PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UMKC vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-71
33-38 50-33
Position#305
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game68.4
UMKC 🏆
USA
vs
Toledo
USA
Position#18
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game81.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UMKC v Toledo
21 Nov 2022
UMKC83
TOLE71
17 Dec 2019
UMKC72
TOLE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A18/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H25/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
48-86
48
86
-38
A12/11
NCAA
Calvary
#662
W
113-54
113
54
+59
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
35-39
38-39
47-32
39-22
33-41
36-45
39-41
33-38
28-36
35-26
21-33
34-41
29-33
23-39
25-47
68-21
45-33
25-41
28-28
140.7Avg total
70.6Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.668.4135.0-1.820%
Season at home (2)84.556.5141.0+28.050%
Season away (3)54.776.3131.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)70.670.1140.7+0.540%
Last 5 (5)66.668.4135.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.282.5140.8-24.20%
vs Similar (8)73.473.9147.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (14)70.066.4136.4+3.664%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-36
0-0
51-14
0-0
40-39
0-0
48-34
0-0
46-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
49-28
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
54-39
0-0
57-37
0-0
55-53
156.2Avg total
84.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.781.7178.3+15.0100%
Season at home (3)96.781.7178.3+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.771.5156.2+13.280%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.169.5151.6+12.679%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
UMKCToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#351
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A18/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H25/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Calvary
#662
W
68-21
68
21
+47
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.968.3+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.630.169.7+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)33.133.866.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.871.4+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.670.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.541.868.2-15.20%-
vs Similar (8)36.634.871.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (14)33.430.163.6+3.371%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
75.1Avg total
40.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.474.6+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.133.472.6+5.761%-
Last 30 away (12)41.835.977.7+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.875.1+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.276.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.834.074.9+6.871%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMKC wins
1
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Toledo v UMKC64-57
18/12/19UMKC v Toledo72-57
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22AKansas State53-69
15/11/22HCalvary113-54
12/11/22AIllinois48-86
10/11/22ALSU63-74
08/11/22HLincoln Mo.56-59
07/03/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes61-74
27/02/22HSouth Dakota St.75-86
25/02/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes72-63
19/02/22ANorth Dakota St85-71
18/02/22ANorth Dakota80-65
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70
10/03/22HCentral Michigan72-71
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game66.684.554.7
Allowed / game68.456.576.3
Point differential-1.8+28.0-21.7
Avg total135.0141.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.796.7-
Allowed / game81.781.7-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total178.3178.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver43175%74.268.2+6.0
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)64267%72.766.0+6.7
3 Oral Roberts53260%78.074.6+3.4
4 South Dakota Coyotes42250%67.076.2-9.2
5 South Dakota St.52340%70.474.6-4.2
6 North Dakota52340%67.480.0-12.6
7 Nebraska O.41325%66.276.8-10.5
8 UMKC51420%66.668.4-1.8
9 North Dakota St51420%70.881.0-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State550100%82.860.8+22.0
2 Toledo330100%96.781.7+15.0
3 Akron330100%73.064.3+8.7
4 UMass54180%69.264.0+5.2
5 Ball State43175%84.263.8+20.5
6 Bowling Green42250%72.075.2-3.2
7 Western Michigan62433%76.574.5+2.0
8 Central Michigan31233%69.775.0-5.3
9 Ohio41325%72.574.5-2.0
10 Northern Illinois41325%68.071.8-3.8
11 Eastern Michigan41325%77.283.8-6.5
12 Buffalo51420%69.082.2-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMKC335083
Toledo383371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.