Ibar Rozaje vs Danilovgrad Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 101-84

28-21 25-22 29-26 19-15

Position#9

Record1-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game67.0

Allowed / game84.3

Ibar Rozaje 🏆

Danilovgrad

Position#12

Record4-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game96.6

Prva A LigaRound 16

Other2023-24

Meetings · Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibar Rozaje winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Danilovgrad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibar Rozaje Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Decic

#11

94-90

H28/12

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

75-96

-21

A10/01

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

56-91

-35

H13/01

Prva A Liga

Pljevlja

#14

66-71

-5

A17/01

Prva A Liga

Kotor

73-75

-2

A25/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

56-95

-39

H29/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

51-71

-20

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

63-76

-13

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

67-76

-9

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

71-80

-9

A06/03

Prva A Liga

25-20

12-31

25-18

32-21

28-28

15-24

15-20

17-24

11-24

18-27

15-17

12-23

18-13

12-19

15-24

21-15

19-20

23-14

22-29

9-12

14-20

14-32

13-22

15-21

11-20

11-10

11-21

18-20

6-19

16-19

22-17

19-21

17-21

17-23

11-21

22-11

13-19

21-21

12-25

25-15

149.3Avg total

67.2Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	67.0	84.3	151.3	-17.3	7%
Season at home (6)	65.7	84.2	149.8	-18.5	17%
Season away (8)	68.0	84.4	152.4	-16.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.2	82.1	149.3	-14.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	61.6	79.6	141.2	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.7	58.8	96.5	-21.2	0%
vs Similar (5)	78.4	86.6	165.0	-8.2	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	77.4	76.4	153.9	+1.0	43%

This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Danilovgrad Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Milenijum

#10

80-107

107

-27

H09/01

Prva A Liga

Pljevlja

#14

78-76

H13/01

Prva A Liga

Kotor

77-66

+11

H21/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

89-108

108

-19

A24/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

84-68

+16

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

96-110

110

-14

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

84-102

102

-18

A08/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

82-113

113

-31

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

94-123

123

-29

H26/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

94-104

104

-10

H02/03

Prva A Liga

13-32

24-27

26-27

17-21

18-6

25-25

19-29

16-16

19-13

20-20

22-10

16-23

28-27

22-32

22-25

17-24

26-17

25-13

15-18

18-20

23-29

25-33

27-23

21-25

30-21

15-29

24-25

15-27

25-26

26-25

16-36

15-26

18-29

26-32

21-25

29-37

28-25

20-27

23-26

183.5Avg total

85.8Scored

97.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	83.9	96.6	180.4	-12.7	29%
Season at home (8)	83.5	91.6	175.1	-8.1	50%
Season away (6)	84.3	103.2	187.5	-18.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	97.7	183.5	-11.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	110.4	200.4	-20.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	76.8	94.8	171.5	-18.0	18%
vs Similar (1)	96.0	110.0	206.0	-14.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	78.0	76.0	154.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Ibar RozajeDanilovgrad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.8	22%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.4	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.2	19.8	32.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.5	22.5	38.1	-7.0	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	18.9	18.6	37.4	+0.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	26.1	44.1	-8.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.0	50.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.4	23.3	41.6	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	29.0	52.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	6.0	24.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	39%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.3	21.5	37.7	-5.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	22.0	37.9	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.0	36.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	14.7	21.3	36.0	-6.5	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.3	17.9	38.1	+2.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.6	42.8	-2.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	26.3	49.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	29.2	51.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	33.0	58.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	0%	-

Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Decic

#11

37-51

-14

H28/12

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

#10

43-52

-9

A10/01

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

29-51

-22

H13/01

Prva A Liga

Pljevlja

#14

30-32

-2

A17/01

Prva A Liga

Kotor

42-34

A25/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

28-52

-24

H29/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

22-30

-8

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

22-38

-16

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

34-44

-10

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

34-40

-6

A06/03

Prva A Liga

74.5Avg total

32.1Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	34.6	41.3	75.9	-6.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	33.6	43.2	76.8	-9.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.5	39.6	75.1	-4.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.1	42.4	74.5	-10.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	40.8	68.8	-12.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	30.3	43.8	74.1	-13.5	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	42.6	80.4	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	39.1	36.4	75.6	+2.7	57%	-

This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Milenijum

#10

37-59

-22

H09/01

Prva A Liga

Pljevlja

#14

43-31

+12

H13/01

Prva A Liga

Kotor

39-33

H21/01

Prva A Liga

Primorje

50-59

-9

A24/01

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

51-30

+21

H27/01

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

#13

48-62

-14

A06/02

Prva A Liga

Podgorica

45-50

-5

A08/02

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

51-51

H11/02

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

44-61

-17

H26/02

Prva A Liga

Tivat

48-52

-4

H02/03

Prva A Liga

94.4Avg total

45.6Scored

48.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	45.3	83.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	42.3	80.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	48.7	86.9	-10.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	48.8	94.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	55.2	102.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	37.6	45.2	82.8	-7.6	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	62.0	110.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	31.0	74.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	21.4	37.5	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	21.2	35.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	13.7	20.2	33.9	-6.5	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.4	14%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	24.1	44.7	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.1	43.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	26.4	46.5	-6.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	24.4	45.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	27.0	49.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	29.0	48.0	-10.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.3	19.6	38.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	19.5	37.2	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.1	19.4	40.6	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	25.2	44.0	-6.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	24.1	44.2	-3.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	26.5	43.7	-9.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	24.5	43.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	28.2	48.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.8	25.5	44.4	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	35.5	40.7	76.2	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	35.8	36.8	72.6	-1.0	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.2	44.3	79.5	-9.2	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	39.7	74.8	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	38.8	72.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.4	39.7	71.1	-8.4	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	38.3	40.0	78.3	-1.7	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	49.3	88.7	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	46.2	87.3	-5.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	52.9	90.2	-15.6	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	48.9	89.1	-8.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	55.2	98.0	-12.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	39.2	49.5	88.7	-10.4	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	48.0	96.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ibar Rozaje wins

Danilovgrad wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/23	Danilovgrad v Ibar Rozaje	79-76
24/03/22	Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad	68-70
20/11/21	Danilovgrad v Ibar Rozaje	78-83
17/04/21	Danilovgrad v Ibar Rozaje	77-73
20/12/20	Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad	87-73
29/02/20	Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad	94-69
14/12/19	Danilovgrad v Ibar Rozaje	69-88
12/10/19	Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad	81-66
23/04/19	Danilovgrad v Ibar Rozaje	74-92
08/04/19	Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad	95-80

Ibar Rozajelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/24	A	Tivat	71-80
02/03/24	H	Sutjeska	67-76
11/02/24	H	Jedinstvo	63-76
06/02/24	A	Lovcen Cetinje	51-71
29/01/24	H	Primorje	56-95
25/01/24	A	Kotor	73-75
17/01/24	A	Pljevlja	66-71
13/01/24	H	Podgorica	56-91
10/01/24	A	Milenijum	75-96
28/12/23	H	Decic	94-90

Danilovgradlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/24	H	Tivat	94-104
26/02/24	H	Studentski Centar	94-123
11/02/24	H	Sutjeska	82-113
08/02/24	A	Podgorica	84-102
06/02/24	A	Jedinstvo	96-110
27/01/24	H	Lovcen Cetinje	84-68
24/01/24	A	Primorje	89-108
21/01/24	H	Kotor	77-66
13/01/24	H	Pljevlja	78-76
09/01/24	H	Milenijum	80-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibar Rozaje

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	7%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	7%	17%	0%
Points / game	67.0	65.7	68.0
Allowed / game	84.3	84.2	84.4
Point differential	-17.3	-18.5	-16.4
Avg total	151.3	149.8	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Danilovgrad

Prva A Liga 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	29%	50%	0%
Points / game	83.9	83.5	84.3
Allowed / game	96.6	91.6	103.2
Point differential	-12.7	-8.1	-18.8
Avg total	180.4	175.1	187.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sutjeska	14	13	1	93%	92.3	74.3	+18.0
2	Podgorica	15	12	3	80%	89.7	73.3	+16.4
3	Tivat	15	12	3	80%	86.7	76.5	+10.2
4	Primorje	14	11	3	79%	88.8	78.6	+10.1
5	Studentski Centar	13	9	4	69%	85.8	76.2	+9.7
6	Milenijum	14	8	6	57%	86.1	84.2	+1.9
7	Lovcen Cetinje	14	7	7	50%	76.1	75.3	+0.9
8	Decic	15	5	10	33%	83.7	87.1	-3.4
9	Kotor	13	4	9	31%	71.4	80.2	-8.8
10	Danilovgrad	14	4	10	29%	83.9	96.6	-12.7
11	Jedinstvo	15	4	11	27%	80.2	88.3	-8.1
12	Pljevlja	14	2	12	14%	74.0	91.9	-17.9
13	Ibar Rozaje	14	1	13	7%	67.0	84.3	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ibar Rozaje	28	25	29	19	101
Danilovgrad	21	22	26	15	84

← all games of the day

Ibar Rozaje vs Danilovgrad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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