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Illiabum vs Ginasio Olhanense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 82-76
Projected total 157.7
Final 87-85
23-26 23-19 23-18 18-22
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game72.7
Illiabum 🏆
Portugal
Vs
70%
30%
■ ILLI 70%■ GINA 30%
Pythia win probability
Ginasio Olhanense
Portugal
Position#12
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game88.7
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Ginasio Olhanense
14 Nov 2026
ILLI87
GINA85
04 Apr 2026
ILLI91
GINA67
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Illiabum host Ginasio Olhanense on 14 November 2026 in the Proliga, with the model favouring Illiabum at 70% to 30% and projecting a 82-76 win for the home side, a total of 157.7 points and a 5% chance of overtime. Illiabum finish the season 3-3, averaging 72.0 points and allowing 72.7, while Ginasio Olhanense are 2-4, scoring 84.7 and conceding 88.7. Illiabum have a 2-1 record at home, 74.3 points for and 71.0 against, and have won 2 of their last 5, with a recent 82-63 victory over Barcelos away, a 63-68 loss to Galitos Aveiro at home and a 70-99 defeat to Sampaense away. Ginasio Olhanense are 0-3 on the road, 84.3 points for and 97.3 against, and have won 2 of their last 5, including a 106-76 win over Benfica Lisboa B at home, a 67-96 loss to Sangalhos away and a 93-76 win over Vasco Da Gama at home. In head-to-head history Illiabum have won both meetings, most recently 91-67 on 4 April 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
70.5%fair 1.42
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio Olhanense winLost
29.5%fair 3.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
50avg 66
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 66
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 66
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 66
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 66
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
18-16
18-8
12-23
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
143.3Avg total
70.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.072.7144.7-0.750%
Season at home (3)74.371.0145.3+3.367%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)70.173.2143.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)69.472.2141.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (13)68.272.5140.7-4.238%
vs Weaker (12)82.667.2149.8+15.483%
This opponent (Ginasio Olhanense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ginasio OlhanensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlhanense
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 67
H18/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 67
H22/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
101-77
101
77
+24
94avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 67
H01/05
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
96-105
96
105
-9
65avg 67
A03/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
56-88
56
88
-32
37avg 67
H11/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
90-91
90
91
-1
79avg 67
A17/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
93-76
93
76
+17
80avg 67
H24/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
43avg 67
A31/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
106-76
106
76
+30
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
13-15
22-16
20-24
13-20
19-14
12-30
21-11
31-22
26-14
27-24
17-17
16-23
24-22
13-16
20-22
24-30
23-28
24-16
25-31
16-21
19-24
12-30
9-13
20-22
21-29
19-22
30-18
24-20
28-16
24-20
17-20
14-32
18-17
17-14
18-33
33-16
25-15
26-29
22-16
166.6Avg total
82.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.788.7173.3-4.033%
Season at home (3)85.080.0165.0+5.067%
Season away (3)84.397.3181.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)82.084.6166.6-2.630%
Last 5 (5)82.485.4167.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.284.0156.2-11.813%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.177.5160.5+5.664%
vs Weaker (4)94.873.8168.5+21.075%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
69.9%
Under 149
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154Actual: Over 154
Over 154
58.3%
Under 154
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159
Over 159
45.9%
Under 159
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Illiabum total 75Actual: Illiabum over 75
Over 75
75.8%
Under 75
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 79Actual: Illiabum over 79
Over 79
61.5%
Under 79
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illiabum total 83Actual: Illiabum over 83
Over 83
45.3%
Under 83
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ginasio Olhanense total 71.5Actual: Ginasio Olhanense over 71.5
Over 71.5
65.7%
Under 71.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ginasio Olhanense total 75.5Actual: Ginasio Olhanense over 75.5
Over 75.5
50.5%
Under 75.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ginasio Olhanense total 79.5Actual: Ginasio Olhanense over 79.5
Over 79.5
35.5%
Under 79.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Illiabum -3Actual: Ginasio Olhanense +3
ILLI -3
62.6%
GINA +3
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Illiabum 0Actual: Illiabum 0
ILLI 0
70.5%
GINA 0
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Illiabum +3Actual: Illiabum +3
ILLI +3
78.0%
GINA -3
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
GINA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
IlliabumGinasio Olhanense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
72.0Avg total
33.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.072.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.974.9+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.372.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.469.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.237.771.8-3.531%-
vs Weaker (12)43.532.976.4+10.692%-
This opponent (Ginasio Olhanense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ginasio OlhanenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H18/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A25/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H01/05
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A03/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H11/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A17/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H24/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A31/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H07/11
Proliga
84.9Avg total
42.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.879.9-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.977.7+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.644.381.9-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.484.9+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.486.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.543.378.8-7.713%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.039.279.2+0.855%-
vs Weaker (4)50.036.286.2+13.875%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasio Olhanensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio Olhanense: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
52.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.1
26.5%
30.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.214.3
56.7%
67.3%14.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WLLWLWLLWL
Ginasio Olhanense
WLWLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#12
-3.7
Net rating
-8.6
83.3
Offensive rating
85.8
87.0
Defensive rating
94.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.5%
3-point %
26.5%
64.5%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 85.8Defence87.0 · 94.5Shooting46.9% · 47.2%3-point %29.5% · 26.5%Ball care18.4% · 13.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Illiabum   ■ Ginasio Olhanense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illiabum wins
0
Ginasio Olhanense wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Illiabum v Ginasio Olhanense91-67
14/02/26Ginasio Olhanense v Illiabum67-71
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
25/04/26APortimonense59-63
Ginasio Olhanenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBenfica Lisboa B106-76
31/10/26ASangalhos67-96
24/10/26HVasco Da Gama93-76
17/10/26ABarreirense90-91
11/10/26HLusitania56-88
03/10/26AMaia96-105
01/05/26HMaia73-83
25/04/26ACAB Madeira101-77
22/04/26HCAB Madeira65-75
18/04/26HGinasio73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.074.369.7
Allowed / game72.771.074.3
Point differential-0.7+3.3-4.7
Avg total144.7145.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio Olhanense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game84.785.084.3
Allowed / game88.780.097.3
Point differential-4.0+5.0-13.0
Avg total173.3165.0181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos65183%75.060.5+14.5
2 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
3 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
4 Sampaense64267%85.779.2+6.5
5 Santo Andre64267%78.776.2+2.5
6 Galitos Barreiro64267%74.373.0+1.3
7 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
8 Maia53260%86.888.2-1.4
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Illiabum63350%72.072.7-0.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense62433%84.788.7-4.0
13 Barcelos62433%68.575.8-7.3
14 Barreirense62433%76.885.3-8.5
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica6060%79.388.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2323231887
Ginasio Olhanense2619182285
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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