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Mornar Bar vs Ibar Rozaje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-72
18-13 21-21 23-9 29-29
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#14
Record7-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.9
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 15
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Ibar Rozaje
17 Jan 2026
MBA91
IBAR72
10 Dec 2022
MBA v IBAR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibar Rozaje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 67
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
63-102
63
102
-39
50avg 67
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
52avg 67
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 67
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
65avg 67
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
72avg 67
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 67
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 67
A13/01
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
18-21
15-12
20-30
20-25
21-17
21-22
17-12
21-24
18-23
22-25
8-26
15-28
15-21
20-20
21-13
10-22
26-19
22-26
17-21
25-22
21-19
24-26
16-24
16-10
17-17
26-18
13-13
25-19
21-13
26-24
21-21
19-24
15-11
21-12
10-20
23-29
160.4Avg total
78.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.177.9160.0+4.164%
Season at home (7)84.677.6162.1+7.071%
Season away (7)79.678.3157.9+1.357%
Last 10 (10)78.681.8160.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)80.877.6158.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.587.8161.3-14.312%
vs Similar (6)86.374.5160.8+11.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.177.2156.4+1.962%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
W
70-66
70
66
+4
65avg 67
H07/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
65avg 67
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
60-68
60
68
-8
no box
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 67
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 67
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 67
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 67
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
13-16
16-12
24-25
10-23
16-13
26-22
25-19
23-17
18-12
10-20
9-19
18-24
23-15
24-21
23-15
23-14
20-21
21-16
21-21
26-16
17-28
22-25
19-14
17-9
23-20
26-16
21-27
10-29
24-15
21-28
14-17
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
158.7Avg total
80.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.078.9156.9-0.950%
Season at home (8)80.876.0156.8+4.862%
Season away (6)74.382.7157.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)80.278.5158.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)83.283.8167.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.786.4162.2-10.721%
vs Similar (8)78.573.5152.0+5.062%
vs Weaker (3)64.768.7133.3-4.033%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Mornar BarIbar Rozaje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A13/01
ABA League 2
83.4Avg total
43.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.779.5+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.541.382.8+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.937.875.7+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.640.477.1-3.838%-
vs Similar (6)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.937.679.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
75.6Avg total
39.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.077.6-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.576.9-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.244.480.6-8.221%-
vs Similar (8)38.935.974.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)32.333.365.7-1.033%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.3
52.0%
58.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.2
29.1%
31.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.29.5
62.5%
69.7%9.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.010.5
30.0%
31.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
69.7%12.5
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWWLWLLWLW
Ibar Rozaje
LWLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#14
-11.7
Net rating
+0.6
98.7
Offensive rating
113.4
110.4
Defensive rating
112.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
11.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.1%
3-point %
30.0%
45.4%
Assist %
50.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 113.4Defence110.4 · 112.7Shooting49.0% · 52.1%3-point %29.1% · 30.0%Ball care11.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Ibar Rozaje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
0
Ibar Rozaje wins
DateGameScore
20/10/25Ibar Rozaje v Mornar Bar68-81
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26AHelios Domzale69-72
10/01/26AUlcinj87-82
05/01/26APodgorica81-67
03/01/26HLovcen Cetinje77-79
27/12/25HSutjeska90-88
24/12/25AKotor66-76
17/12/25HSiroki Brijeg63-102
13/12/25HDanilovgrad80-75
10/12/25ASloboda73-88
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
28/12/25APrimorje69-89
23/12/25HStudentski Centar87-72
20/12/25ATivat84-83
13/12/25HVukovi Zeta85-72
06/12/25ADanilovgrad88-75
22/11/25AUlcinj60-68
16/11/25HPodgorica83-85 OT
07/11/25HSutjeska70-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game82.184.679.6
Allowed / game77.977.678.3
Point differential+4.1+7.0+1.3
Avg total160.0162.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game78.080.874.3
Allowed / game78.976.082.7
Point differential-0.9+4.8-8.3
Avg total156.9156.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1513287%92.379.9+12.4
2 Jedinstvo1512380%88.482.9+5.5
3 Sutjeska1410471%94.280.6+13.6
4 Mornar Bar149564%82.177.9+4.1
5 Lovcen Cetinje159660%76.976.5+0.4
6 Kotor148657%79.879.7+0.1
7 Ibar Rozaje147750%78.078.9-0.9
8 Decic145936%84.686.6-2.1
9 Podgorica145936%78.280.5-2.3
10 Studentski Centar145936%78.185.4-7.4
11 Ulcinj1551033%78.781.9-3.3
12 Tivat1551033%87.795.5-7.7
13 Vukovi Zeta1441029%83.587.3-3.8
14 Danilovgrad1541127%80.489.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1821232991
Ibar Rozaje132192972
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