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Sampaense vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 99-70
26-18 21-12 26-20 26-20
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game68.7
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Illiabum
24 Oct 2026
SAMP99
ILLI70
08 Nov 2025
SAMP84
ILLI87
09 Nov 2024
SAMP56
ILLI94
28 Oct 2023
SAMP63
ILLI84
28 Jan 2023
SAMP56
ILLI98
28 May 2021
SAMP53
ILLI76
02 Nov 2016
SAMP73
ILLI87
13 Dec 2014
SAMP95
ILLI68
17 Oct 2010
SAMP93
ILLI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
62avg 60
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 60
H21/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
44avg 60
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 60
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 60
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 60
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 60
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 60
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 60
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 60
A18/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
25-17
8-27
18-25
23-21
22-17
9-17
13-22
10-25
16-20
18-23
16-19
20-13
15-14
19-4
23-41
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
158.2Avg total
75.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.079.7157.7-1.733%
Season at home (1)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)74.579.5154.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)75.982.3158.2-6.440%
Last 5 (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.281.8149.9-13.622%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.081.0154.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (9)75.269.8145.0+5.478%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
48-75
48
75
-27
33avg 67
A28/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 67
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
77-40
77
40
+37
74avg 67
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
50avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 67
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 67
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 67
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 67
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 67
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 67
H17/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
13-17
14-22
9-18
21-12
30-19
23-13
17-23
24-7
17-7
23-15
13-11
11-16
18-16
18-8
12-23
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
138.6Avg total
70.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.368.7141.0+3.767%
Season at home (2)80.072.5152.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)57.061.0118.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)70.268.4138.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)70.274.0144.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.474.4137.8-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.170.2138.3-2.242%
vs Weaker (13)84.469.5153.8+14.985%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
SampaenseIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
77.0Avg total
37.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.138.073.0-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.838.877.6+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)31.837.269.1-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.840.273.0-7.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.340.377.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker (9)38.832.871.6+6.078%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
70.6Avg total
35.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.772.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.275.3+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)34.734.168.9+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.870.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.673.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.433.863.2-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.536.971.4-2.433%-
vs Weaker (13)43.232.976.1+10.285%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.5
55.2%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.4
34.1%
30.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.412.6
61.8%
67.3%12.6
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.8
51.5%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.3
28.0%
30.6%15.9
🏀 Free throws19.412.9
66.5%
67.3%12.9
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWLWLWWLLL
Illiabum
WLWLLWLWWL
#8
League position
#7
-0.9
Net rating
+0.6
93.7
Offensive rating
84.1
94.6
Defensive rating
83.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.1%
3-point %
28.0%
50.9%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 84.1Defence94.6 · 83.4Shooting53.7% · 48.3%3-point %34.1% · 28.0%Ball care16.1% · 18.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Sampaense   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sampaense wins
10
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Illiabum v Sampaense83-69
08/11/25Sampaense v Illiabum84-87 OT
04/01/25Illiabum v Sampaense87-75
09/11/24Sampaense v Illiabum56-94
06/01/24Illiabum v Sampaense88-57
28/10/23Sampaense v Illiabum63-84
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
15/11/20Illiabum v Sampaense89-78
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
04/04/26ASangalhos77-72
29/03/26ALusitania60-87
21/03/26HBenfica Lisboa B67-77
15/03/26HLusitania71-99
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
25/04/26APortimonense59-63
19/04/26AImortal B77-40
04/04/26HGinasio Olhanense91-67
28/03/26ACD Povoa48-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.085.074.5
Allowed / game79.780.079.5
Point differential-1.7+5.0-5.0
Avg total157.7165.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game72.380.057.0
Allowed / game68.772.561.0
Point differential+3.7+7.5-4.0
Avg total141.0152.5118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lusitania330100%79.366.3+13.0
2 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
3 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
4 Sangalhos32167%76.064.3+11.7
5 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
6 Illiabum32167%72.368.7+3.7
7 Vasco Da Gama32167%85.382.0+3.3
8 Galitos Aveiro32167%73.073.7-0.7
9 Maia21150%82.084.0-2.0
10 Sampaense31233%78.079.7-1.7
11 Barcelos31233%73.778.0-4.3
12 Galitos Barreiro31233%66.071.0-5.0
13 Benfica Lisboa B31233%64.069.3-5.3
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Academica3030%72.379.0-6.7
16 Ginasio Olhanense3030%80.794.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2621262699
Illiabum1812202070
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