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Indiana vs Eastern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-65
Projected total 141.8
Final 91-57
44-23 47-34
Position#67
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Indiana 🏆
USA
Vs
84%
16%
■ INDI 84%■ EAST 16%
Pythia win probability
Eastern Illinois
USA
Position#331
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Indiana v Eastern Illinois
02 Nov 2026
INDI91
EAST57
10 Nov 2024
INDI90
EAST55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Indiana faces Eastern Illinois on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Indiana the clear favourite, giving it an 84% chance of winning largely because of its dominant season record and high scoring margin. Indiana has played 5 home games this season, winning only 1 and losing 4, with an average of 76 points scored and 65 points allowed per game, while Eastern Illinois has played 5 away games, winning 2 and losing 3, averaging 65 points scored and 76 points allowed per game. Indiana's recent home results include a loss to Northwestern 61-74 on 11 March 2026, a loss to Ohio State 78-91 on 7 March 2026, and a win over Minnesota 77-47 on 4 March 2026, whereas Eastern Illinois' recent away results show a loss to UT Martin 63-66 on 5 March 2026, a win over Siu Edwardsville 77-71 on 4 March 2026 and a loss to Siu Edwardsville 50-77 on 28 February 2026. The teams have met once before, with Indiana winning 90-55 on 10 November 2024. Pythia projects a 76-65 score, a total of 141.8 points, and an 84% probability that Indiana will win; the over/under line is 143.5 with a 46% chance of the over, and there is a 3% chance the game will go into overtime. The next game will decide whether Indiana can extend its winning streak at home.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winWon
83.6%fair 1.20
Best odds1.01
Implied94.1%
Edge-10.5pp
Eastern Illinois winLost
16.4%fair 6.09
Best odds100.00
Implied5.9%
Edge+10.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
45-46
36-30
36-42
36-30
56-44
31-38
20-33
29-46
35-47
42-33
26-39
37-45
27-32
43-28
34-19
33-50
45-41
37-36
24-38
146.5Avg total
70.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.875.7146.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.672.2141.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.6147.9-13.412%
vs Similar (8)76.975.5152.4+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.166.6148.7+15.671%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
50-77
50
77
-27
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
38-44
31-19
29-35
31-39
39-40
34-30
44-42
28-29
42-44
20-36
48-34
36-29
35-38
26-35
24-42
40-31
25-34
22-27
41-39
138.1Avg total
67.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.570.6138.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)65.870.2136.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.277.2141.4-12.925%
vs Similar (9)66.266.2132.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (3)79.063.3142.3+15.767%
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 138.5Actual: Over 138.5
Over 138.5
57.7%
@ 1.52-3.9pp
Under 138.5
42.3%
@ 2.50+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 143.5 · main lineActual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
45.5%
@ 1.95-3.0pp
Under 143.5
54.5%
@ 1.87+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
SBO
1.87
Under
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
33.8%
@ 2.80-0.7pp
Under 148.5
66.2%
@ 1.44+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.38

📊 3. Team Totals

Indiana total 85.5Actual: Indiana over 85.5
Over 85.5
18.2%
@ 1.50-43.3pp
Under 85.5
81.8%
@ 2.50+43.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.30
Indiana total 89.5 · main lineActual: Indiana over 89.5
Over 89.5
9.5%
@ 1.95-39.6pp
Under 89.5
90.5%
@ 1.84+39.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.75
Indiana total 93.5Actual: Indiana under 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.85
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
Eastern Illinois total 49.5Actual: Eastern Illinois over 49.5
Over 49.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
Under 49.5
no forecast
@ 3.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
2.67
Eastern Illinois total 54 · main lineActual: Eastern Illinois over 54
Over 54
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 54
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Eastern Illinois total 58Actual: Eastern Illinois under 58
Over 58
77.1%
Under 58
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Indiana -37.5Actual: Eastern Illinois +37.5
INDI -37.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
EAST +37.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
INDI
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
EAST
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Spread Indiana -34.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Illinois +34.5
INDI -34.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
EAST +34.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
INDI
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
EAST
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.87
Spread Indiana -31.5Actual: Indiana -31.5
INDI -31.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
EAST +31.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Best 5 market prices
INDI
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
EAST
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
IndianaEastern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/03
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)38.433.171.5+5.363%47%
Last 30 at home (18)42.030.072.0+12.089%50%
Last 30 away (12)33.037.870.8-4.825%42%
Last 10 (10)35.437.172.5-1.750%60%
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%38%
vs Similar (8)37.233.070.2+4.262%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.130.172.2+12.186%57%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
60.6Avg total
29.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)32.732.865.5-0.147%30%
Last 30 at home (14)34.930.665.5+4.457%36%
Last 30 away (16)30.734.865.4-4.138%25%
Last 10 (10)29.830.860.6-1.040%10%
Last 5 (5)28.831.660.4-2.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.936.268.1-4.438%44%
vs Similar (9)30.030.360.3-0.344%0%
vs Weaker (3)37.028.365.3+8.767%33%
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Indiana win
INDI win
no forecast
@ 1.02
EAST win
no forecast
@ 14.00
1st half Spread Indiana -17.5 · main lineActual: Indiana -17.5
INDI -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
EAST +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 70.5 · main lineActual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Indiana 1st half total 44 · main linePush
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Eastern Illinois 1st half total 26.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Illinois under 26.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Indiana -18.5Actual: Indiana -18.5
INDI -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
EAST +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Indiana -16.5Actual: Indiana -16.5
INDI -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
EAST +16.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.60
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Indiana -19.5Actual: Indiana -19.5
INDI -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
EAST +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Indiana -15.5Actual: Indiana -15.5
INDI -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
EAST +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Indiana -20.5Actual: Indiana -20.5
INDI -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
EAST +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Indiana -14.5Actual: Indiana -14.5
INDI -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
EAST +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Indiana (regulation)
INDI
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 51.00
EAST
no forecast
@ 13.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
INDI win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
EAST win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: INDI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: EAST leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Eastern Illinois +24.587.9%4.50
Bet365
4.50		----+67.4ppLost
Eastern Illinois +19.577.2%8.50
Bet365
8.50		----+66.2ppLost
Indiana under 82.572.8%3.60
Bet365
3.60		----+46.9ppLost
Indiana under 84.579.0%2.67
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.50		---+44.7ppLost
Indiana under 83.576.0%2.86
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.72		---+43.8ppLost
Indiana under 86.584.3%2.26
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.12		---+43.7ppLost
Indiana under 85.581.8%2.40
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.30		---+43.3ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 58.574.8%2.94
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.67		---+43.3ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 59.571.5%3.12
Bet365
3.30
Betano
2.95		---+42.0ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 56.580.7%2.36
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.22		---+41.5ppWon
Eastern Illinois over 57.577.8%2.53
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45		---+41.4ppLost
Indiana under 87.586.6%2.02
Betano
2.02		----+40.9ppLost
Indiana under 8990.3%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+40.3ppLost
Indiana under 89.590.5%1.81
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.75		-+39.6ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 55.583.3%2.10
Betano
2.10		----+39.3ppWon
Indiana under 88.588.7%1.87
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		+39.1ppLost
Indiana under 90.592.1%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+36.2ppLost
Indiana under 91.593.4%1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52		---+33.2ppWon
Under 15172.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+2.6ppWon
Under 168.594.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.8ppWon
Under 151.572.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+1.7ppWon
Under 153.576.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+1.2ppWon
Under 163.590.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.0ppWon
Under 150.570.6%1.33
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.29		---+0.6ppWon
Under 167.594.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.3ppWon
Under 158.584.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.4ppWon
Over 117.593.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.4ppWon
Under 162.589.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.6ppWon
Over 118.592.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----1.3ppWon
Under 152.574.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.6ppWon
Over 122.588.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----2.3ppWon
Under 157.583.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.3ppWon
Over 123.586.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----3.5ppWon
Over 132.571.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.8ppWon
Over 127.580.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----5.2ppWon
Over 128.579.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----6.9ppWon
Indiana (regulation)81.6%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----9.7ppWon
Indiana win83.6%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----10.5ppWon
Indiana over 69.575.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----16.9ppWon
Indiana over 70.572.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----20.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana wins
0
Eastern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Indiana v Eastern Illinois90-55
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HNorthwestern61-74
07/03/26AOhio State78-91
04/03/26HMinnesota77-47
01/03/26HMichigan State64-77
25/02/26HNorthwestern68-72
21/02/26APurdue64-93
15/02/26AIllinois51-71
10/02/26HOregon92-74
07/02/26HWisconsin78-77 OT
04/02/26AUSC75-81
Eastern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AUT Martin63-66
05/03/26ASiu Edwardsville77-71 OT
28/02/26ASiu Edwardsville50-77
27/02/26ALindenwood71-67
21/02/26HSouthern Indiana68-70
20/02/26HMorehead State70-73
14/02/26HUALR78-72
11/02/26AWestern Illinois70-79
07/02/26ATennessee Tech60-54
06/02/26ATennessee State68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 143.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Eastern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 143.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana444791
Eastern Illinois233457
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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