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Houston vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-60
33-28 36-32
Position#18
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game60.0
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#179
Record7-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H13/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H21/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
80-38
80
38
+42
H11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-17
39-28
39-35
34-37
47-25
44-20
37-34
30-33
39-35
34-41
39-25
27-31
41-33
41-34
40-16
40-22
44-23
55-34
49-41
45-44
142.9Avg total
81.4Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.560.0139.5+19.592%
Season at home (10)78.756.3135.0+22.490%
Season away (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.461.5142.9+19.990%
Last 5 (5)84.260.6144.8+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (4)70.265.2135.5+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)75.059.5134.5+15.696%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-23
55-33
36-28
41-44
30-36
31-50
43-40
47-47
41-49
38-43
34-28
28-44
32-33
44-28
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
149.2Avg total
75.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.071.4149.4+6.664%
Season at home (8)82.269.4151.6+12.975%
Season away (3)66.776.7143.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)75.873.4149.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)68.468.2136.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.881.0149.8-12.217%
vs Similar (14)73.872.7146.5+1.164%
vs Weaker (8)84.164.2148.4+19.9100%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.0+13.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
HoustonMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H13/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
41.4Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.927.664.6+9.383%-
Last 30 at home (22)37.726.063.7+11.791%-
Last 30 away (8)34.832.166.9+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)41.428.469.8+13.0100%-
Last 5 (5)42.627.670.2+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (4)33.226.860.0+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.927.565.4+10.484%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.870.9+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.233.771.9+4.558%-
Last 30 away (11)35.134.069.1+1.145%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.870.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.465.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.536.872.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (14)35.434.469.9+1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)40.629.169.8+11.575%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AArkansas94-85
13/12/25HNew Orleans99-57
11/12/25HJackson State80-38
07/12/25HFlorida State82-67
26/11/25HNotre Dame66-56
25/11/25HTennessee73-76
24/11/25HSyracuse78-74 OT
21/11/25HRider91-45
16/11/25AAuburn73-72
13/11/25HOakland78-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %92%90%100%
Points / game79.578.783.5
Allowed / game60.056.378.5
Point differential+19.5+22.4+5.0
Avg total139.5135.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%10%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game78.082.266.7
Allowed / game71.469.476.7
Point differential+6.6+12.9-10.0
Avg total149.4151.6143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona12120100%89.665.8+23.8
2 Brigham Young1312192%87.466.6+20.8
3 Iowa State1211192%89.264.3+24.8
4 Houston1211192%79.560.0+19.5
5 UCF Knights1211192%88.374.9+13.4
6 Oklahoma State1211192%90.278.4+11.8
7 Baylor1210283%95.674.9+20.7
8 Kansas1310377%75.863.3+12.5
9 Texas Tech1310377%83.873.2+10.6
10 Colorado1310377%85.977.4+8.5
11 TCU129375%77.464.8+12.7
12 West Virginia139469%76.260.2+16.0
13 Kansas State139469%88.577.6+10.8
14 Arizona State139469%80.075.2+4.8
15 Utah Utes128467%82.478.8+3.6
16 Cincinnati138562%75.865.5+10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State119282%77.765.4+12.4
2 Liberty129375%81.667.7+13.9
3 Kennesaw State128467%93.376.1+17.2
4 Louisiana Tech128467%71.856.1+15.7
5 Sam Houston St.128467%88.174.8+13.3
6 Middle Tenn. St.117464%78.071.4+6.6
7 Florida International127558%88.179.7+8.4
8 Western Kentucky127558%83.076.9+6.1
9 Missouri State127558%73.369.7+3.7
10 Jacksonville State126650%74.963.6+11.3
11 UTEP124833%71.671.5+0.1
12 Delaware124833%66.272.6-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston333669
Middle Tenn. St.283260
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