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Houston Christian vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-79
45-31 38-48
Position#304
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#363
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.4
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Houston Christian v TX A&M Commerce
05 Dec 2024
HOUS83
TX A79
02 Mar 2024
HOUS85
TX A98
12 Jan 2023
HOUS68
TX A59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A05/03
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Avila
#534
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A14/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#407
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H28/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
33-48
36-38
32-40
37-20
49-39
35-42
24-48
12-39
31-39
44-36
40-28
29-29
29-32
31-40
42-34
40-23
31-51
26-35
45-43
142.5Avg total
68.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.172.2140.4-4.125%
Season at home (5)74.466.4140.8+8.040%
Season away (3)57.782.0139.7-24.30%
Last 10 (10)68.274.3142.5-6.120%
Last 5 (5)71.470.2141.6+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.283.0151.2-14.817%
vs Similar (3)67.371.0138.3-3.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)96.565.5162.0+31.0100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A05/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
43-31
21-34
30-38
35-42
32-47
32-32
51-59
24-50
31-37
37-35
33-33
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
139.9Avg total
61.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)62.480.5142.9-18.112%
Season at home (2)63.572.5136.0-9.050%
Season away (6)62.083.2145.2-21.20%
Last 10 (10)61.978.0139.9-16.120%
Last 5 (5)58.875.4134.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.678.1137.7-18.57%
vs Similar (12)73.374.8148.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -8.6-8.62nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -7.5-7.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -8.6-8.62nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -7.5-7.5
Houston ChristianTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Avila
#534
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
12-39
12
39
-27
A14/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#407
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H28/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A30/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
32.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.238.170.3-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.737.173.8-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)27.739.066.7-11.37%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.166.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)31.039.770.7-8.721%-
vs Similar (3)28.734.763.3-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.025.071.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
65.8Avg total
28.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.665.9-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.232.566.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (18)29.435.965.4-6.522%-
Last 10 (10)28.637.265.8-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.636.265.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)28.136.664.7-8.520%-
vs Similar (12)31.132.863.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Christian wins
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AUTSA Roadrunners71-78
28/11/24HNorthern Arizona71-74
26/11/24HEastern Michigan73-74
23/11/24HRice58-61
16/11/24HRockford University84-64
14/11/24ACreighton43-78
09/11/24ATexas59-90
05/11/24HAvila86-59
07/03/24ALamar68-78
05/03/24AMcNeese State69-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
14/11/24HSouthern Univ.70-68
09/11/24ATexas A&M55-87
07/11/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-91
05/11/24AIowa67-89
12/03/24ANicholls State51-72
11/03/24ANorthwestern St.69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game68.174.457.7
Allowed / game72.266.482.0
Point differential-4.1+8.0-24.3
Avg total140.4140.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %12%50%0%
Points / game62.463.562.0
Allowed / game80.572.583.2
Point differential-18.1-9.0-21.2
Avg total142.9136.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC85362%86.170.8+15.4
2 UTRGV85362%85.176.1+9.0
3 Incarnate Word74357%82.073.6+8.4
4 Nicholls State95456%70.866.0+4.8
5 Stephen F. Austin95456%66.261.6+4.7
6 McNeese State84450%75.167.9+7.2
7 SE Louisiana94544%70.368.1+2.2
8 Northwestern St.83538%75.167.5+7.6
9 Lamar72529%78.671.3+7.3
10 New Orleans72529%68.181.7-13.6
11 Houston Christian82625%68.172.2-4.1
12 TX A&M Commerce81712%62.480.5-18.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston Christian453883
TX A&M Commerce314879
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