PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Idaho vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 68-45
0-0 27-13 0-0 41-32
Position#136
Record17-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.8
Idaho 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record10-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho v Sacramento State
07 Mar 2026
IDAH68
SACR45
22 Jan 2026
IDAH86
SACR76
08 Feb 2025
IDAH78
SACR76
09 Mar 2024
IDAH64
SACR72
28 Dec 2023
IDAH61
SACR58
05 Jan 2023
IDAH83
SACR85
22 Jan 2022
IDAH73
SACR72
22 Feb 2020
IDAH56
SACR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A01/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-23
0-0
32-39
0-0
26-36
0-0
40-37
0-0
29-19
0-0
39-54
0-0
21-44
0-0
51-39
0-0
60-30
0-0
39-39
0-0
27-41
0-0
40-36
0-0
42-40
0-0
44-40
0-0
37-29
0-0
41-29
0-0
40-33
0-0
27-43
0-0
34-30
0-0
51-51
149.9Avg total
76.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.073.8152.8+5.255%
Season at home (15)83.571.2154.7+12.367%
Season away (16)74.876.2150.9-1.444%
Last 10 (10)76.773.2149.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.674.4151.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.377.9151.2-4.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.171.1154.1+12.073%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H03/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
49-32
0-0
37-47
0-0
53-32
0-0
51-58
0-0
31-32
0-0
42-42
0-0
37-51
0-0
42-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-57
0-0
55-45
0-0
40-42
0-0
40-44
0-0
32-42
0-0
41-39
0-0
33-37
0-0
28-45
0-0
46-29
0-0
37-36
164.0Avg total
80.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.882.5161.2-3.733%
Season at home (14)86.677.8164.4+8.971%
Season away (16)71.986.6158.4-14.70%
Last 10 (10)80.783.3164.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)78.283.2161.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.586.2162.8-9.720%
vs Similar (7)78.478.4156.9+0.043%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
IdahoSacramento State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A01/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H28/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/03
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.670.5+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.974.8+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)33.932.366.1+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.568.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)32.936.269.1-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.531.572.0+9.167%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/03
NCAA
77.7Avg total
38.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.477.4-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.177.5+3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.043.377.3-9.36%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.277.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.342.079.3-4.720%-
vs Similar (7)33.739.773.4-6.014%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Idaho wins
3
Sacramento State wins
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AEast. Washington85-81
28/02/26HNorthern Colorado67-76
27/02/26HNorthern Arizona78-58
22/02/26ASacramento State86-80
20/02/26APortland State67-77
14/02/26HIdaho State99-69
13/02/26HWeber State72-83
07/02/26AMontana68-73
06/02/26AMontana State66-73
01/02/26ANorthern Arizona79-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HIdaho State83-65
28/02/26AMontana State61-82
27/02/26AMontana73-81
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
08/02/26HPortland State73-74
03/02/26HWeber State104-90
01/02/26HMontana86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%67%44%
Points / game79.083.574.8
Allowed / game73.871.276.2
Point differential+5.2+12.3-1.4
Avg total152.8154.7150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLLW71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%71%0%
Points / game78.886.671.9
Allowed / game82.577.886.6
Point differential-3.7+8.9-14.7
Avg total161.2164.4158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State29191066%76.569.9+6.7
2 Northern Colorado31201165%82.375.9+6.4
3 Montana State31181358%78.071.2+6.8
4 Idaho31171455%79.073.8+5.2
5 Weber State31161552%81.377.1+4.2
6 Montana31161552%77.174.1+3.0
7 East. Washington31131842%78.278.9-0.7
8 Idaho State32131941%74.475.9-1.5
9 Sacramento State30102033%78.882.5-3.7
10 Northern Arizona32102231%71.376.4-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Idaho02704168
Sacramento State01303245
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.