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Idaho vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-76
53-38 33-38
Position#136
Record11-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game73.3
Idaho 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record6-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho v Sacramento State
07 Mar 2026
IDAH68
SACR45
22 Jan 2026
IDAH86
SACR76
08 Feb 2025
IDAH78
SACR76
09 Mar 2024
IDAH64
SACR72
28 Dec 2023
IDAH61
SACR58
05 Jan 2023
IDAH83
SACR85
22 Jan 2022
IDAH73
SACR72
22 Feb 2020
IDAH56
SACR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
109-55
109
55
+54
H14/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-44
43-37
33-33
32-47
56-17
53-38
29-26
44-47
23-26
40-38
37-37
47-44
30-44
43-35
30-48
62-41
36-37
32-39
41-29
34-38
154.8Avg total
79.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.473.3153.7+7.161%
Season at home (9)87.270.8158.0+16.478%
Season away (9)73.675.8149.3-2.244%
Last 10 (10)79.675.2154.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.078.6149.6-7.629%
vs Similar (12)75.977.3153.2-1.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.672.1153.7+9.560%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco State
#546
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-23
45-23
32-32
22-36
47-52
41-58
34-38
33-36
44-52
44-48
32-41
52-56
39-50
43-45
32-46
37-50
34-39
49-30
31-43
51-39
164.6Avg total
80.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.282.4160.6-4.135%
Season at home (7)87.173.3160.4+13.986%
Season away (10)72.088.7160.7-16.70%
Last 10 (10)80.284.4164.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)82.289.2171.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.282.1151.3-12.99%
vs Similar (5)77.477.8155.2-0.440%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
IdahoSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A11/12
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H14/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A18/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.770.7+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.935.872.8+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)35.333.869.1+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.169.7+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.435.468.9-2.029%-
vs Similar (12)35.937.273.2-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.831.669.4+6.250%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco State
#546
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H18/01
NCAA
79.0Avg total
37.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.140.074.1-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.038.171.1-5.125%-
Last 30 away (18)34.841.276.1-6.422%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.679.0-4.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.877.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.541.273.7-8.714%-
vs Similar (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Idaho wins
4
Sacramento State wins
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AWeber State75-67
16/01/26AIdaho State68-76
10/01/26HMontana State92-89
09/01/26HMontana73-79
03/01/26HEast. Washington84-81
23/12/25ACSU Bakersfield63-64
22/12/25ACal Poly83-80 OT
14/12/25HEvergreen State109-55
11/12/25ANotre Dame65-80
06/12/25ASouth Dakota St.84-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HNorthern Colorado93-89 OT
16/01/26HNorthern Arizona83-69
10/01/26APortland State69-96
04/01/26AWeber State82-95
02/01/26AIdaho State84-97
23/12/25ACS Northridge88-100
21/12/25ACalifornia Baptist67-74
03/12/25ABaylor88-110
30/11/25APacific54-68
26/11/25HSan Francisco State94-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game80.487.273.6
Allowed / game73.370.875.8
Point differential+7.1+16.4-2.2
Avg total153.7158.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %35%86%0%
Points / game78.287.172.0
Allowed / game82.473.388.7
Point differential-4.1+13.9-16.7
Avg total160.6160.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1611569%81.671.6+9.9
2 Idaho1811761%80.473.3+7.1
3 Montana State1911858%78.870.2+8.6
4 Northern Colorado2011955%83.577.8+5.6
5 Weber State1910953%83.375.3+8.1
6 Montana1910953%80.473.8+6.5
7 Idaho State1910953%76.973.9+3.0
8 Sacramento State1761135%78.282.4-4.1
9 Northern Arizona2061430%72.375.7-3.4
10 East. Washington1841422%76.983.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho533386
Sacramento State383876
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