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Michigan vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-93
38-46 47-47
Position#159
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#66
Record19-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan v Illinois
02 Mar 2025
MICH73
ILLI93
18 Jan 2024
MICH73
ILLI88
27 Feb 2022
MICH85
ILLI93
02 Mar 2021
MICH53
ILLI76
25 Jan 2020
MICH62
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H11/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
38-39
35-39
32-44
37-44
48-35
33-39
43-43
34-34
24-23
38-29
44-29
30-33
27-35
37-39
47-40
31-31
32-46
32-30
39-32
143.0Avg total
71.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.268.4140.6+3.858%
Season at home (14)73.665.0138.6+8.671%
Season away (12)70.572.3142.8-1.842%
Last 10 (10)71.571.5143.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)71.468.8140.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.372.2149.5+5.267%
vs Similar ◀ (17)68.266.6134.9+1.653%
vs Weaker (7)78.066.4144.4+11.671%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A22/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
30-44
34-20
22-35
24-19
35-37
42-38
38-29
34-36
40-21
38-36
30-48
44-30
29-36
24-33
35-37
34-22
45-52
37-36
46-50
139.2Avg total
69.6Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.367.4143.7+8.970%
Season at home (14)81.066.1147.1+14.979%
Season away (13)71.268.8139.9+2.462%
Last 10 (10)69.669.6139.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.476.0148.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.571.5143.0+0.155%
vs Weaker (17)78.463.3141.7+15.182%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.9-3.9
MichiganIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A20/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H24/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.166.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.429.665.9+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)34.033.467.4+0.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.969.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.466.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.335.773.0+1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.229.162.4+4.159%-
vs Weaker (7)39.132.071.1+7.171%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
34.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.265.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.229.666.8+7.582%-
Last 30 away (13)33.230.964.2+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.466.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.537.077.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.431.665.0+1.764%-
vs Weaker (17)36.228.564.7+7.871%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Illinois v Michigan68-53
03/03/21Michigan v Illinois53-76
25/01/20Michigan v Illinois62-64
12/12/19Illinois v Michigan71-62
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HRutgers71-62
20/02/22AWisconsin63-77
18/02/22AIowa84-79
12/02/22HOhio State57-68
11/02/22HPurdue82-58
09/02/22APenn State58-57
05/02/22APurdue76-82
02/02/22HNebraska85-79
29/01/22AMichigan State67-83
26/01/22HNorthwestern72-70
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/22HOhio State83-86
19/02/22AMichigan State79-74
17/02/22ARutgers59-70
13/02/22HNorthwestern73-66
09/02/22APurdue68-84
05/02/22AIndiana74-57
03/02/22HWisconsin80-67
29/01/22ANorthwestern59-56
26/01/22HMichigan State56-55
22/01/22AMaryland65-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%71%42%
Points / game72.273.670.5
Allowed / game68.465.072.3
Point differential+3.8+8.6-1.8
Avg total140.6138.6142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL70%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game76.381.071.2
Allowed / game67.466.168.8
Point differential+8.9+14.9+2.4
Avg total143.7147.1139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC2925486%73.564.8+8.7
2 Purdue2924583%81.668.8+12.8
3 Wisconsin2823582%70.966.2+4.8
4 UCLA2721678%76.764.1+12.6
5 Ohio State2518772%74.767.4+7.2
6 Iowa2820871%83.871.3+12.5
7 Illinois2719870%76.367.4+8.9
8 Michigan State2819968%72.167.2+4.9
9 Indiana27171063%71.464.8+6.6
10 Oregon29181162%72.267.9+4.3
11 Michigan26151158%72.268.4+3.8
12 Rutgers28161257%68.165.5+2.5
13 Washington27141352%70.272.8-2.6
14 Minnesota26131350%67.168.2-1.1
15 Northwestern27131448%73.368.3+5.0
16 Penn State25121348%65.164.6+0.5
17 Maryland28131546%70.470.6-0.2
18 Nebraska2872125%72.579.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan384785
Illinois464793
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