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New Orleans vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-74
20-38 38-36
Position#365
Record4-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#190
Record9-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Orleans v Incarnate Word
08 Dec 2025
NEW 84
INCA83
27 Jan 2025
NEW 58
INCA74
03 Feb 2024
NEW 80
INCA82
04 Feb 2023
NEW 70
INCA78
12 Feb 2022
NEW 84
INCA57
09 Jan 2021
NEW 86
INCA64
15 Feb 2020
NEW 66
INCA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A22/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A28/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
56-100
56
100
-44
A31/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H07/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A14/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
131-73
131
73
+58
A18/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
41-56
23-46
38-40
28-51
28-49
30-43
34-33
44-49
39-48
27-47
44-44
35-35
33-27
33-33
98-40
36-27
25-46
38-37
38-49
157.1Avg total
74.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.383.8154.2-13.520%
Season at home (7)70.183.1153.3-13.014%
Season away (13)70.584.2154.7-13.823%
Last 10 (10)74.183.0157.1-8.920%
Last 5 (5)81.477.0158.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.683.8150.5-17.212%
vs Similar (6)84.275.8160.0+8.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
45-39
50-23
51-34
52-21
47-27
26-18
29-31
30-39
28-33
36-41
40-40
30-40
52-48
26-33
37-36
37-33
41-52
32-43
31-43
147.2Avg total
76.8Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.270.8146.9+5.445%
Season at home (11)84.067.2151.2+16.864%
Season away (9)66.675.2141.8-8.722%
Last 10 (10)76.870.4147.2+6.440%
Last 5 (5)72.481.8154.2-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.776.8140.4-13.111%
vs Similar (10)71.680.5152.1-8.90%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.466.3149.7+17.180%
This opponent (New Orleans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
New OrleansIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A22/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A28/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A31/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H07/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A18/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/01
NCAA
72.1Avg total
32.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.339.771.1-8.420%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.642.273.8-10.620%-
Last 30 away (20)31.238.569.7-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)32.339.872.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.869.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.540.571.0-10.017%-
vs Similar (6)34.536.771.2-2.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Our Lady Of The Lake
#465
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.869.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.732.870.5+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)30.437.167.6-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.168.8+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.070.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)26.935.962.8-9.011%-
vs Similar (10)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.330.872.1+10.580%-
This opponent (New Orleans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
New Orleans wins
5
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HHouston Christian76-86
20/01/25ANorthwestern St.61-73
18/01/25ATX A&M Commerce131-73
14/01/25ALamar68-62
11/01/25HSE Louisiana71-91
07/01/25HTexas A&M-CC83-97
04/01/25HUTRGV64-76
31/12/24AVanderbilt56-100
28/12/24AMcNeese State61-86
22/12/24ALSU70-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86
20/01/25HUTRGV78-85
18/01/25HTexas A&M-CC63-69
14/01/25HNicholls State82-88
11/01/25AHouston Christian76-81
07/01/25ALamar58-72
04/01/25AStephen F. Austin55-49
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48
19/12/24HSchreiner Mountaineers101-57
15/12/24HOur Lady Of The Lake93-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL20%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %20%14%23%
Points / game70.370.170.5
Allowed / game83.883.184.2
Point differential-13.5-13.0-13.8
Avg total154.2153.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%64%22%
Points / game76.284.066.6
Allowed / game70.867.275.2
Point differential+5.3+16.8-8.7
Avg total146.9151.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2015575%78.264.3+13.9
2 Texas A&M-CC2114767%80.068.2+11.9
3 UTRGV2112957%78.072.5+5.6
4 Nicholls State2112957%74.169.9+4.3
5 SE Louisiana2112957%72.068.4+3.6
6 Lamar2011955%72.267.7+4.5
7 Northwestern St.20101050%70.869.2+1.5
8 Houston Christian21101148%68.270.6-2.4
9 Incarnate Word2091145%76.270.8+5.3
10 Stephen F. Austin2081240%63.864.5-0.7
11 New Orleans2041620%70.383.8-13.5
12 TX A&M Commerce2021810%63.579.3-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Orleans203858
Incarnate Word383674
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