PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Montana State vs Idaho Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-66
36-26 37-40
Position#144
Record13-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#136
Record13-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho
16 Jan 2027
MONT v IDAH
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MONT74
IDAH78
05 Feb 2026
MONT73
IDAH66
03 Mar 2025
MONT75
IDAH60
03 Feb 2024
MONT75
IDAH81
29 Dec 2022
MONT72
IDAH58
29 Jan 2022
MONT70
IDAH64
06 Feb 2020
MONT72
IDAH50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
38-45
42-38
21-23
33-40
150.1Avg total
77.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.170.9149.0+7.257%
Season at home (10)86.166.2152.3+19.990%
Season away (13)71.974.5146.4-2.531%
Last 10 (10)77.173.0150.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)74.472.8147.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.072.5148.5+3.558%
vs Weaker (13)79.268.2147.3+11.062%
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-26
40-38
37-37
47-44
30-44
43-35
30-48
62-41
36-37
32-39
41-29
34-38
53-38
33-38
26-33
40-36
37-36
46-55
47-23
32-39
152.3Avg total
76.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.073.5153.5+6.559%
Season at home (11)85.271.1156.3+14.173%
Season away (11)74.975.9150.8-1.045%
Last 10 (10)76.975.4152.3+1.550%
Last 5 (5)77.873.0150.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.477.4148.8-6.040%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.078.2153.2-3.242%
vs Weaker (12)81.871.6153.3+10.267%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
Montana StateIdaho
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.932.469.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.032.874.8+9.285%-
Last 30 away (17)33.132.165.1+1.035%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.368.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.269.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.034.863.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.733.069.7+3.767%-
vs Weaker (13)38.932.171.0+6.854%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A18/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A01/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.871.1+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.534.773.2+3.854%-
Last 30 away (17)36.433.169.5+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.171.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.872.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.234.071.2+3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.936.571.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (12)39.831.471.2+8.458%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Montana State wins
4
Idaho wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Idaho v Montana State92-89
04/03/25Montana State v Idaho75-60
03/01/25Idaho v Montana State69-64
01/03/24Idaho v Montana State48-62
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
07/01/22Idaho v Montana State72-92
28/02/21Idaho v Montana State61-71
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26APortland State54-63
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ANorthern Arizona79-62
30/01/26ANorthern Colorado83-91
24/01/26HPortland State66-69
23/01/26HSacramento State86-76
18/01/26AWeber State75-67
16/01/26AIdaho State68-76
10/01/26HMontana State92-89
09/01/26HMontana73-79
03/01/26HEast. Washington84-81
23/12/25ACSU Bakersfield63-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %57%90%31%
Points / game78.186.171.9
Allowed / game70.966.274.5
Point differential+7.2+19.9-2.5
Avg total149.0152.3146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Idaho
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game80.085.274.9
Allowed / game73.571.175.9
Point differential+6.5+14.1-1.0
Avg total153.5156.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2115671%78.669.3+9.2
2 Idaho2213959%80.073.5+6.5
3 Montana State23131057%78.170.9+7.2
4 Montana23131057%79.172.8+6.3
5 Northern Colorado23131057%83.177.9+5.2
6 Weber State23111248%82.977.6+5.3
7 Idaho State23101343%75.174.7+0.5
8 Sacramento State2291341%79.482.3-2.9
9 Northern Arizona2381535%73.176.3-3.3
10 East. Washington2251723%76.381.7-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State363773
Idaho264066
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.