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Incarnate Word vs New Orleans Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 64-78
28-39 36-39
Position#287
Record10-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#226
Record12-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Incarnate Word v New Orleans
21 Dec 2026
INCA v NEW
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
INCA64
NEW 78
10 Feb 2025
INCA75
NEW 65
02 Mar 2024
INCA80
NEW 87
12 Jan 2023
INCA79
NEW 85
05 Feb 2022
INCA78
NEW 70
01 Mar 2021
INCA72
NEW 88
11 Jan 2020
INCA73
NEW 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-28
27-28
30-34
46-40
29-38
29-42
22-37
49-42
41-31
34-50
42-44
51-62
32-26
39-43
30-30
34-51
26-40
36-34
30-46
53-45
149.0Avg total
69.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.774.8150.4+0.938%
Season at home (13)85.573.5158.9+12.069%
Season away (13)65.876.1141.9-10.28%
Last 10 (10)69.979.1149.0-9.220%
Last 5 (5)74.684.2158.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.578.6147.1-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.975.1144.0-6.314%
vs Weaker (12)83.869.6153.3+14.275%
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H31/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A03/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H07/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
41-42
41-41
38-43
41-36
48-40
34-42
29-40
39-29
41-33
33-30
42-34
52-35
42-50
34-51
42-44
35-30
32-37
26-29
34-32
154.2Avg total
77.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.679.5156.0-2.944%
Season at home (10)83.880.1163.9+3.760%
Season away (17)72.379.1151.4-6.835%
Last 10 (10)77.976.3154.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.985.2155.1-15.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.876.1153.9+1.850%
vs Weaker (2)97.081.5178.5+15.550%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
Incarnate WordNew Orleans
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
30.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.367.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.635.273.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)29.133.762.8-4.624%-
Last 10 (10)30.135.465.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.269.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.135.865.9-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)27.633.761.3-6.114%-
vs Weaker (12)39.333.372.7+6.067%-
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A03/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H07/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A14/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.874.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.236.576.6+3.764%-
Last 30 away (19)35.537.072.5-1.542%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.773.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.071.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.139.273.3-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.834.472.2+3.469%-
vs Weaker (2)51.541.593.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Incarnate Word wins
5
New Orleans wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91
10/02/26ASE Louisiana62-74
07/02/26AMcNeese State64-81
03/02/26ATexas A&M-CC71-69
31/01/26HUTRGV93-106
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80
17/01/26HNorthwestern St.76-74
13/01/26AStephen F. Austin46-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AHouston Christian60-61
10/02/26HTexas A&M-CC84-78 OT
07/02/26HUTRGV76-95
03/02/26AEast Texas A&M94-85
31/01/26HNorthwestern St.75-64
27/01/26ANicholls State80-62
24/01/26AMcNeese State63-82
20/01/26HLamar89-76
17/01/26HStephen F. Austin79-84
13/01/26ASE Louisiana79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWLLLL69%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%69%8%
Points / game75.785.565.8
Allowed / game74.873.576.1
Point differential+0.9+12.0-10.2
Avg total150.4158.9141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Orleans
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271017
Win %44%60%35%
Points / game76.683.872.3
Allowed / game79.580.179.1
Point differential-2.9+3.7-6.8
Avg total156.0163.9151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%10%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2623388%77.565.2+12.3
2 McNeese State2621581%81.566.9+14.6
3 UTRGV24131154%75.269.3+6.0
4 Texas A&M-CC26141254%73.568.0+5.5
5 Lamar26121446%71.869.1+2.7
6 New Orleans27121544%76.679.5-2.9
7 Nicholls State26111542%74.176.8-2.7
8 Incarnate Word26101638%75.774.8+0.9
9 Houston Christian2691735%67.873.0-5.3
10 Northwestern St.2681831%70.374.4-4.1
11 SE Louisiana2781930%64.169.2-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word283664
New Orleans393978
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