Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 90-79

18-21 28-23 14-14 30-21

Position#5

Record8-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game89.8

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#4

Record12-6

FormLLWLW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game84.1

NBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

96-87

A11/11

NBL

Sydney

97-93 OT

H16/11

NBL

Cairns

66-87

-21

A18/11

NBL

Melbourne United

73-91

-18

A04/12

NBL

Perth

91-99

-8

H10/12

NBL

Melbourne United

78-84

-6

H16/12

NBL

Perth

96-84

+12

H23/12

NBL

Cairns

106-102

106

102

H28/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

104-82

104

+22

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

77-79

-2

H06/01

NBL

20-30

19-20

24-22

33-15

14-25

17-21

25-26

24-8

25-32

17-19

10-15

14-21

20-22

22-24

8-22

23-23

24-25

20-21

20-25

27-28

28-32

11-19

17-10

22-23

18-30

32-19

21-17

25-18

31-27

25-25

25-30

25-20

32-24

22-26

27-22

23-10

24-17

24-19

17-20

12-23

177.2Avg total

88.4Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	88.9	89.8	178.7	-0.9	44%
Season at home (9)	94.2	90.9	185.1	+3.3	56%
Season away (9)	83.6	88.8	172.3	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	88.8	177.2	-0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	86.2	178.4	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	81.1	87.9	169.0	-6.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	90.3	90.2	180.6	+0.1	48%
vs Weaker (1)	106.0	79.0	185.0	+27.0	100%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

88-82

A12/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-82

H19/11

NBL

Perth

73-89

-16

H01/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

76-81

-5

A03/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-89

H07/12

NBL

Adelaide

92-95

-3

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

75-90

-15

H15/12

NBL

Sydney

98-95

A21/12

NBL

Adelaide

85-88

-3

A29/12

NBL

Cairns

82-69

+13

H07/01

NBL

23-21

16-20

21-17

28-24

16-16

19-18

26-24

29-24

19-21

17-14

16-24

21-30

15-20

21-24

16-18

24-19

24-23

25-24

24-22

23-20

23-29

21-23

24-28

24-15

21-19

25-20

18-17

11-34

24-25

19-23

28-21

27-26

17-25

21-24

23-19

24-20

22-18

25-19

13-14

22-18

171.5Avg total

85.5Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.8	84.1	169.9	+1.7	67%
Season at home (10)	84.4	83.1	167.5	+1.3	70%
Season away (8)	87.6	85.4	173.0	+2.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	86.0	171.5	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	87.4	173.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	83.9	82.3	166.1	+1.6	57%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	84.2	83.3	167.5	+0.8	65%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	24.3	47.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	24.3	49.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	24.3	46.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	26.4	50.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	26.0	52.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	26.0	47.6	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	23.9	24.0	47.8	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	18.0	51.0	+15.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.3	42.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	21.7	44.5	+1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.1	42.9	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.3	22.1	44.5	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	16.0	47.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

39-50

-11

A11/11

NBL

Sydney

31-46

-15

H16/11

NBL

Cairns

42-51

-9

A18/11

NBL

Melbourne United

42-46

-4

A04/12

NBL

Perth

44-46

-2

H10/12

NBL

Melbourne United

39-51

-12

H16/12

NBL

Perth

50-49

H23/12

NBL

Cairns

56-52

H28/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-50

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

48-36

+12

H06/01

NBL

92.2Avg total

44.5Scored

47.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	45.7	91.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	45.9	94.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	45.5	88.9	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	47.7	92.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	47.6	97.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.8	46.1	88.9	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	46.2	46.1	92.3	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	64.0	34.0	98.0	+30.0	100%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

39-41

-2

A12/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

35-34

H19/11

NBL

Perth

36-35

H01/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

36-44

-8

A03/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-47

H07/12

NBL

Adelaide

44-52

-8

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

46-39

H15/12

NBL

Sydney

43-48

-5

A21/12

NBL

Adelaide

38-49

-11

A29/12

NBL

Cairns

47-37

+10

H07/01

NBL

83.9Avg total

41.3Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.6	83.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	44.9	85.9	-4.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.6	83.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	45.0	88.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	42.1	42.0	84.1	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	21.7	44.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	18.9	34.5	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.8	40.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-1.0	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.9	41.7	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.8	22.9	45.6	-0.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.4	20.2	41.7	+1.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	23.2	45.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	22.1	42.6	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	41.8	85.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.7	83.6	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	39.8	82.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.4	41.8	80.1	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.5	83.6	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	43.9	85.6	-2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	38.8	81.3	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	43.4	87.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.9	42.3	84.1	-0.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.8	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/17	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	86-95
02/12/16	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	91-95
20/11/16	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	109-78
18/11/16	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	100-85
17/01/16	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	96-103 OT
14/01/16	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	87-69
20/12/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	83-107
14/10/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	96-75
11/01/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	84-86
08/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	98-91 OT

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/18	H	Melbourne United	77-79
31/12/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	104-82
28/12/17	H	Cairns	106-102
23/12/17	H	Perth	96-84
16/12/17	H	Melbourne United	78-84
10/12/17	H	Perth	91-99
04/12/17	A	Melbourne United	73-91
18/11/17	A	Cairns	66-87
16/11/17	H	Sydney	97-93 OT
11/11/17	A	Adelaide	96-87

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/18	H	Cairns	82-69
29/12/17	A	Adelaide	85-88
21/12/17	A	Sydney	98-95
15/12/17	H	Adelaide	75-90
10/12/17	A	Adelaide	92-95
07/12/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	96-89
03/12/17	A	Brisbane Bullets	76-81
01/12/17	H	Perth	73-89
19/11/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-82
12/11/17	A	Perth	88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	44%
Home	LWWWL	56%
Away	WWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	56%	33%
Points / game	88.9	94.2	83.6
Allowed / game	89.8	90.9	88.8
Point differential	-0.9	+3.3	-5.2
Avg total	178.7	185.1	172.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	22%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	22%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	67%
Home	WLWLW	70%
Away	WLLWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	67%	70%	62%
Points / game	85.8	84.4	87.6
Allowed / game	84.1	83.1	85.4
Point differential	+1.7	+1.3	+2.2
Avg total	169.9	167.5	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	100% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	19	13	6	68%	86.3	81.9	+4.4
2	New Zealand Breakers	18	12	6	67%	85.8	84.1	+1.7
3	Perth	19	12	7	63%	86.0	80.2	+5.8
4	Adelaide	21	13	8	62%	92.4	89.9	+2.5
5	Illawarra Hawks	18	8	10	44%	88.9	89.8	-0.9
6	Cairns	22	9	13	41%	79.8	80.8	-1.0
7	Brisbane Bullets	20	7	13	35%	84.1	88.3	-4.2
8	Sydney	21	5	16	24%	85.6	93.0	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	18	28	14	30	90
New Zealand Breakers	21	23	14	21	79

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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