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Houston vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-65
38-30 38-35
Position#9
Record19-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game57.0
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#149
Record15-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Houston v Baylor
04 Mar 2026
HOUS77
BAYL64
10 Feb 2025
HOUS76
BAYL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H07/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
87-57
87
57
+30
A11/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H16/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
70-36
70
36
+34
H22/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
A25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-22
36-24
46-24
41-33
40-27
30-27
30-38
39-30
41-17
29-19
31-38
35-28
39-19
24-30
37-41
35-31
39-33
33-30
31-27
38-32
133.8Avg total
73.8Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.757.0132.7+18.883%
Season at home (16)76.453.7130.1+22.781%
Season away (7)74.364.4138.7+9.986%
Last 10 (10)73.860.0133.8+13.890%
Last 5 (5)75.467.8143.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)60.569.8130.2-9.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.855.6132.3+21.292%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
72-66 OT
72
66
+6
A12/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A15/01
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H19/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-20
33-28
32-20
29-41
19-42
51-39
39-32
32-42
26-30
44-32
38-31
38-30
36-44
42-34
21-40
60-30
24-34
35-39
45-36
46-40
145.1Avg total
74.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.069.6149.5+10.465%
Season at home (13)86.361.5147.8+24.892%
Season away (10)71.780.0151.7-8.330%
Last 10 (10)74.770.4145.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.783.2149.8-16.517%
vs Similar (15)78.070.2148.2+7.867%
vs Weaker (9)88.761.8150.4+26.989%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.5+5.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.5+5.5
HoustonBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#210
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A11/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H16/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H22/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
39-19
39
19
+20
A30/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A08/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
36.3Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.625.061.6+11.683%-
Last 30 at home (23)37.324.061.3+13.387%-
Last 30 away (7)34.428.362.7+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)36.328.664.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.667.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)28.830.559.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.824.262.0+13.792%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A12/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A15/01
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H01/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.268.7+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.930.170.0+9.972%-
Last 30 away (12)28.837.966.7-9.225%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.964.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.069.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)26.040.366.3-14.30%-
vs Similar (15)33.934.268.1-0.353%-
vs Weaker (9)44.326.871.1+17.689%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston wins
1
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Baylor v Houston76-82 OT
03/04/21Baylor v Houston78-59
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AColorado69-59
05/02/25HOklahoma State72-63
01/02/25HTexas Tech81-82 OT
30/01/25AWest Virginia63-49
25/01/25AKansas92-86 OT
22/01/25HUtah Utes70-36
18/01/25AUCF Knights69-68
16/01/25HWest Virginia70-54
11/01/25AKansas State87-57
07/01/25HTCU65-46
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HUCF Knights91-76
05/02/25ATexas Tech59-73
01/02/25HKansas81-70
29/01/25ABrigham Young89-93 OT
25/01/25AUtah Utes76-61
23/01/25HKansas State70-62
19/01/25HTCU71-74
15/01/25AArizona70-81
12/01/25AArizona State72-66 OT
08/01/25HCincinnati68-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %83%81%86%
Points / game75.776.474.3
Allowed / game57.053.764.4
Point differential+18.8+22.7+9.9
Avg total132.7130.1138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%12%29%
Baylor
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %65%92%30%
Points / game80.086.371.7
Allowed / game69.661.580.0
Point differential+10.4+24.8-8.3
Avg total149.5147.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%77%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %13%0%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2319483%75.757.0+18.8
2 Texas Tech2318578%80.765.9+14.8
3 Iowa State2318578%81.767.0+14.7
4 Arizona2317674%82.869.7+13.1
5 Kansas2316770%76.766.7+10.0
6 Brigham Young2315865%80.069.2+10.9
7 Baylor2315865%80.069.6+10.4
8 West Virginia2315865%69.463.6+5.8
9 Cincinnati2314961%71.664.0+7.6
10 Utah Utes23131057%75.470.2+5.2
11 UCF Knights23131057%79.679.9-0.3
12 Kansas State23121152%73.870.1+3.7
13 Arizona State23121152%73.172.6+0.6
14 TCU23121152%67.767.8-0.0
15 Oklahoma State23121152%72.974.6-1.7
16 Colorado2391439%70.772.0-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston383876
Baylor303565
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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