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Incarnate Word vs New Orleans Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#379
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#168
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Incarnate Word v New Orleans
21 Dec 2026
INCA v NEW
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
INCA64
NEW 78
10 Feb 2025
INCA75
NEW 65
02 Mar 2024
INCA80
NEW 87
12 Jan 2023
INCA79
NEW 85
05 Feb 2022
INCA78
NEW 70
01 Mar 2021
INCA72
NEW 88
11 Jan 2020
INCA73
NEW 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#149
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#272
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
53-45
28-39
36-39
43-39
39-34
23-18
26-36
37-22
35-38
26-28
42-48
17-54
43-37
22-34
32-32
29-46
31-33
33-49
36-32
141.0Avg total
66.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.879.2140.0-18.50%
Season at home (1)54.066.0120.0-12.00%
Season away (3)63.083.7146.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)66.174.9141.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)62.278.6140.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.177.9145.0-10.914%
vs Similar (6)70.075.0145.0-5.017%
vs Weaker (10)76.168.3144.4+7.860%
This opponent (New Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A24/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H28/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H03/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A09/03
NCAA
LSU
#11
L
57-100
57
100
-43
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#396
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#372
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
39-36
32-29
45-42
31-23
46-50
29-39
34-27
32-40
46-42
34-33
39-27
30-37
31-37
17-53
40-47
42-31
48-34
42-39
56-43
148.9Avg total
75.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.782.3164.0-0.767%
Season at home (2)94.073.5167.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)57.0100.0157.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)75.273.7148.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)75.876.2152.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.482.1150.5-13.725%
vs Similar (16)77.674.5152.1+3.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
Incarnate WordNew Orleans
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#149
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#272
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
28.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.267.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.233.968.1+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.466.2-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.566.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)25.442.267.6-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.437.867.2-8.421%-
vs Similar (6)28.834.563.3-5.717%-
vs Weaker (10)37.132.069.1+5.170%-
This opponent (New Orleans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/03
NCAA
LSU
#11
L
17-53
17
53
-36
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#396
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#372
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.835.870.6-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.573.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.035.168.1-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.268.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.671.6-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.838.168.9-7.325%-
vs Similar (16)36.934.171.1+2.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)42.039.081.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Incarnate Word wins
5
New Orleans wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AUC Davis69-81
09/11/26AUTEP60-79
06/11/26HChicago State54-66
03/11/26AOklahoma State60-91
03/03/26HStephen F. Austin68-76
28/02/26HLamar72-60
24/02/26ANorthwestern St.49-54
21/02/26AEast Texas A&M82-73
17/02/26HNew Orleans64-78
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern-New O.98-82
07/11/26HLoyola NO90-65
04/11/26ALSU57-100
09/03/26ATexas A&M-CC61-74
08/03/26HHouston Christian73-60
03/03/26HSE Louisiana78-82
28/02/26HMcNeese State63-66
24/02/26AStephen F. Austin77-73
22/02/26ALamar77-71
17/02/26AIncarnate Word78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.854.063.0
Allowed / game79.266.083.7
Point differential-18.5-12.0-20.7
Avg total140.0120.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Orleans
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.794.057.0
Allowed / game82.373.5100.0
Point differential-0.7+20.5-43.0
Avg total164.0167.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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