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Arizona State vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-88
43-43 32-45
Position#194
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.0
Arizona State
USA
vs
USC 🏆
USA
Position#153
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona State v USC
26 Nov 2025
ARIZ75
USC88
20 Jan 2024
ARIZ82
USC67
21 Jan 2023
ARIZ69
USC77
03 Feb 2022
ARIZ53
USC58
09 Jan 2021
ARIZ64
USC73
08 Feb 2020
ARIZ66
USC64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#88
L
100-113
100
113
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
57-85
57
85
-28
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-55
53-58
32-36
25-49
31-38
35-33
40-28
41-36
39-25
42-41
32-45
33-32
34-39
41-23
34-35
49-41
39-34
48-52
42-48
58-46
158.9Avg total
79.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.775.0156.7+6.786%
Season at home (5)80.472.6153.0+7.880%
Season away (2)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.579.4158.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.682.6154.2-10.918%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.971.4148.3+5.562%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
114-83
114
83
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-35
45-26
27-39
36-51
41-30
32-43
35-35
36-41
37-31
57-33
55-37
59-46
40-26
47-41
29-29
39-39
34-32
36-35
38-42
45-39
166.2Avg total
87.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.578.0170.5+14.5100%
Season at home (5)97.080.2177.2+16.8100%
Season away (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.878.4166.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)92.280.8173.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.677.7155.4-0.153%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.478.8162.2+4.650%
vs Weaker (3)97.068.3165.3+28.7100%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +3.8+3.8
Arizona StateUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#88
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H09/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H15/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/11
NCAA
75.3Avg total
37.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.971.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.237.873.0-2.625%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.970.5-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.375.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.276.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.138.372.4-4.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.935.271.1+0.838%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H25/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.373.1+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.734.674.4+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)35.336.271.5-0.923%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.671.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.272.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.936.571.4-1.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.834.373.1+4.550%-
vs Weaker (3)51.032.383.3+18.7100%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arizona State wins
8
USC wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24USC v Arizona State81-73
20/01/24Arizona State v USC82-67
10/03/23USC v Arizona State72-77
05/03/23USC v Arizona State68-65
22/01/23Arizona State v USC69-77
04/02/22Arizona State v USC53-58
25/01/22USC v Arizona State78-56
18/02/21USC v Arizona State89-71
10/01/21Arizona State v USC64-73
01/03/20USC v Arizona State71-61
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HWashington State100-94
25/11/25ATexas87-86
21/11/25AHawaii83-76
18/11/25HGeorgia State75-62
15/11/25HGonzaga65-77
09/11/25HUtah Tech81-66
05/11/25HSouthern Utah81-64
11/03/25AKansas State66-71
09/03/25HTexas Tech57-85
05/03/25AArizona100-113
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HSeton Hall83-81
24/11/25ABoise State70-67
21/11/25HTroy107-106 OT
15/11/25HIllinois State87-67
09/11/25HManhattan114-83
04/11/25HCal Poly94-64
14/03/25APurdue71-76
13/03/25ARutgers97-89 OT
09/03/25AUCLA63-90
06/03/25HWashington92-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game81.780.485.0
Allowed / game75.072.681.0
Point differential+6.7+7.8+4.0
Avg total156.7153.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.597.070.0
Allowed / game78.080.267.0
Point differential+14.5+16.8+3.0
Avg total170.5177.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma State660100%93.274.3+18.8
2 Arizona660100%85.568.0+17.5
3 Colorado550100%94.481.6+12.8
4 Iowa State76186%88.967.3+21.6
5 Houston76186%76.159.6+16.6
6 UCF Knights76186%89.179.7+9.4
7 Arizona State76186%81.775.0+6.7
8 Cincinnati65183%78.764.2+14.5
9 Brigham Young54180%87.268.6+18.6
10 Baylor54180%86.080.2+5.8
11 Kansas75271%75.662.9+12.7
12 West Virginia75271%71.360.3+11.0
13 Texas Tech75271%82.171.4+10.7
14 Kansas State75271%89.480.4+9.0
15 Utah Utes75271%82.378.4+3.9
16 TCU53260%80.063.6+16.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio State660100%92.567.3+25.2
2 Indiana660100%87.863.5+24.3
3 Iowa660100%87.563.7+23.8
4 Michigan660100%92.568.7+23.8
5 Michigan State660100%80.762.2+18.5
6 Purdue660100%86.569.0+17.5
7 Nebraska770100%86.671.1+15.4
8 USC660100%92.578.0+14.5
9 Illinois76186%94.669.7+24.9
10 Penn State76186%81.670.7+10.9
11 Northwestern65183%82.366.8+15.5
12 Wisconsin54180%88.671.6+17.0
13 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
14 UCLA75271%77.063.1+13.9
15 Maryland75271%78.076.3+1.7
16 Minnesota64267%74.264.8+9.3
17 Oregon64267%75.074.5+0.5
18 Rutgers74357%70.668.0+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State433275
USC434588
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