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Ibar Rozaje vs Danilovgrad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-74
16-23 20-19 14-15 18-17
Position#14
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#13
Record7-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game87.3
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 21· Dvorana na Bandzovom brdu
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ibar Rozaje v Danilovgrad
07 Mar 2026
IBAR68
DANI74
05 Oct 2024
IBAR76
DANI69
10 Mar 2024
IBAR101
DANI84
24 Mar 2022
IBAR68
DANI70
20 Dec 2020
IBAR87
DANI73
29 Feb 2020
IBAR94
DANI69
12 Oct 2019
IBAR81
DANI66
08 Apr 2019
IBAR95
DANI80
08 Dec 2018
IBAR65
DANI70
09 Dec 2017
IBAR94
DANI66
29 Oct 2016
IBAR82
DANI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibar Rozaje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Danilovgrad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 67
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 67
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 67
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 67
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 67
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
59avg 67
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
63avg 67
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
57avg 67
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
90avg 67
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
23-20
26-16
21-27
10-29
24-15
21-28
14-17
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
13-18
21-21
9-23
29-29
20-22
15-14
12-23
11-16
13-17
19-20
18-15
15-33
26-25
21-29
11-26
16-28
17-17
24-18
13-22
13-24
26-17
16-16
23-22
24-26
161.4Avg total
75.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.881.2157.1-5.440%
Season at home (10)79.376.4155.7+2.960%
Season away (10)72.486.1158.5-13.720%
Last 10 (10)75.785.7161.4-10.030%
Last 5 (5)70.686.0156.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.886.3161.1-11.516%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.474.5151.9+2.962%
vs Weaker (3)72.076.7148.7-4.733%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 66
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
109avg 66
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 66
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 66
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 66
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 66
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 66
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
16-22
21-12
18-12
26-27
28-16
29-24
22-27
25-23
17-28
18-21
25-23
24-22
30-8
19-21
30-28
13-25
19-38
17-29
27-21
17-16
24-24
20-19
21-30
24-23
17-26
18-19
13-23
22-21
34-26
19-20
21-15
25-21
25-25
15-9
12-16
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
171.0Avg total
85.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.687.3167.9-6.735%
Season at home (10)80.086.8166.8-6.830%
Season away (10)81.287.8169.0-6.640%
Last 10 (10)85.086.0171.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)81.281.8163.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.788.7163.4-14.032%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.587.3172.8-1.833%
vs Weaker (2)71.075.0146.0-4.050%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Ibar RozajeDanilovgrad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/02
Prva A Liga
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.977.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.338.676.9-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)36.641.077.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.143.080.1-5.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.135.073.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker (3)37.333.070.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
88.0Avg total
43.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.183.0-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.480.9-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)38.346.985.2-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.844.581.3-7.632%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.343.388.7+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.2
57.9%
58.8%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.88.8
26.7%
31.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.6%
69.7%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.0
51.4%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.0
31.7%
31.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.5
76.5%
69.7%19.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibar Rozaje
WLLLLLLWLW
Danilovgrad
WWWLLLWLWW
#14
League position
#13
-12.3
Net rating
-3.8
102.2
Offensive rating
109.0
114.5
Defensive rating
112.8
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
26.7%
3-point %
31.7%
54.6%
Assist %
52.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 109.0Defence114.5 · 112.8Shooting48.8% · 49.6%3-point %26.7% · 31.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Ibar Rozaje   ■ Danilovgrad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ibar Rozaje wins
3
Danilovgrad wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HUlcinj89-81
11/02/26APodgorica67-81
07/02/26ASutjeska74-108
31/01/26AKotor65-85
24/01/26HLovcen Cetinje58-75
17/01/26AMornar Bar72-91
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
28/12/25APrimorje69-89
23/12/25HStudentski Centar87-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76
11/02/26AUlcinj77-71
07/02/26HDecic96-82
31/01/26APodgorica72-91
24/01/26HPrimorje82-89
17/01/26ASutjeska76-113
12/01/26AStudentski Centar103-79
04/01/26AKotor85-95
27/12/25HTivat105-94
23/12/25ALovcen Cetinje75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game75.879.372.4
Allowed / game81.276.486.1
Point differential-5.4+2.9-13.7
Avg total157.1155.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW35%
HomeLWLWW30%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%30%40%
Points / game80.680.081.2
Allowed / game87.386.887.8
Point differential-6.7-6.8-6.6
Avg total167.9166.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2016480%97.678.8+18.9
2 Primorje2016480%90.881.2+9.7
3 Mornar Bar2014670%85.781.0+4.7
4 Jedinstvo2013765%88.084.6+3.4
5 Lovcen Cetinje2013765%78.776.2+2.5
6 Podgorica20101050%79.677.8+1.9
7 Kotor20101050%78.579.8-1.4
8 Studentski Centar2091145%80.582.7-2.1
9 Ibar Rozaje2081240%75.881.2-5.4
10 Decic2071335%84.889.5-4.7
11 Tivat2071335%88.895.0-6.2
12 Danilovgrad2071335%80.687.3-6.7
13 Vukovi Zeta2051525%81.388.2-6.8
14 Ulcinj2051525%77.284.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibar Rozaje1620141868
Danilovgrad2319151774
← all games of the day
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