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Houston Christian vs UTRGV Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#213
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Houston Christian v UTRGV
23 Jan 2027
HOUS v UTRG
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
HOUS51
UTRG68
18 Jan 2025
HOUS66
UTRG57
10 Dec 2022
HOUS82
UTRG95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Christian win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A21/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H28/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H03/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Christian
#525
W
108-45
108
45
+63
H04/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#334
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A11/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
108-73
108
73
+35
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
37-39
25-37
28-34
36-23
33-45
16-42
40-35
29-24
46-29
33-34
27-39
58-21
50-24
37-31
37-36
44-34
43-42
52-33
56-40
143.3Avg total
76.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.265.2159.5+29.0100%
Season at home (2)108.059.0167.0+49.0100%
Season away (2)80.571.5152.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.267.1143.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)87.466.8154.2+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.774.7139.3-10.013%
vs Similar (11)67.770.4138.1-2.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.772.0161.7+17.7100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#25
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
Houston ChristianUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H28/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H03/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Christian
#525
W
58-21
58
21
+37
H04/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#334
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H14/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
36.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.466.9-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.533.768.2+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.965.9-3.835%-
Last 10 (10)36.530.867.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.830.675.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.436.365.7-6.927%-
vs Similar (11)31.433.464.7-2.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#25
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston Christian wins
5
UTRGV wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCBS Ambassadors108-73
11/11/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes87-76
08/11/26AWestern Illinois74-67
04/11/26HLouisiana Christian108-45
08/03/26ANew Orleans60-73
03/03/26HLamar75-53
28/02/26HStephen F. Austin56-77
24/02/26AEast Texas A&M69-68
21/02/26ANorthwestern St.53-71
17/02/26HNicholls State72-68
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Christian
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.2108.080.5
Allowed / game65.259.071.5
Point differential+29.0+49.0+9.0
Avg total159.5167.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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