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Illinois vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 22:50
Final 54-53
29-33 25-20
Position#66
Record22-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#30
Record27-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
40-21
38-36
30-48
44-30
29-36
24-33
35-37
34-22
45-52
37-36
46-50
46-38
47-47
29-30
31-25
37-43
37-29
33-31
30-34
144.0Avg total
72.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.867.6143.4+8.171%
Season at home (17)78.365.8144.1+12.576%
Season away (14)72.769.9142.6+2.864%
Last 10 (10)72.671.4144.0+1.260%
Last 5 (5)74.672.6147.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.079.3159.3+0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.872.1145.8+1.758%
vs Weaker (15)76.963.1140.0+13.780%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#198
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H10/02
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H18/02
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H19/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
64-63 OT
64
63
+1
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-31
38-31
26-17
39-30
20-27
44-31
29-30
41-43
29-37
46-43
40-31
43-46
34-26
36-31
37-23
34-43
38-20
41-36
16-26
35-25
136.4Avg total
71.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.864.7139.5+10.179%
Season at home (18)76.260.7136.8+15.583%
Season away (16)73.269.2142.4+4.175%
Last 10 (10)71.564.9136.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)73.463.8137.2+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.965.2137.1+6.789%
vs Weaker (20)77.265.0142.2+12.275%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
IllinoisChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/03
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.6Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.467.3+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.431.468.8+6.075%-
Last 30 away (14)34.131.465.6+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.569.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.672.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.339.078.3+0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.232.067.2+3.275%-
vs Weaker (15)35.729.465.1+6.360%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#198
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
26-17
26
17
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/02
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H19/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H08/03
NCAA
56.1Avg total
29.3Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.162.8+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.427.361.8+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)32.931.164.0+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)29.326.856.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.025.258.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.034.071.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.329.258.6+0.144%-
vs Weaker (20)35.528.864.3+6.770%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
No previous meetings.
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22HIndiana63-65
07/03/22HIowa74-72
04/03/22HPenn State60-55
27/02/22AMichigan93-85
25/02/22HOhio State83-86
19/02/22AMichigan State79-74
17/02/22ARutgers59-70
13/02/22HNorthwestern73-66
09/02/22APurdue68-84
05/02/22AIndiana74-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/22HFurman64-63 OT
06/03/22HWofford79-56
05/03/22HCitadel71-66
26/02/22HSamford70-57
24/02/22AEast Tennessee St83-77
19/02/22HVMI75-80
18/02/22HNC Greensboro70-73
12/02/22AFurman64-58
10/02/22HWestern Carolina65-47
08/02/22AMercer74-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWLWWL76%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %71%76%64%
Points / game75.878.372.7
Allowed / game67.665.869.9
Point differential+8.1+12.5+2.8
Avg total143.4144.1142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game74.876.273.2
Allowed / game64.760.769.2
Point differential+10.1+15.5+4.1
Avg total139.5136.8142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3528780%79.768.4+11.3
2 UCLA3326779%75.864.5+11.3
3 Wisconsin3124777%70.766.5+4.2
4 USC3426876%72.466.0+6.4
5 Iowa36261072%83.271.2+12.0
6 Illinois3122971%75.867.6+8.1
7 Michigan State34221265%72.168.4+3.6
8 Ohio State31201165%73.267.6+5.6
9 Indiana35211460%70.866.2+4.6
10 Oregon33191458%72.469.5+2.9
11 Michigan32181456%73.169.7+3.4
12 Rutgers32181456%68.566.5+2.0
13 Washington32171553%70.672.2-1.6
14 Northwestern31151648%73.069.9+3.0
15 Maryland32151747%70.970.7+0.2
16 Penn State31141745%64.665.0-0.4
17 Minnesota30131743%67.069.2-2.2
18 Nebraska32102231%73.378.5-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs3427779%74.864.7+10.1
2 Samford32211166%74.773.8+0.8
3 Furman33211264%77.668.8+8.8
4 Wofford32191359%72.666.2+6.3
5 NC Greensboro31171455%65.064.8+0.2
6 VMI31161552%79.173.6+5.5
7 Mercer32161650%70.670.2+0.3
8 East Tennessee St32151747%72.173.0-0.9
9 Citadel31131842%76.876.8-0.0
10 Western Carolina32112134%70.777.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois292554
Chattanooga Mocs332053
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