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Idaho State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 63-71
29-37 34-34
Position#201
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game62.9
vs
Position#138
Record11-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Idaho State v Montana State
07 Jan 2027
IDAH v MONT
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
IDAH91
MONT76
10 Mar 2025
IDAH60
MONT80
16 Jan 2025
IDAH70
MONT67
28 Dec 2023
IDAH66
MONT74
11 Feb 2023
IDAH52
MONT58
07 Feb 2022
IDAH54
MONT72
11 Mar 2021
IDAH63
MONT71
25 Jan 2020
IDAH64
MONT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#251
W
57-56 OT
57
56
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
L
43-69
43
69
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
69-43
69
43
+26
H12/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
64-58 OT
64
58
+6
H13/02
NCAA
Montana
#158
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Montana
#158
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H27/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A04/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
19-26
29-29
36-41
30-25
34-32
26-37
17-32
38-23
31-20
28-27
26-27
23-34
35-30
19-32
39-27
31-37
37-26
32-47
30-28
122.2Avg total
60.8Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.462.9127.2+1.650%
Season at home (9)66.458.0124.4+8.456%
Season away (11)62.766.8129.5-4.145%
Last 10 (10)60.861.4122.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)62.063.8125.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.979.0146.9-11.114%
vs Similar ◀ (17)63.267.6130.8-4.529%
vs Weaker (5)73.857.6131.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#313
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
31-25
25-26
33-27
45-43
43-53
33-37
41-45
42-49
35-44
33-36
36-49
37-38
32-36
32-30
39-31
35-36
42-39
29-30
44-44
146.2Avg total
71.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.872.5147.3+2.355%
Season at home (8)80.874.5155.2+6.262%
Season away (12)70.971.2142.1-0.250%
Last 10 (10)71.874.4146.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)71.873.8145.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.179.6148.7-10.411%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.270.9142.1+0.269%
vs Weaker (7)72.160.7132.9+11.471%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
Idaho StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#251
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Montana
#158
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Montana
#158
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H27/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/03
NCAA
60.0Avg total
28.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.164.7-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.530.860.4-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)33.134.968.0-1.835%-
Last 10 (10)28.631.460.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)26.635.462.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.342.075.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.432.662.0-3.235%-
vs Weaker (5)36.226.262.4+10.080%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#313
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.867.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.734.370.0+1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)31.933.465.3-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.169.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.067.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.636.068.6-3.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.934.066.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (7)34.930.665.4+4.357%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Idaho State wins
2
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
14/02/20Montana State v Idaho State73-69
26/01/20Idaho State v Montana State64-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21AEast. Washington62-75
04/03/21AEast. Washington68-63
27/02/21HMontana58-59
26/02/21HMontana58-64
13/02/21HIdaho64-58 OT
12/02/21HIdaho69-43
23/01/21APortland State43-69
22/01/21APortland State64-57
18/01/21HSacramento State65-70
17/01/21HSacramento State57-56 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HSacramento State73-74
05/03/21HSacramento State77-75
28/02/21AIdaho71-61
27/02/21AIdaho69-74
13/02/21HEast. Washington69-85
12/02/21HEast. Washington77-93
06/02/21AWeber State74-82
05/02/21AWeber State88-96
23/01/21ANorthern Arizona58-53
22/01/21ANorthern Arizona62-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%56%45%
Points / game64.466.462.7
Allowed / game62.958.066.8
Point differential+1.6+8.4-4.1
Avg total127.2124.4129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %10%22%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %55%62%50%
Points / game74.880.870.9
Allowed / game72.574.571.2
Point differential+2.4+6.2-0.2
Avg total147.3155.2142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State2217577%82.168.8+13.3
2 East. Washington2013765%79.371.6+7.7
3 Montana State2011955%74.872.5+2.4
4 Montana26141254%71.266.3+4.9
5 Northern Colorado21111052%71.869.8+2.0
6 Idaho State20101050%64.462.9+1.6
7 Portland State2291341%68.766.5+2.2
8 Sacramento State2081240%72.272.1+0.1
9 Northern Arizona2161529%63.375.0-11.6
10 Idaho221215%61.076.5-15.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho State293463
Montana State373471
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