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Illinois vs Eastern Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Projected 99-60
Projected total 158.5
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
Vs
100%
■ ILLI 100%■ EAST 0%
Pythia win probability
Position#323
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois v Eastern Illinois
20 Nov 2026
ILLI v EAST
upcoming
04 Nov 2024
ILLI112
EAST67
06 Nov 2023
ILLI80
EAST52
07 Nov 2022
ILLI87
EAST57
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Illinois host Eastern Illinois in the NCAA. Pythia makes Illinois the favourite at 100% and projects 99-60, about 159 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Illinois are 3-1 this season (104.5 scored, 71.2 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Eastern Illinois are 1-3 this season (69.0 scored, 80.0 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois win
99.8%fair 1.00
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Illinois win
0.2%fair 573.22
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
50-77
50
77
-27
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A03/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
L
47-91
47
91
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A10/11
NCAA
Blackburn
#511
W
102-44
102
44
+58
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
42-44
20-36
48-34
36-29
35-38
26-35
24-42
40-31
25-34
22-27
41-39
23-44
34-47
20-41
27-50
33-46
37-48
53-24
49-20
141.9Avg total
67.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.080.0149.0-11.025%
Season at home (1)102.044.0146.0+58.0100%
Season away (3)58.092.0150.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)67.574.4141.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)67.877.2145.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.276.4140.6-12.225%
vs Similar (9)66.266.2132.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (3)79.063.3142.3+15.767%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
76.9%
Under 147
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
66.1%
Under 152
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
53.8%
Under 157
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Illinois total 82
Over 82
95.8%
Under 82
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illinois total 86
Over 86
90.7%
Under 86
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illinois total 90
Over 90
82.0%
Under 90
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastern Illinois total 62
Over 62
40.6%
Under 62
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastern Illinois total 66
Over 66
25.6%
Under 66
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastern Illinois total 70
Over 70
14.3%
Under 70
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Illinois -3
ILLI -3
99.7%
EAST +3
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
EAST
No market prices yet.
Spread Illinois 0
ILLI 0
99.8%
EAST 0
0.2%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
EAST
No market prices yet.
Spread Illinois +3
ILLI +3
99.9%
EAST -3
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
EAST
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: -3.4-3.4
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: -3.4-3.4
IllinoisEastern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A07/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A10/11
NCAA
Blackburn
#511
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H12/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
30.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.565.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.130.967.0+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)30.934.064.9-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)30.134.264.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.466.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.135.567.6-3.438%-
vs Similar (9)30.030.360.3-0.344%-
vs Weaker (3)37.028.365.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois wins
0
Eastern Illinois wins
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBlackburn102-44
10/11/26ANotre Dame70-94
07/11/26AIowa47-91
03/11/26AIndiana57-91
06/03/26AUT Martin63-66
05/03/26ASiu Edwardsville77-71 OT
28/02/26ASiu Edwardsville50-77
27/02/26ALindenwood71-67
21/02/26HSouthern Indiana68-70
20/02/26HMorehead State70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eastern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game69.0102.058.0
Allowed / game80.044.092.0
Point differential-11.0+58.0-34.0
Avg total149.0146.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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