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Illinois vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-63
40-28 46-35
Position#27
Record13-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#241
Record10-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Rutgers
08 Jan 2026
ILLI81
RUTG55
21 Jan 2024
ILLI86
RUTG63
11 Feb 2023
ILLI69
RUTG60
03 Dec 2021
ILLI86
RUTG51
12 Mar 2021
ILLI90
RUTG68
11 Jan 2020
ILLI54
RUTG51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
59-47
36-34
43-52
44-27
30-30
49-24
48-49
48-28
56-43
46-29
50-37
32-47
46-36
37-34
34-34
39-37
28-39
37-36
51-37
159.4Avg total
85.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.167.8149.8+14.376%
Season at home (13)82.665.5148.2+17.185%
Season away (4)80.275.0155.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)85.274.2159.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)80.073.2153.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)74.275.5149.8-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.662.4144.0+19.193%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A10/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H23/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A14/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
26-39
33-25
37-38
41-30
42-31
29-29
31-41
35-29
24-29
32-45
40-31
34-41
43-45
30-27
36-30
22-28
33-45
36-36
33-33
138.8Avg total
68.6Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.665.4134.0+3.359%
Season at home (12)69.761.4131.1+8.375%
Season away (5)66.274.8141.0-8.620%
Last 10 (10)68.670.2138.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)71.474.8146.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.973.8139.7-7.922%
vs Similar (12)63.858.5122.2+5.258%
vs Weaker (8)71.062.9133.9+8.175%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
IllinoisRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/01
NCAA
74.5Avg total
40.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.069.5+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.231.768.9+5.468%-
Last 30 away (11)32.837.870.6-5.055%-
Last 10 (10)40.733.874.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)32.937.570.4-4.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.629.968.6+8.793%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A10/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H23/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.430.862.2+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.729.260.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)30.933.264.2-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.765.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.466.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.834.965.7-4.111%-
vs Similar (12)28.827.456.2+1.450%-
vs Weaker (8)34.830.965.6+3.975%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois wins
3
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Rutgers v Illinois58-76
11/02/23Illinois v Rutgers69-60
17/02/22Rutgers v Illinois70-59
04/12/21Illinois v Rutgers86-51
12/03/21Illinois v Rutgers90-68
20/12/20Rutgers v Illinois91-88
15/02/20Rutgers v Illinois72-57
11/01/20Illinois v Rutgers54-51
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AMichigan88-73
14/01/24HMaryland67-76
12/01/24HMichigan State71-68
06/01/24APurdue78-83
03/01/24HNorthwestern96-66
30/12/23HFairleigh Dickinson104-71
23/12/23HMissouri97-73
17/12/23HColgate74-57
09/12/23ATennessee79-86
05/12/23HFlorida Atlantic98-89
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HNebraska87-82 OT
14/01/24AMichigan State55-73
10/01/24HIndiana66-57
06/01/24AIowa77-86
04/01/24AOhio State72-76
30/12/23HStonehill59-58
23/12/23HMississippi St.60-70
16/12/23HLIU Sharks83-61
10/12/23ASeton Hall70-63
06/12/23AWake Forest57-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %76%85%50%
Points / game82.182.680.2
Allowed / game67.865.575.0
Point differential+14.3+17.1+5.2
Avg total149.8148.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rutgers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %59%75%20%
Points / game68.669.766.2
Allowed / game65.461.474.8
Point differential+3.3+8.2-8.6
Avg total134.0131.1141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1917289%85.169.4+15.7
2 Wisconsin1814478%76.567.3+9.2
3 Illinois1713476%82.167.8+14.3
4 Oregon1713476%78.272.4+5.9
5 Nebraska1914574%78.370.1+8.3
6 Ohio State1813572%76.466.6+9.9
7 Northwestern1813572%72.767.4+5.3
8 Minnesota1812667%77.268.4+8.8
9 Michigan State1912763%76.265.2+11.0
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Iowa1811761%86.177.9+8.2
12 Rutgers1710759%68.665.4+3.3
13 Maryland1911858%70.263.8+6.4
14 Washington1911858%80.375.8+4.5
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 UCLA1981142%65.264.6+0.6
17 USC1981142%75.775.2+0.5
18 Michigan1871139%79.377.6+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois404686
Rutgers283563
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