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Illinois (Chi.) vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-68
47-33 42-35
Position#303
Record6-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#300
Record2-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#134
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A07/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
70-40
70
40
+30
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
28-29
38-25
48-46
36-37
36-30
45-24
54-24
34-21
36-19
46-37
43-42
29-24
28-34
36-30
28-39
25-19
30-30
37-31
31-39
133.8Avg total
71.8Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.862.0133.8+9.860%
Season at home (5)77.459.6137.0+17.860%
Season away (5)66.264.4130.6+1.860%
Last 10 (10)71.862.0133.8+9.860%
Last 5 (5)66.665.0131.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.273.8138.0-9.717%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.067.4135.4+0.644%
vs Weaker (2)76.068.5144.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H01/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A06/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
50-36
38-28
33-43
29-40
41-37
28-35
31-28
21-41
35-32
34-24
34-43
32-36
40-30
14-41
37-24
34-40
31-46
30-37
38-35
138.0Avg total
66.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.072.1137.1-7.122%
Season at home (6)67.571.2138.7-3.733%
Season away (3)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)66.671.4138.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)64.871.2136.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.676.9143.5-10.35%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.975.0146.9-3.150%
vs Weaker (2)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
Illinois (Chi.)Western Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#134
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
64.4Avg total
35.6Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.733.064.7-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.130.164.1+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)29.735.665.2-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.628.864.4+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.262.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.334.764.0-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.431.165.6+3.367%-
vs Weaker (2)34.531.065.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
14-41
14
41
-27
H01/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
29.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.234.763.9-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.833.963.7-4.238%-
Last 30 away (14)28.535.664.1-7.17%-
Last 10 (10)29.135.164.2-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.664.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.936.964.8-9.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.834.466.1-2.638%-
vs Weaker (2)32.028.060.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
0
Western Michigan wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Western Michigan v Illinois (Chi.)56-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HWisc. Green Bay68-70
09/12/23AJacksonville State55-49
01/12/23HIllinois State64-69
27/11/23ANC Greensboro57-58
26/11/23AGeorge Washington89-79
24/11/23HMiddle Tenn. St.70-40
19/11/23HAurora99-48
15/11/23ALoyola Chicago72-67
11/11/23HUALR86-71
07/11/23ACincinnati58-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HYoungstown State68-72
06/12/23ANotre Dame65-86
01/12/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)51-65
25/11/23HMercer72-66
24/11/23HSE Louisiana68-67
19/11/23AOhio State56-73
15/11/23ANorthwestern59-63
11/11/23HGeorgia State70-77
07/11/23HNorth Dakota St76-80 OT
04/03/23HCentral Michigan81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game71.877.466.2
Allowed / game62.059.664.4
Point differential+9.8+17.8+1.8
Avg total133.8137.0130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL22%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game65.067.560.0
Allowed / game72.171.274.0
Point differential-7.1-3.7-14.0
Avg total137.1138.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1110191%88.071.0+17.0
2 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Belmont118373%80.678.2+2.5
5 Southern Illinois96367%77.165.9+11.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%71.862.0+9.8
7 Bradley106460%72.371.3+1.0
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
10 Northern Iowa114736%75.974.0+1.9
11 Murray State93633%74.372.4+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State118373%76.166.5+9.5
2 UMass75271%83.772.0+11.7
3 Kent State107370%84.372.5+11.8
4 Akron96367%75.466.7+8.8
5 Bowling Green96367%72.865.4+7.3
6 Toledo106460%80.678.1+2.5
7 Ohio95456%78.774.8+3.9
8 Northern Illinois95456%81.179.3+1.8
9 Eastern Michigan95456%66.973.4-6.6
10 Miami (Ohio)84450%70.469.6+0.8
11 Central Michigan93633%65.079.0-14.0
12 Western Michigan92722%65.072.1-7.1
13 Buffalo101910%67.881.9-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)474289
Western Michigan333568
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