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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 88-78
23-15 24-17 22-19 19-27
Position#5
Record9-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#6
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game80.3
AustraliaNBL
Other2017-18
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns
25 Nov 2019
ILLA114
CAIR106
14 Oct 2019
ILLA89
CAIR88
04 Feb 2019
ILLA110
CAIR95
26 Jan 2019
ILLA82
CAIR81
28 Jan 2018
ILLA88
CAIR78
28 Dec 2017
ILLA106
CAIR102
09 Dec 2015
ILLA97
CAIR82
06 Nov 2015
ILLA96
CAIR88
27 Dec 2014
ILLA93
CAIR100
19 Oct 2014
ILLA89
CAIR91
08 Mar 2014
ILLA79
CAIR82
19 Jan 2014
ILLA77
CAIR79
11 Jan 2013
ILLA81
CAIR94
17 Nov 2012
ILLA73
CAIR59
13 Jan 2012
ILLA59
CAIR61
19 Mar 2011
ILLA67
CAIR68
28 Jan 2011
ILLA86
CAIR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A04/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
H10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H23/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
H28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
A19/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
93-112
93
112
-19
H21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-24
8-22
23-23
24-25
20-21
20-25
27-28
28-32
11-19
17-10
22-23
18-30
32-19
21-17
25-18
31-27
25-25
25-30
25-20
32-24
22-26
27-22
23-10
24-17
24-19
17-20
12-23
18-21
28-23
14-14
30-21
25-32
20-32
20-25
25-23
30-39
19-27
30-24
14-22
182.2Avg total
89.8Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.291.4180.6-2.243%
Season at home (11)93.791.7185.5+2.055%
Season away (10)84.291.1175.3-6.930%
Last 10 (10)89.892.4182.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)90.892.8183.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.292.7175.9-9.520%
vs Similar ◀ (19)90.989.6180.5+1.353%
vs Weaker (1)106.079.0185.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CairnsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H14/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#5
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A28/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H31/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H20/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A24/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
13-19
26-23
20-21
23-14
15-26
14-30
17-18
28-18
14-15
27-17
25-25
27-31
25-25
30-25
20-25
18-32
15-14
16-12
19-25
22-20
23-18
25-20
13-22
18-22
19-25
14-13
18-22
22-30
24-24
21-24
23-22
22-15
19-22
13-20
27-14
13-21
12-14
22-16
21-28
163.7Avg total
79.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.480.3159.7-1.042%
Season at home (13)80.276.5156.6+3.762%
Season away (11)78.584.9163.4-6.518%
Last 10 (10)79.883.9163.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.282.4160.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.582.2161.7-2.638%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.680.4159.9-0.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Illawarra HawksCairns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A04/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A19/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H21/01
NBL
97.7Avg total
47.3Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.146.792.8-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.346.794.9+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)43.946.790.6-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)47.350.497.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.452.0100.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.649.993.5-6.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.445.792.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker (1)64.034.098.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H14/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A28/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H31/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NBL
80.4Avg total
38.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.082.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.281.8+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.644.082.6-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.780.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.442.282.5-1.846%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.141.981.9-1.835%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
7
Cairns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18HAdelaide93-112
19/01/18AAdelaide90-112
13/01/18HNew Zealand Breakers90-79
06/01/18HMelbourne United77-79
31/12/17HBrisbane Bullets104-82
28/12/17HCairns106-102
23/12/17HPerth96-84
16/12/17HMelbourne United78-84
10/12/17HPerth91-99
04/12/17AMelbourne United73-91
Cairnslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/18AMelbourne United68-79
20/01/18HNew Zealand Breakers81-71
11/01/18AAdelaide90-100
07/01/18ANew Zealand Breakers69-82
05/01/18HBrisbane Bullets83-80
31/12/17HPerth68-83
28/12/17AIllawarra Hawks102-106
24/12/17AAdelaide94-75
17/12/17ASydney69-88
14/12/17HBrisbane Bullets74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game89.293.784.2
Allowed / game91.491.791.1
Point differential-2.2+2.0-6.9
Avg total180.6185.5175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Cairns
NBL 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%62%18%
Points / game79.480.278.5
Allowed / game80.376.584.9
Point differential-1.0+3.7-6.5
Avg total159.7156.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2316770%86.782.3+4.4
2 Adelaide2415962%93.990.2+3.7
3 Perth2314961%84.380.2+4.1
4 New Zealand Breakers2213959%84.884.4+0.5
5 Illawarra Hawks2191243%89.291.4-2.2
6 Cairns24101442%79.480.3-1.0
7 Brisbane Bullets2381535%84.988.7-3.8
8 Sydney2471729%85.190.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2324221988
Cairns1517192778
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