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Indiana State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 61-63
30-28 31-35
Position#84
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game68.5
vs
UMKC 🏆
USA
Position#305
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H12/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H18/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
37-48
37-32
35-44
36-32
22-42
41-40
41-48
36-44
30-42
28-23
25-35
34-31
46-22
43-31
40-40
49-26
52-49
43-38
36-37
147.9Avg total
74.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.868.5154.2+17.2100%
Season at home (4)85.868.5154.2+17.2100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.473.5147.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)79.266.4145.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.976.0143.9-8.114%
vs Similar (7)66.974.3141.1-7.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.663.8145.4+17.988%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H25/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
48-86
48
86
-38
A12/11
NCAA
Calvary
#662
W
113-54
113
54
+59
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
47-32
39-22
33-41
36-45
39-41
33-38
28-36
35-26
21-33
34-41
29-33
23-39
25-47
68-21
45-33
25-41
28-28
33-38
50-33
141.6Avg total
70.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.368.8138.2+0.533%
Season at home (3)84.061.3145.3+22.767%
Season away (3)54.776.3131.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)70.970.7141.6+0.240%
Last 5 (5)72.070.8142.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.280.2143.4-17.020%
vs Similar (8)73.473.9147.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (13)71.266.4137.5+4.869%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.2-1.2
Indiana StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#49
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H12/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H18/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H21/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
38.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.669.5+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.133.671.7+4.472%-
Last 30 away (12)32.733.566.2-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.870.8+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.869.2+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.134.870.9+1.364%-
vs Similar (7)32.136.468.6-4.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.829.067.8+9.888%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#69
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H25/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Calvary
#662
W
68-21
68
21
+47
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H21/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.968.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.230.669.8+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.466.6-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.071.4+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.841.068.8-13.20%-
vs Similar (8)36.634.871.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (13)33.529.563.0+4.177%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indiana State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22HEast Carolina79-75
18/11/22HNorth Dakota St101-75
12/11/22HBall State83-71
08/11/22HWisc. Green Bay80-53
04/03/22AIllinois State53-58
26/02/22AIllinois State66-86
24/02/22HNorthern Iowa82-88
22/02/22ADrake58-74
19/02/22HSouthern Illinois72-76
16/02/22AMissouri State70-79
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22HToledo83-71
17/11/22AKansas State53-69
15/11/22HCalvary113-54
12/11/22AIllinois48-86
10/11/22ALSU63-74
08/11/22HLincoln Mo.56-59
07/03/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes61-74
27/02/22HSouth Dakota St.75-86
25/02/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes72-63
19/02/22ANorth Dakota St85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+17.2+17.2-
Avg total154.2154.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
UMKC
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game69.384.054.7
Allowed / game68.861.376.3
Point differential+0.5+22.7-21.7
Avg total138.2145.3131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State440100%85.868.5+17.2
2 Drake550100%74.462.4+12.0
3 Bradley43175%79.266.0+13.2
4 Illinois (Chi.)64267%73.865.7+8.2
5 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
6 Southern Illinois53260%62.858.8+4.0
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
9 Illinois State62433%64.268.7-4.5
10 Northern Iowa41325%74.065.2+8.8
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver43175%74.268.2+6.0
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)64267%72.766.0+6.7
3 Oral Roberts53260%78.074.6+3.4
4 South Dakota Coyotes53260%67.272.6-5.4
5 South Dakota St.52340%70.474.6-4.2
6 North Dakota52340%67.480.0-12.6
7 UMKC62433%69.368.8+0.5
8 North Dakota St51420%70.881.0-10.2
9 Nebraska O.51420%65.881.4-15.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State303161
UMKC283563
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