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Ibar Rozaje vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-81
26-17 16-16 23-22 24-26
Position#14
Record7-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#15
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.5
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 20· Dvorana na Bandzovom brdu
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ibar Rozaje v Ulcinj
14 Feb 2026
IBAR89
ULCI81
16 Mar 2019
IBAR86
ULCI73
27 Jan 2018
IBAR72
ULCI86
28 Jan 2017
IBAR69
ULCI49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibar Rozaje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulcinj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 66
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 66
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 66
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 66
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
59avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
63avg 66
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
57avg 66
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
17-28
22-25
19-14
17-9
23-20
26-16
21-27
10-29
24-15
21-28
14-17
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
13-18
21-21
9-23
29-29
20-22
15-14
12-23
11-16
13-17
19-20
18-15
15-33
26-25
21-29
11-26
16-28
17-17
24-18
13-22
13-24
161.1Avg total
75.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.281.3156.4-6.137%
Season at home (9)78.275.9154.1+2.356%
Season away (10)72.486.1158.5-13.720%
Last 10 (10)75.285.9161.1-10.730%
Last 5 (5)67.288.0155.2-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.387.2161.5-12.815%
vs Similar (8)77.474.5151.9+2.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)63.574.5138.0-11.00%
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlcinj
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 66
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 66
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 66
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 66
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-128
75
128
-53
55avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
64-86
64
86
-22
50avg 66
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
60avg 66
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
28-30
21-22
15-20
21-28
13-23
17-18
30-18
23-25
23-27
22-21
23-15
32-22
18-26
19-19
26-22
13-21
24-26
21-21
24-19
13-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
24-22
21-12
15-30
12-21
16-30
20-34
19-33
20-31
16-38
14-21
17-6
17-21
21-25
25-25
9-15
16-12
169.1Avg total
79.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.984.5161.4-7.526%
Season at home (10)75.481.9157.3-6.520%
Season away (9)78.787.3166.0-8.733%
Last 10 (10)79.489.7169.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)71.491.4162.8-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.086.8163.8-9.820%
vs Similar (2)72.577.5150.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (3)98.072.0170.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Ibar RozajeUlcinj
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A11/02
Prva A Liga
79.7Avg total
40.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.477.3-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.339.777.0-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)36.641.077.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.779.7+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.278.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.643.379.9-6.625%-
vs Similar (8)38.135.073.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.033.068.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Prva A Liga
89.3Avg total
40.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.583.2-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.183.0-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.245.283.4-7.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.948.489.3-7.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.885.8-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.845.484.2-6.632%-
vs Similar (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (3)52.333.085.3+19.3100%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.2
57.9%
58.8%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.88.8
26.7%
31.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.6%
69.7%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulcinj: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.5
53.1%
58.8%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.85.0
25.3%
31.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.0
74.5%
69.7%19.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibar Rozaje
LLLLLLWLWW
Ulcinj
LLLLLLWWLL
#14
League position
#15
-12.3
Net rating
-20.6
102.2
Offensive rating
102.5
114.5
Defensive rating
123.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
26.7%
3-point %
25.3%
54.6%
Assist %
50.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 102.5Defence114.5 · 123.1Shooting48.8% · 48.4%3-point %26.7% · 25.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Ibar Rozaje   ■ Ulcinj
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ibar Rozaje wins
6
Ulcinj wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Ulcinj v Ibar Rozaje68-60
16/03/19Ibar Rozaje v Ulcinj86-73
15/12/18Ulcinj v Ibar Rozaje86-72
27/01/18Ibar Rozaje v Ulcinj72-86
28/10/17Ulcinj v Ibar Rozaje72-65
18/03/17Ulcinj v Ibar Rozaje81-67
28/01/17Ibar Rozaje v Ulcinj69-49
30/11/16Ulcinj v Ibar Rozaje76-72
Ibar Rozajelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26APodgorica67-81
07/02/26ASutjeska74-108
31/01/26AKotor65-85
24/01/26HLovcen Cetinje58-75
17/01/26AMornar Bar72-91
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
28/12/25APrimorje69-89
23/12/25HStudentski Centar87-72
20/12/25ATivat84-83
Ulcinjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HDanilovgrad71-77
07/02/26HPodgorica64-86
31/01/26ASutjeska75-128
24/01/26HKotor72-85
17/01/26ALovcen Cetinje75-81
10/01/26HMornar Bar82-87
05/01/26HJedinstvo95-89
27/12/25ADecic91-88
17/12/25AStudentski Centar81-87
13/12/25HTivat88-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game75.278.272.4
Allowed / game81.375.986.1
Point differential-6.1+2.3-13.7
Avg total156.4154.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Ulcinj
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%20%33%
Points / game76.975.478.7
Allowed / game84.581.987.3
Point differential-7.5-6.5-8.7
Avg total161.4157.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska1915479%97.878.5+19.3
2 Primorje1915479%91.181.5+9.6
3 Mornar Bar1914574%85.980.2+5.7
4 Jedinstvo1913668%88.684.9+3.7
5 Lovcen Cetinje1812667%78.475.7+2.7
6 Kotor1910953%79.679.2+0.4
7 Podgorica1991047%79.377.7+1.6
8 Studentski Centar1881044%80.384.0-3.7
9 Tivat1971237%89.195.1-6.0
10 Ibar Rozaje1971237%75.281.3-6.1
11 Decic1961332%84.289.8-5.7
12 Danilovgrad1961332%80.787.9-7.2
13 Vukovi Zeta1951426%81.588.3-6.8
14 Ulcinj1951426%76.984.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibar Rozaje2616232489
Ulcinj1716222681
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