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Illinois (Chi.) vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-69
36-30 28-39
Position#303
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game61.7
vs
Position#240
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Illinois State
30 Jan 2027
ILLI v ILLI
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ILLI83
ILLI56
05 Feb 2025
ILLI79
ILLI81
30 Nov 2023
ILLI64
ILLI69
28 Dec 2022
ILLI55
ILLI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A07/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
70-40
70
40
+30
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
42-44
31-32
34-36
30-34
27-40
30-40
28-29
38-25
48-46
36-37
36-30
45-24
54-24
34-21
36-19
46-37
43-42
29-24
28-34
138.5Avg total
73.5Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.961.7137.6+14.171%
Season at home (3)85.053.0138.0+32.0100%
Season away (4)69.068.2137.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)73.565.0138.5+8.560%
Last 5 (5)77.458.4135.8+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.775.3140.0-10.612%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.365.8135.1+3.570%
vs Weaker (2)76.068.5144.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
38-43
32-42
19-40
31-28
41-25
28-44
34-31
38-29
37-27
34-46
37-34
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
133.3Avg total
64.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.266.2132.3+0.050%
Season at home (3)68.356.3124.7+12.0100%
Season away (3)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)64.668.7133.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)64.468.2132.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.974.8141.7-7.924%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.365.6130.9-0.244%
vs Weaker (3)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
Illinois (Chi.)Illinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.333.465.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.931.166.0+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)30.035.565.5-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.666.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.666.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.635.665.2-6.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.231.266.4+4.070%-
vs Weaker (2)34.531.065.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.966.1-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.631.863.4-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)30.938.469.2-7.521%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.065.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.064.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.237.467.6-7.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.131.963.0-0.844%-
vs Weaker (3)35.331.366.7+4.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
2
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23ANC Greensboro57-58
26/11/23AGeorge Washington89-79
24/11/23HMiddle Tenn. St.70-40
19/11/23HAurora99-48
15/11/23ALoyola Chicago72-67
11/11/23HUALR86-71
07/11/23ACincinnati58-69
03/03/23AMissouri State57-74
26/02/23HSouthern Illinois65-68
23/02/23AEvansville82-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61
12/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens71-80
07/11/23HLourdes75-56
02/03/23ANorthern Iowa62-75
26/02/23HEvansville72-53
23/02/23ADrake51-82
18/02/23AIndiana State64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game75.985.069.0
Allowed / game61.753.068.2
Point differential+14.1+32.0+0.8
Avg total137.6138.0137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game66.268.364.0
Allowed / game66.256.376.0
Point differential+0.0+12.0-12.0
Avg total132.3124.7140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville76186%84.965.4+19.4
2 Indiana State76186%87.473.0+14.4
3 Drake76186%80.671.6+9.0
4 Bradley76186%75.069.3+5.7
5 Illinois (Chi.)75271%75.961.7+14.1
6 Southern Illinois64267%75.865.5+10.3
7 Belmont85362%82.982.0+0.9
8 Valparaiso74357%70.468.7+1.7
9 Murray State63350%77.873.0+4.8
10 Illinois State63350%66.266.2+0.0
11 Northern Iowa72529%73.473.0+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)362864
Illinois State303969
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