.6	81.5	+4.1
3	Keflavik	17	12	5	71%	93.8	87.9	+5.9
4	Haukar	17	12	5	71%	89.1	85.2	+3.9
5	Tindastoll	18	10	8	56%	87.7	82.9	+4.8
6	Breidablik	18	8	10	44%	99.1	103.1	-4.1
7	Thorl	17	7	10	41%	99.9	96.4	+3.5
8	Hottur	17	7	10	41%	83.7	85.1	-1.4
9	Stjarnan	17	7	10	41%	86.5	88.4	-1.9
10	Grindavik	17	7	10	41%	83.1	90.1	-6.9
11	IR Reykjavik	17	5	12	29%	81.8	90.1	-8.4
12	KR Basket	17	2	15	12%	88.5	101.1	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hottur	21	16	20	24	81
Valur	24	19	32	15	90

← all games of the day

Hottur vs Valur Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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