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Houston vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 103-73
56-29 47-44
Position#18
Record16-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game59.3
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#194
Record10-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
80-38
80
38
+42
H11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A20/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A10/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
27-31
41-33
41-34
40-16
40-22
44-23
55-34
49-41
45-44
33-28
36-32
28-33
39-27
31-31
38-34
33-26
44-29
33-18
44-30
137.1Avg total
78.0Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.259.3136.5+17.994%
Season at home (13)77.156.6133.7+20.592%
Season away (4)77.868.0145.8+9.8100%
Last 10 (10)78.059.1137.1+18.9100%
Last 5 (5)71.857.6129.4+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (3)71.067.3138.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)74.958.8133.7+16.296%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H26/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A08/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
32-45
47-28
39-42
35-26
38-22
38-55
44-24
33-45
44-45
40-38
35-40
38-48
51-47
30-45
46-59
36-38
51-46
39-38
43-51
162.7Avg total
80.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.879.4160.2+1.459%
Season at home (11)80.675.1155.7+5.564%
Season away (6)81.287.3168.5-6.250%
Last 10 (10)80.282.5162.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)81.890.0171.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.588.7168.2-9.327%
vs Similar (15)76.773.5150.3+3.253%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
HoustonArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A10/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H14/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
37.1Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.427.563.9+8.980%-
Last 30 at home (23)37.226.063.1+11.287%-
Last 30 away (7)33.732.666.3+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.127.464.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)31.627.258.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (3)33.028.361.3+4.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.127.264.2+9.981%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/01
NCAA
78.3Avg total
37.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.075.8-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.637.974.5-1.229%-
Last 30 away (13)36.840.577.4-3.746%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.478.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.442.079.4-4.633%-
vs Similar (15)36.136.172.1+0.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25Arizona State v Houston65-80
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HWest Virginia77-48
10/01/26ABaylor77-55
07/01/26HTexas Tech69-65
03/01/26ACincinnati67-60
30/12/25HMiddle Tenn. St.69-60
20/12/25AArkansas94-85
13/12/25HNew Orleans99-57
11/12/25HJackson State80-38
07/12/25HFlorida State82-67
26/11/25HNotre Dame66-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AArizona82-89
10/01/26HKansas State87-84
08/01/26ABrigham Young76-104
03/01/26HColorado89-95
21/12/25HOregon State75-78
18/12/25AUCLA77-90
14/12/25ASanta Clara82-79
10/12/25HNorthern Arizona73-48
07/12/25HOklahoma86-70
26/11/25HUSC75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %94%92%100%
Points / game77.277.177.8
Allowed / game59.356.668.0
Point differential+17.9+20.5+9.8
Avg total136.5133.7145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%69%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%64%50%
Points / game80.880.681.2
Allowed / game79.475.187.3
Point differential+1.4+5.5-6.2
Avg total160.2155.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona18180100%90.669.3+21.3
2 Houston1716194%77.259.3+17.9
3 Brigham Young1816289%86.669.6+17.0
4 Iowa State1815383%84.765.9+18.8
5 UCF Knights1714382%85.275.9+9.4
6 Texas Tech1814478%83.473.1+10.3
7 Oklahoma State1814478%88.280.9+7.3
8 Kansas1813572%78.067.5+10.5
9 West Virginia1812667%73.263.1+10.1
10 Colorado1812667%83.277.2+5.9
11 Baylor1711665%87.174.9+12.2
12 TCU1811761%79.769.6+10.2
13 Arizona State1710759%80.879.4+1.4
14 Cincinnati1810856%74.166.2+7.9
15 Kansas State189950%85.580.3+5.2
16 Utah Utes189950%80.381.0-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston5647103
Arizona State294473
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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