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Missouri State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-70
31-33 48-37
Position#49
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#291
Record11-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Missouri State v Indiana State
07 Dec 2024
MISS77
INDI80
10 Feb 2024
MISS71
INDI73
15 Jan 2023
MISS64
INDI62
15 Feb 2022
MISS79
INDI70
03 Jan 2021
MISS70
INDI66
02 Jan 2021
MISS84
INDI74
01 Feb 2020
MISS68
INDI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
44-34
44-29
35-33
44-36
29-41
43-35
28-21
44-37
29-24
40-30
29-28
33-43
29-30
37-32
41-36
43-30
139.9Avg total
74.7Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.366.9144.1+10.470%
Season at home (16)79.668.0147.6+11.669%
Season away (11)73.965.2139.1+8.773%
Last 10 (10)74.765.2139.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)70.662.2132.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similar (9)68.365.0133.3+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.867.9146.7+10.868%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A30/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
72-79 OT
72
79
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
23-34
31-32
24-31
40-35
33-40
41-29
35-43
23-34
29-33
37-42
30-43
34-33
26-27
23-33
33-32
26-25
34-35
24-36
36-21
135.1Avg total
64.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.370.8142.1+0.644%
Season at home (14)71.766.9138.6+4.957%
Season away (11)70.875.7146.5-4.927%
Last 10 (10)64.770.4135.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)67.072.6139.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.276.2141.4-11.115%
vs Similar (8)67.865.6133.4+2.150%
vs Weaker (7)75.961.3137.1+14.686%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -3.6-3.6
Missouri StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.4Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.866.8+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.230.566.7+5.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.731.266.8+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)33.430.764.1+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)31.227.859.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)31.029.860.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.430.868.3+6.679%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H12/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.768.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.033.269.2+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.266.6-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.964.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)28.833.862.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.337.271.5-2.838%-
vs Similar (8)32.532.464.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)35.630.065.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Missouri State wins
2
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HValparaiso84-66
10/02/22ADrake66-62
06/02/22HLoyola Chicago62-71
03/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-54
30/01/22HEvansville72-58
26/01/22AIndiana State72-76
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69
20/01/22HIllinois State88-63
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HIllinois State60-57
11/02/22AEvansville80-77 OT
09/02/22HEvansville56-65
06/02/22AValparaiso72-79 OT
03/02/22HDrake67-85
30/01/22ABradley52-67
26/01/22HMissouri State76-72
22/01/22HValparaiso73-75
20/01/22ASouthern Illinois55-63
16/01/22HLoyola Chicago56-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %70%69%73%
Points / game77.379.673.9
Allowed / game66.968.065.2
Point differential+10.4+11.6+8.7
Avg total144.1147.6139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Indiana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %44%57%27%
Points / game71.371.770.8
Allowed / game70.866.975.7
Point differential+0.6+4.9-4.9
Avg total142.1138.6146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State2420483%74.566.4+8.1
2 Louisiana Tech2418675%78.369.2+9.1
3 Middle Tenn. St.2417771%74.867.0+7.8
4 Missouri State2719870%77.366.9+10.4
5 Liberty2718967%73.161.9+11.2
6 Delaware2617965%75.270.8+4.4
7 Jacksonville State2516964%74.167.8+6.3
8 UTEP24141058%69.166.2+2.9
9 Western Kentucky26151158%76.669.8+6.8
10 Sam Houston St.26151158%70.163.8+6.3
11 Kennesaw State25111444%74.869.7+5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2624292%80.062.5+17.5
2 Belmont2722581%80.669.1+11.5
3 Drake2617965%74.367.2+7.2
4 Northern Iowa24141058%73.169.2+3.9
5 Bradley26151158%71.564.9+6.6
6 Southern Illinois26131350%63.260.7+2.5
7 Indiana State25111444%71.370.8+0.6
8 Valparaiso25111444%71.671.4+0.2
9 Illinois State26111542%76.376.0+0.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)24101442%70.072.1-2.1
11 Evansville2461825%59.668.8-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State314879
Indiana State333770
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