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Indiana State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 81-86
35-46 46-40
Position#254
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#54
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#16
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H24/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H27/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H02/04
NIT
Seton Hall
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H04/04
NIT
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A05/11
NCAA
Eureka
#607
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H08/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-28
0-0
38-36
0-0
32-36
0-0
53-45
0-0
44-44
0-0
56-46
0-0
39-39
0-0
38-40
0-0
28-53
0-0
36-44
0-0
48-29
0-0
45-19
0-0
36-33
0-0
36-44
0-0
36-39
0-0
58-45
0-0
35-30
0-0
62-31
0-0
29-40
0-0
48-47
160.3Avg total
83.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.875.7158.5+7.250%
Season at home (3)87.362.0149.3+25.367%
Season away (3)78.389.3167.7-11.033%
Last 10 (10)83.576.8160.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)86.671.4158.0+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.578.0152.5-3.50%
vs Similar (8)81.684.9166.5-3.250%
vs Weaker (19)84.568.7153.2+15.889%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-29
0-0
28-36
0-0
32-42
0-0
39-49
0-0
40-35
0-0
46-50
0-0
42-23
0-0
32-38
0-0
39-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
32-42
0-0
40-43
0-0
39-45
0-0
33-27
0-0
47-36
0-0
30-24
0-0
29-25
0-0
54-24
0-0
49-36
149.7Avg total
77.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.267.0147.2+13.280%
Season at home (4)80.561.8142.2+18.8100%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)77.971.8149.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)80.267.0147.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar (13)80.777.5158.2+3.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.569.5152.0+13.088%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
Indiana StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H27/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H02/04
NIT
Seton Hall
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/04
NIT
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A05/11
NCAA
Eureka
#607
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A26/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
36.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.274.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.934.974.8+5.168%-
Last 30 away (11)36.038.474.4-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.173.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.271.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.536.073.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (8)35.142.077.1-6.912%-
vs Weaker (19)39.933.173.0+6.979%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.375.0+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.234.877.0+7.571%-
Last 30 away (13)36.535.972.4+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)38.932.371.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.669.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar (13)38.838.176.8+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.530.974.4+12.6100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indiana State wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24ASouthern Indiana77-87
23/11/24HChicago State97-61
16/11/24ABall State94-84
13/11/24HSiu Edwardsville72-77
08/11/24HEureka93-48
05/11/24AFlorida Atlantic64-97
04/04/24HSeton Hall77-79
02/04/24HUtah Utes100-90
27/03/24HCincinnati85-81
24/03/24HMinnesota76-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HLane College103-60
16/11/24HStephen F. Austin59-49
13/11/24HUALR80-63
09/11/24AAlabama79-88
05/11/24HAkron80-75 OT
26/03/24HHigh Point80-81
25/03/24AMontana74-61
23/03/24HBethune-Cookman86-85
11/03/24AJames Madison71-91
10/03/24AAppalachian State67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.887.378.3
Allowed / game75.762.089.3
Point differential+7.2+25.3-11.0
Avg total158.5149.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game80.280.579.0
Allowed / game67.061.888.0
Point differential+13.2+18.8-9.0
Avg total147.2142.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake660100%76.359.2+17.2
2 Bradley87188%83.666.9+16.8
3 Belmont75271%81.174.1+7.0
4 Murray State64267%83.765.2+18.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)74357%86.474.0+12.4
6 Valparaiso74357%79.470.3+9.1
7 Illinois State74357%78.670.4+8.1
8 Indiana State63350%82.875.7+7.2
9 Northern Iowa63350%74.367.5+6.8
10 Evansville73443%71.073.6-2.6
11 Southern Illinois83538%76.674.0+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State54180%80.267.0+13.2
2 Appalachian State75271%72.765.7+7.0
3 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
4 Marshall64267%76.267.5+8.7
5 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
6 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
7 Troy74357%72.970.1+2.7
8 Georgia State74357%75.373.9+1.4
9 James Madison84450%77.270.6+6.6
10 Louisiana Monroe83538%73.669.6+4.0
11 Southern Miss62433%79.082.2-3.2
12 Coastal Carolina62433%63.867.7-3.8
13 Old Dominion82625%64.877.5-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%69.082.7-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State354681
Arkansas State464086
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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