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Illinois vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 81-55
43-16 38-39
Position#35
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game68.2
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Rutgers
USA
Position#267
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Rutgers
08 Jan 2026
ILLI81
RUTG55
21 Jan 2024
ILLI86
RUTG63
11 Feb 2023
ILLI69
RUTG60
03 Dec 2021
ILLI86
RUTG51
12 Mar 2021
ILLI90
RUTG68
11 Jan 2020
ILLI54
RUTG51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-41
44-49
54-19
44-39
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
151.7Avg total
82.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.168.2155.4+18.979%
Season at home (11)89.568.0157.5+21.573%
Season away (3)78.769.0147.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.968.8151.7+14.170%
Last 5 (5)84.466.2150.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar (10)79.279.8159.0-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.470.2158.6+18.283%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A24/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A14/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-56
30-29
24-36
39-32
33-39
47-26
27-40
38-41
25-50
35-51
21-35
38-46
29-33
41-36
31-24
34-26
41-37
32-43
37-45
39-31
144.8Avg total
68.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.372.5142.8-2.353%
Season at home (11)73.868.5142.3+5.473%
Season away (4)60.583.8144.2-23.20%
Last 10 (10)68.376.5144.8-8.240%
Last 5 (5)71.073.0144.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.679.4148.9-9.824%
vs Similar (11)81.177.9159.0+3.273%
vs Weaker (2)73.051.5124.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
IllinoisRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
41.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.175.6+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.633.476.0+9.275%-
Last 30 away (10)36.138.574.6-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.432.373.7+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.431.073.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.573.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.631.575.1+12.183%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A24/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A14/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
29.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.372.3-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.433.868.3+0.650%-
Last 30 away (12)35.842.678.3-6.833%-
Last 10 (10)29.839.569.3-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.866.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.239.672.9-6.418%-
vs Similar (11)38.036.274.2+1.873%-
vs Weaker (2)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illinois wins
4
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Rutgers v Illinois82-73
21/01/24Illinois v Rutgers86-63
02/12/23Rutgers v Illinois58-76
11/02/23Illinois v Rutgers69-60
17/02/22Rutgers v Illinois70-59
04/12/21Illinois v Rutgers86-51
12/03/21Illinois v Rutgers90-68
20/12/20Rutgers v Illinois91-88
15/02/20Rutgers v Illinois72-57
11/01/20Illinois v Rutgers54-51
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73
22/11/25HLIU Sharks98-58
20/11/25HAlabama86-90
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HOregon88-85 OT
03/01/26HOhio State73-80
30/12/25HDelaware State65-50
21/12/25HPenn70-69
14/12/25ASeton Hall59-81
06/12/25AMichigan60-101
03/12/25HPurdue65-81
27/11/25HUNLV80-65
25/11/25ANotre Dame63-68
24/11/25ATennessee60-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %79%73%100%
Points / game87.189.578.7
Allowed / game68.268.069.0
Point differential+18.9+21.5+9.7
Avg total155.4157.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rutgers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %53%73%0%
Points / game70.373.860.5
Allowed / game72.568.583.8
Point differential-2.3+5.4-23.2
Avg total142.8142.3144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan14140100%95.166.9+28.2
2 Nebraska15150100%81.165.7+15.3
3 Purdue1514193%86.066.9+19.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 Iowa1512380%79.860.8+19.0
6 Indiana1512380%85.067.0+18.0
7 USC1512380%85.377.0+8.3
8 Illinois1411379%87.168.2+18.9
9 Ohio State1410471%84.672.0+12.6
10 UCLA1510567%79.770.0+9.7
11 Wisconsin1510567%82.574.1+8.4
12 Minnesota1510567%73.365.8+7.5
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State159660%77.774.2+3.5
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon158753%77.773.3+4.3
17 Rutgers158753%70.372.5-2.3
18 Maryland157847%74.678.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois433881
Rutgers163955
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