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Illiabum vs Galitos Aveiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 78-70
Projected total 147.6
Final 63-68
14-12 8-18 18-14 23-24
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game76.2
Vs
76%
24%
■ ILLI 76%■ GALI 24%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.2
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Galitos Aveiro
31 Oct 2026
ILLI63
GALI68
21 Dec 2024
ILLI90
GALI70
09 Dec 2023
ILLI79
GALI60
17 Dec 2022
ILLI69
GALI66
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Illiabum host Galitos Aveiro in the Proliga. Pythia makes Illiabum the favourite at 76% and projects 78-70, about 148 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Illiabum are 2-2 this season (71.8 scored, 76.2 allowed a game), form LWLWL; Galitos Aveiro are 3-1 this season (77.2 scored, 72.2 allowed a game), form LWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winLost
75.9%fair 1.32
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos Aveiro winWon
24.1%fair 4.14
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 66
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
77-40
77
40
+37
74avg 66
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
50avg 66
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 66
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 66
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 66
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#10
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
30-19
23-13
17-23
24-7
17-7
23-15
13-11
11-16
18-16
18-8
12-23
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
143.2Avg total
72.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Season at home (2)80.072.5152.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)63.580.0143.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)72.470.8143.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.476.2145.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)62.480.2142.6-17.80%
vs Similar (12)67.269.8137.1-2.642%
vs Weaker (13)83.269.4152.5+13.885%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A23/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
42avg 67
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 67
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
50avg 67
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
90-68
90
68
+22
88avg 67
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
25-22
14-25
24-20
14-22
13-18
26-24
18-13
20-26
21-9
22-19
20-25
21-21
13-12
16-17
18-18
24-13
20-22
9-19
17-22
19-31
17-10
18-22
16-25
22-21
22-10
12-12
15-20
29-14
27-16
22-26
14-28
14-17
13-14
11-15
18-28
16-26
24-9
30-20
20-13
152.6Avg total
75.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.272.2149.5+5.075%
Season at home (2)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)63.568.5132.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)75.577.1152.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.875.4151.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.779.2147.9-10.416%
vs Similar (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.371.7156.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148Actual: Under 148
Over 148
48.4%
Under 148
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153Actual: Under 153
Over 153
36.2%
Under 153
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158Actual: Under 158
Over 158
25.5%
Under 158
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Illiabum total 74Actual: Illiabum under 74
Over 74
65.2%
Under 74
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 78Actual: Illiabum under 78
Over 78
49.0%
Under 78
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 82Actual: Illiabum under 82
Over 82
33.0%
Under 82
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 70.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro under 70.5
Over 70.5
46.8%
Under 70.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 74.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro under 74.5
Over 74.5
32.0%
Under 74.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 78.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro under 78.5
Over 78.5
19.9%
Under 78.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Illiabum -3Actual: Galitos Aveiro +3
ILLI -3
68.8%
GALI +3
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.
Spread Illiabum 0Actual: Galitos Aveiro 0
ILLI 0
75.9%
GALI 0
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.
Spread Illiabum +3Actual: Galitos Aveiro -3
ILLI +3
82.5%
GALI -3
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
IlliabumGalitos Aveiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
72.3Avg total
36.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.171.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.275.3+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.435.068.4-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.072.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.269.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.236.464.6-8.220%-
vs Similar (12)34.236.670.8-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)42.333.275.5+9.185%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Proliga
73.3Avg total
38.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.273.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.737.173.8-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.337.372.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.173.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.674.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.837.972.7-3.240%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.732.078.7+14.7100%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.3
51.1%
52.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.6
30.1%
30.4%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
67.0%13.2
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
52.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
30.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.812.5
63.1%
67.0%12.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LWLWLLWLWW
Galitos Aveiro
WLWWLLWWLL
#9
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
-5.5
87.5
Offensive rating
89.6
87.1
Defensive rating
95.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
23.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.1%
3-point %
31.2%
61.8%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 89.6Defence87.1 · 95.1Shooting49.1% · 49.6%3-point %30.1% · 31.2%Ball care17.9% · 23.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Illiabum   ■ Galitos Aveiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illiabum wins
2
Galitos Aveiro wins
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
25/04/26APortimonense59-63
19/04/26AImortal B77-40
04/04/26HGinasio Olhanense91-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBenfica Lisboa B90-68
17/10/26ASangalhos56-74
10/10/26HVasco Da Gama92-84
03/10/26ABarreirense71-63
04/05/25ABenfica Lisboa B70-88
27/04/25ABarreirense70-76
25/04/25HSampaense81-77 OT
05/04/25HSanto Andre83-79
29/03/25HMaia71-77
23/03/25ALusitania71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.880.063.5
Allowed / game76.272.580.0
Point differential-4.5+7.5-16.5
Avg total148.0152.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game77.291.063.5
Allowed / game72.276.068.5
Point differential+5.0+15.0-5.0
Avg total149.5167.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
6 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
7 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
8 CB Queluz53260%71.071.0+0.0
9 Galitos Barreiro53260%72.072.2-0.2
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum148182363
Galitos Aveiro1218142468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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