Indiana hosts Bellarmine on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Indiana the clear favourite, rating them 96% to win largely because of their 1-0 record, 91.0 points per game and 57.0 allowed per game, the best offensive and defensive marks in the league where they sit 76th; Bellarmine, by contrast, is 0-1 with 47.0 points scored and 93.0 allowed, positioned 402nd. Indiana's single game shows a 91-57 victory at home, while Bellarmine's lone outing was a 47-93 loss away, and both teams have 2-3 records over their last five games. No head-to-head history is recorded. Pythia projects a 87-67 score, with a 96% probability that Indiana will win and a 4% chance for Bellarmine, and a projected total of 154.5 points; the 153.5 line carries a 52% over probability, and the game has a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 91.0 | 57.0 | 148.0 | +34.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 91.0 | 57.0 | 148.0 | +34.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 72.4 | 73.3 | 145.7 | -0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.2 | 69.2 | 143.4 | +5.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 67.2 | 80.6 | 147.9 | -13.4 | 12% |
| vs Similar (8) | 76.9 | 75.5 | 152.4 | +1.4 | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 81.4 | 65.6 | 147.1 | +15.8 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 47.0 | 93.0 | 140.0 | -46.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 47.0 | 93.0 | 140.0 | -46.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.2 | 83.7 | 160.9 | -6.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.2 | 85.6 | 161.8 | -9.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 75.7 | 85.8 | 161.5 | -10.1 | 18% |
| vs Similar (14) | 78.9 | 78.8 | 157.7 | +0.1 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 89.2 | 80.6 | 169.8 | +8.6 | 40% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.2 | 32.6 | 70.7 | +5.6 | 63% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 41.6 | 29.1 | 70.7 | +12.5 | 89% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.0 | 37.8 | 70.8 | -4.8 | 25% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.8 | 35.9 | 72.7 | +0.9 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 36.4 | 75.2 | +2.4 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 33.0 | 38.5 | 71.5 | -5.5 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Similar (8) | 37.2 | 33.0 | 70.2 | +4.2 | 62% | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 41.6 | 28.9 | 70.6 | +12.7 | 86% | 36% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.7 | 40.7 | 76.4 | -5.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.3 | 38.1 | 76.3 | +0.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 33.1 | 43.4 | 76.5 | -10.3 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.4 | 41.0 | 75.4 | -6.6 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 40.8 | 75.8 | -5.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 33.6 | 44.0 | 77.6 | -10.4 | 27% | 73% |
| vs Similar (14) | 35.7 | 39.8 | 75.5 | -4.1 | 43% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 40.2 | 36.2 | 76.4 | +4.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine over 62 | 70.1% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 61.5 | 71.1% | 1.82 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.80 | +19.4pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 59.5 | 77.6% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 55.5 | 87.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 58.5 | 80.5% | 1.36 | 1.44 | 1.34 | 1.31 | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Indiana under 94.5 | 76.6% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 56.5 | 85.5% | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 60.5 | 74.5% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Indiana under 97.5 | 84.8% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Indiana under 93.5 | 73.4% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 54.5 | 89.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Indiana under 96.5 | 82.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Indiana under 95.5 | 79.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Indiana under 99.5 | 89.0% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.15 | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Bellarmine over 53.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | 1.12 | 1.09 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Indiana (regulation) | 94.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Indiana over 71.5 | 94.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 94.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Indiana over 70.5 | 95.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Indiana over 73.5 | 91.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Indiana win | 95.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 90.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Indiana over 72.5 | 93.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Over 146 | 70.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 93.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 71.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Indiana over 75.5 | 88.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Indiana over 74.5 | 90.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 75.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 83.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 88.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Indiana over 77.5 | 84.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Indiana over 76.5 | 86.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Indiana -6.5 | 88.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 80.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.2pp | Won |
| Bellarmine under 78.5 | 87.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -4.3pp | Won |
| Indiana over 79.5 | 78.7% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 71.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Won |
| Indiana over 78.5 | 81.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -6.4pp | Won |
| Indiana over 81.5 | 72.4% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.14 | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
| Bellarmine under 76.5 | 82.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -7.5pp | Won |
| Indiana over 80.5 | 75.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -8.7pp | Won |
| Bellarmine under 74.5 | 77.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -10.3pp | Won |
| Indiana -11.5 | 78.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -11.1pp | Won |
| Bellarmine under 73.5 | 74.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -12.0pp | Won |
| Bellarmine under 72.5 | 70.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -13.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Eastern Illinois | 91-57 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Northwestern | 61-74 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Ohio State | 78-91 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Minnesota | 77-47 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Michigan State | 64-77 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Northwestern | 68-72 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Purdue | 64-93 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Illinois | 51-71 |
| 10/02/26 | H | Oregon | 92-74 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Wisconsin | 78-77 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Vanderbilt | 47-93 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Central Arkansas | 73-86 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Jacksonville Dolphins | 82-79 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Austin Peay | 111-97 |
| 26/02/26 | A | North Alabama | 68-73 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Eastern Kentucky | 92-95 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Lipscomb | 72-75 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Austin Peay | 70-90 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Central Arkansas | 76-84 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast | 81-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 91.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 57.0 | 57.0 | - |
| Point differential | +34.0 | +34.0 | - |
| Avg total | 148.0 | 148.0 | - |
| Over 154 | 0% | 0% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 47.0 | - | 47.0 |
| Allowed / game | 93.0 | - | 93.0 |
| Point differential | -46.0 | - | -46.0 |
| Avg total | 140.0 | - | 140.0 |
| Over 154 | 0% | - | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 120.0 | 45.0 | +75.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 106.0 | 64.0 | +42.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 57.0 | +40.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 59.0 | +37.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 50.0 | +35.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 57.0 | +34.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 63.0 | +32.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 67.0 | +29.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 60.0 | +26.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 54.0 | +22.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 87.0 | 69.0 | +18.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 68.0 | +16.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 76.0 | +14.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 75.0 | +9.0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 68.0 | +7.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 72.0 | +6.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 83.0 | 94.0 | -11.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 105.0 | 54.0 | +51.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 109.0 | 65.0 | +44.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 55.0 | +30.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 71.0 | 63.0 | +8.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 75.0 | +4.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 99.5 | 96.5 | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 95.0 | 96.0 | -1.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 66.5 | 81.0 | -14.5 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 58.0 | 75.0 | -17.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 63.5 | 83.0 | -19.5 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 93.0 | -46.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 42 | 92 | |
| 26 | 43 | 69 |
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