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Houston vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-64
0-0 35-35 0-0 42-29
Position#18
Record24-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game62.3
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record15-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Houston v Baylor
04 Mar 2026
HOUS77
BAYL64
10 Feb 2025
HOUS76
BAYL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H31/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-30
0-0
36-40
0-0
32-20
0-0
44-34
0-0
33-19
0-0
46-36
0-0
37-31
0-0
40-35
0-0
34-25
0-0
32-27
0-0
33-19
0-0
45-45
0-0
40-43
0-0
27-27
0-0
31-36
0-0
35-37
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-38
0-0
55-29
0-0
47-33
138.1Avg total
74.6Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.562.3139.8+15.283%
Season at home (19)79.358.8138.1+20.589%
Season away (10)74.268.9143.1+5.370%
Last 10 (10)74.663.5138.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)73.867.6141.4+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)65.369.3134.7-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)78.361.6139.9+16.789%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-35
0-0
29-32
0-0
38-30
0-0
25-23
0-0
45-21
0-0
41-46
0-0
33-37
0-0
36-35
0-0
41-41
0-0
53-58
0-0
34-34
0-0
37-48
0-0
34-41
0-0
40-49
0-0
32-40
0-0
41-28
0-0
41-34
0-0
39-53
0-0
56-42
0-0
31-44
152.5Avg total
75.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.777.0159.7+5.752%
Season at home (19)87.777.8165.6+9.958%
Season away (10)73.175.5148.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)75.477.1152.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.082.6159.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.879.5146.3-12.70%
vs Similar (14)81.678.9160.5+2.850%
vs Weaker (10)92.074.2166.2+17.880%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
HoustonBaylor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H31/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H28/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
36.5Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.328.867.1+9.580%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.525.764.2+12.890%-
Last 30 away (10)37.935.072.9+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)36.528.364.8+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.668.8+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.035.769.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.828.066.9+10.885%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A01/03
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.676.9+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.935.977.9+6.058%-
Last 30 away (11)37.337.875.1-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.573.7+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.335.066.3-3.717%-
vs Similar (14)38.737.476.1+1.450%-
vs Weaker (10)47.736.684.3+11.170%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston wins
1
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Baylor v Houston55-77
09/03/25Baylor v Houston61-65
11/02/25Houston v Baylor76-65
24/02/24Baylor v Houston76-82 OT
03/04/21Baylor v Houston78-59
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HColorado102-62
24/02/26AKansas56-69
21/02/26HArizona66-73
17/02/26AIowa State67-70
14/02/26HKansas State78-64
11/02/26AUtah Utes66-52
08/02/26ABrigham Young77-66
05/02/26HUCF Knights79-55
31/01/26HCincinnati76-54
29/01/26ATCU79-70
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AUCF Knights87-86
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90
14/02/26HLouisville71-82
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW83%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %83%89%70%
Points / game77.579.374.2
Allowed / game62.358.868.9
Point differential+15.2+20.5+5.3
Avg total139.8138.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%74%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %52%58%40%
Points / game82.787.773.1
Allowed / game77.077.875.5
Point differential+5.7+9.9-2.4
Avg total159.7165.6148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3028293%86.668.2+18.4
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State3023777%81.166.3+14.8
4 Texas Tech3022873%81.572.2+9.2
5 Kansas3021970%75.668.8+6.8
6 UCF Knights2920969%82.978.9+4.0
7 Brigham Young30201067%84.475.8+8.6
8 TCU30201067%78.171.6+6.5
9 Oklahoma State30181260%84.282.5+1.7
10 Cincinnati30171357%73.767.5+6.2
11 West Virginia30171357%69.664.7+4.9
12 Colorado30171357%79.978.7+1.2
13 Arizona State30161453%77.677.6+0.0
14 Baylor29151452%82.777.0+5.7
15 Kansas State30121840%79.080.3-1.3
16 Utah Utes30102033%74.678.6-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston03504277
Baylor03502964
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