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Houston Christian vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 85-98
40-50 45-48
Position#358
Record6-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#290
Record10-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Houston Christian v TX A&M Commerce
05 Dec 2024
HOUS83
TX A79
02 Mar 2024
HOUS85
TX A98
12 Jan 2023
HOUS68
TX A59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A27/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H30/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A06/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H10/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
54-105
54
105
-51
H13/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
54-42
31-37
44-42
29-37
29-43
36-46
37-37
26-40
32-44
45-41
41-42
27-58
27-47
39-38
39-43
30-44
43-42
32-40
47-51
157.4Avg total
72.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.283.0154.2-11.723%
Season at home (12)81.183.5164.6-2.442%
Season away (14)62.882.5145.3-19.77%
Last 10 (10)72.285.2157.4-13.020%
Last 5 (5)74.089.2163.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.483.7152.0-15.315%
vs Similar (2)77.085.0162.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)101.065.0166.0+36.0100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
38-36
20-24
34-45
34-33
37-33
22-33
35-37
26-30
25-47
41-38
48-45
35-36
31-30
32-44
31-42
36-25
30-41
33-39
37-46
146.6Avg total
69.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.774.7146.4-3.036%
Season at home (13)85.372.8158.1+12.554%
Season away (15)59.976.3136.2-16.520%
Last 10 (10)69.277.4146.6-8.230%
Last 5 (5)75.081.0156.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.979.4140.3-18.614%
vs Similar (10)73.875.3149.1-1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.669.0159.6+21.660%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -5.6-5.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.0-9.01st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -5.6-5.6
Houston ChristianTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
27-58
27
58
-31
H13/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
32.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.540.172.6-7.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.040.177.1-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)28.040.168.1-12.120%-
Last 10 (10)32.941.974.8-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.541.071.5-10.423%-
vs Similar (2)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (2)53.531.585.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A24/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.935.067.8-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.571.7+4.847%-
Last 30 away (15)27.536.563.9-9.020%-
Last 10 (10)30.633.163.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)26.737.163.9-10.414%-
vs Similar (10)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.234.078.2+10.260%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Christian wins
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24HTexas A&M-CC79-91
24/02/24HNorthwestern St.73-86
17/02/24ASE Louisiana78-81
13/02/24HMcNeese State54-105
10/02/24HIncarnate Word86-83
06/02/24ANew Orleans58-84
03/02/24ANicholls State73-83
30/01/24HSE Louisiana58-80
27/01/24AIncarnate Word75-79
23/01/24HNew Orleans88-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ANicholls State70-85
20/02/24AIncarnate Word76-72 OT
17/02/24ATexas A&M-CC63-86
13/02/24HSE Louisiana77-79 OT
10/02/24HNew Orleans89-83
06/02/24AMcNeese State51-77
03/02/24ANorthwestern St.57-70
01/02/24HIncarnate Word71-66
30/01/24HTexas A&M-CC54-69
27/01/24HNicholls State84-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Christian
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %23%42%7%
Points / game71.281.162.8
Allowed / game83.083.582.5
Point differential-11.7-2.4-19.7
Avg total154.2164.6145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%54%20%
Points / game71.785.359.9
Allowed / game74.772.876.3
Point differential-3.0+12.5-16.5
Avg total146.4158.1136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %14%23%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2825389%79.861.0+18.8
2 Texas A&M-CC28181064%75.766.6+9.1
3 Nicholls State28161257%74.075.0-0.9
4 Lamar29161355%79.074.2+4.8
5 Stephen F. Austin28151354%74.970.6+4.3
6 SE Louisiana28141450%69.670.6-1.0
7 TX A&M Commerce28101836%71.774.7-3.0
8 Northwestern St.2992031%70.776.2-5.4
9 Incarnate Word2882029%73.378.8-5.5
10 New Orleans2882029%74.680.4-5.8
11 Houston Christian2662023%71.283.0-11.7
12 UTRGV2862221%71.379.9-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston Christian404585
TX A&M Commerce504898
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