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Ulcinj vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-87
13-21 24-26 21-21 24-19
Position#15
Record5-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game77.6
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 14
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ulcinj v Mornar Bar
10 Jan 2026
ULCI82
MBA87
27 Apr 2019
ULCI78
MBA85
21 Apr 2018
ULCI72
MBA80
08 Apr 2017
ULCI0
MBA20
30 Mar 2011
ULCI80
MBA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulcinj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlcinjMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlcinj
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
72avg 70
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
69avg 70
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
72avg 70
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
no box
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 70
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
48avg 70
H09/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 70
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 70
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 70
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
11-24
22-28
28-15
20-22
17-13
17-18
28-28
17-13
23-22
23-18
16-12
17-23
12-18
20-10
19-9
16-30
29-23
14-26
28-20
20-18
20-32
10-19
22-16
24-17
28-30
21-22
15-20
21-28
13-23
17-18
30-18
23-25
23-27
22-21
23-15
32-22
18-26
19-19
26-22
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.781.6160.3-2.938%
Season at home (6)77.580.7158.2-3.233%
Season away (7)79.782.4162.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.487.6173.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.985.5163.3-7.624%
vs Similar (3)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (6)91.870.3162.2+21.5100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 67
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 67
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
63-102
63
102
-39
50avg 67
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
52avg 67
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 67
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
65avg 67
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
72avg 67
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
12-15
17-27
20-21
25-13
19-20
25-22
13-29
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
18-21
15-12
20-30
20-25
21-17
21-22
17-12
21-24
18-23
22-25
8-26
15-28
15-21
20-20
21-13
10-22
26-19
22-26
17-21
25-22
21-19
24-26
16-24
16-10
17-17
26-18
13-13
25-19
161.4Avg total
78.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.777.6159.3+4.162%
Season at home (7)84.677.6162.1+7.071%
Season away (6)78.377.7156.0+0.750%
Last 10 (10)78.383.1161.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)75.482.4157.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.188.7162.8-14.612%
vs Similar (6)86.374.5160.8+11.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
UlcinjMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H09/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H05/01
Prva A Liga
85.0Avg total
39.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.081.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.980.0+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.183.5-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.285.0-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.694.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.844.483.2-5.729%-
vs Similar (3)39.337.376.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker (6)48.530.879.3+17.7100%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/01
Prva A Liga
83.7Avg total
42.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.641.282.8+0.565%-
Last 30 away (13)36.839.276.0-2.523%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.083.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.241.677.8-5.331%-
vs Similar (6)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.137.778.9+3.457%-
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulcinj: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.026.0
53.1%
58.8%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.0
40.0%
31.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.019.0
82.6%
69.7%19.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.5
49.9%
58.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.4
30.3%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.1
64.9%
69.7%11.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulcinj
WWLLLLWWWL
Mornar Bar
WLWLLWLWLL
#15
League position
#4
+7.8
Net rating
-17.5
124.0
Offensive rating
99.2
116.1
Defensive rating
116.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.0%
3-point %
30.3%
58.8%
Assist %
48.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence124.0 · 99.2Defence116.1 · 116.7Shooting55.1% · 48.2%3-point %40.0% · 30.3%Ball care0.0% · 12.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ulcinj   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulcinj wins
9
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Mornar Bar v Ulcinj75-71
07/05/19Mornar Bar v Ulcinj90-74
27/04/19Ulcinj v Mornar Bar78-85
06/05/18Mornar Bar v Ulcinj96-62
21/04/18Ulcinj v Mornar Bar72-80
08/04/17Ulcinj v Mornar Bar0-20
01/04/17Mornar Bar v Ulcinj85-68
06/04/11Mornar Bar v Ulcinj77-69
30/03/11Ulcinj v Mornar Bar80-68
23/03/11Mornar Bar v Ulcinj69-60
Ulcinjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HJedinstvo95-89
27/12/25ADecic91-88
17/12/25AStudentski Centar81-87
13/12/25HTivat88-89
09/12/25HPrimorje72-85
06/12/25AVukovi Zeta87-99
22/11/25HIbar Rozaje68-60
15/11/25ADanilovgrad79-65
08/11/25APodgorica82-81
01/11/25HSutjeska75-83
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26APodgorica81-67
03/01/26HLovcen Cetinje77-79
27/12/25HSutjeska90-88
24/12/25AKotor66-76
17/12/25HSiroki Brijeg63-102
13/12/25HDanilovgrad80-75
10/12/25ASloboda73-88
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
21/11/25HDecic82-84
16/11/25APrimorje71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulcinj
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game78.777.579.7
Allowed / game81.680.782.4
Point differential-2.9-3.2-2.7
Avg total160.3158.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game81.784.678.3
Allowed / game77.677.677.7
Point differential+4.1+7.0+0.7
Avg total159.3162.1156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1311285%91.378.3+13.0
2 Jedinstvo1310377%88.282.5+5.6
3 Sutjeska128467%91.881.4+10.3
4 Mornar Bar138562%81.777.6+4.1
5 Kotor138562%80.277.8+2.4
6 Ibar Rozaje137654%77.577.8-0.3
7 Lovcen Cetinje137654%77.277.6-0.5
8 Studentski Centar125742%77.383.2-5.8
9 Podgorica135838%79.481.4-2.0
10 Ulcinj135838%78.781.6-2.9
11 Tivat135838%87.195.1-8.0
12 Vukovi Zeta124833%82.486.2-3.8
13 Decic123925%82.585.8-3.2
14 Danilovgrad1331023%79.088.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulcinj1324212482
Mornar Bar2126211987
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