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Ibar Rozaje vs Lovcen Cetinje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-75
20-22 15-14 12-23 11-16
Position#14
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.5
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 16· Dvorana na Bandzovom brdu
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ibar Rozaje v Lovcen Cetinje
24 Jan 2026
IBAR58
LOVC75
21 Dec 2024
IBAR74
LOVC77
28 Apr 2024
IBAR80
LOVC74
22 Jan 2022
IBAR72
LOVC69
01 May 2021
IBAR79
LOVC84
26 Oct 2019
IBAR91
LOVC90
04 Mar 2019
IBAR59
LOVC75
10 Feb 2018
IBAR66
LOVC70
09 Apr 2017
IBAR76
LOVC80
14 Mar 2017
IBAR72
LOVC85
15 Jan 2017
IBAR68
LOVC61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibar Rozaje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
65avg 67
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
60-68
60
68
-8
no box
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 67
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 67
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 67
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 67
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
16-13
26-22
25-19
23-17
18-12
10-20
9-19
18-24
23-15
24-21
23-15
23-14
20-21
21-16
21-21
26-16
17-28
22-25
19-14
17-9
23-20
26-16
21-27
10-29
24-15
21-28
14-17
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
13-18
21-21
9-23
29-29
161.4Avg total
80.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.679.7157.3-2.147%
Season at home (8)80.876.0156.8+4.862%
Season away (7)74.083.9157.9-9.929%
Last 10 (10)80.481.0161.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.885.4166.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.387.3162.6-12.016%
vs Similar (8)78.573.5152.0+5.062%
vs Weaker (3)64.768.7133.3-4.033%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
69avg 66
A17/11
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
40avg 66
H24/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 66
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
74avg 66
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
70-75
70
75
-5
61avg 66
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
52avg 66
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 66
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
66avg 66
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 66
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-19
14-5
23-17
10-23
14-21
26-18
11-23
25-22
10-31
24-12
17-23
21-25
27-23
26-21
11-19
24-20
22-16
12-21
12-18
19-11
19-13
10-20
21-28
19-21
26-24
24-16
10-16
22-32
19-16
21-26
13-28
16-15
15-20
15-14
23-14
18-13
14-20
27-23
22-19
153.1Avg total
74.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.976.5153.3+0.460%
Season at home (8)77.476.8154.1+0.650%
Season away (7)76.376.1152.4+0.171%
Last 10 (10)74.278.9153.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)74.677.8152.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.486.3158.6-13.99%
vs Similar (10)76.271.4147.6+4.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.273.7150.9+3.667%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
Ibar RozajeLovcen Cetinje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Prva A Liga
77.0Avg total
39.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.877.2-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.540.377.8-2.843%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.376.7-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.477.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.944.180.1-8.221%-
vs Similar (8)38.935.974.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)32.333.365.7-1.033%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/11
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H24/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
Prva A Liga
78.8Avg total
38.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.877.6-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.137.775.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.442.379.6-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.878.8-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.074.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.242.778.9-6.527%-
vs Similar (10)40.336.576.8+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.840.076.8-3.233%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.010.5
30.0%
31.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
69.7%12.5
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.3
55.7%
58.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.7%
31.5%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
69.7%15.7
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibar Rozaje
LLWLWWWWLL
Lovcen Cetinje
WWLWLLLLLW
#14
League position
#5
+0.6
Net rating
-9.1
113.4
Offensive rating
106.9
112.7
Defensive rating
116.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.0%
3-point %
31.7%
50.8%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 106.9Defence112.7 · 116.0Shooting52.1% · 51.8%3-point %30.0% · 31.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ibar Rozaje   ■ Lovcen Cetinje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ibar Rozaje wins
7
Lovcen Cetinje wins
Ibar Rozajelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AMornar Bar72-91
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
28/12/25APrimorje69-89
23/12/25HStudentski Centar87-72
20/12/25ATivat84-83
13/12/25HVukovi Zeta85-72
06/12/25ADanilovgrad88-75
22/11/25AUlcinj60-68
16/11/25HPodgorica83-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HUlcinj81-75
10/01/26APodgorica69-63
05/01/26ASutjeska75-102
03/01/26AMornar Bar79-77
28/12/25HKotor69-72
23/12/25HDanilovgrad70-75
14/12/25HJedinstvo85-88
06/12/25ADecic76-88
24/11/25HPrimorje61-85
17/11/25AStudentski Centar77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game77.680.874.0
Allowed / game79.776.083.9
Point differential-2.1+4.8-9.9
Avg total157.3156.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game76.977.476.3
Allowed / game76.576.876.1
Point differential+0.4+0.6+0.1
Avg total153.3154.1152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1513287%92.379.9+12.4
2 Jedinstvo1512380%88.482.9+5.5
3 Sutjeska1511473%93.280.3+12.9
4 Mornar Bar1510567%82.777.5+5.1
5 Lovcen Cetinje159660%76.976.5+0.4
6 Kotor158753%78.979.5-0.5
7 Ibar Rozaje157847%77.679.7-2.1
8 Studentski Centar156940%79.184.9-5.8
9 Podgorica1661038%78.079.6-1.6
10 Decic1551033%84.187.1-3.0
11 Ulcinj1551033%78.781.9-3.3
12 Tivat1551033%87.795.5-7.7
13 Vukovi Zeta1441029%83.587.3-3.8
14 Danilovgrad1541127%80.489.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibar Rozaje2015121158
Lovcen Cetinje2214231675
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