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Indonesia vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 51-106
12-22 21-27 2-22 16-35
Position#29
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game73.0
Indonesia
vs
Australia 🏆
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeAsia Cup· Indonesia Arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indonesia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
China
#4
L
58-108
58
108
-50
no box
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
141-37
141
37
+104
153avg 81
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
75avg 81
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 81
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 81
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 81
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-95
55
95
-40
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
56-73
56
73
-17
40avg 81
A22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
10-30
23-18
14-31
35-7
37-9
36-8
33-13
16-24
28-17
15-18
29-23
12-22
15-16
27-15
33-16
24-20
21-18
20-22
11-24
14-21
10-14
17-25
28-23
8-20
23-30
13-22
11-23
15-21
19-17
16-14
7-18
18-14
19-19
19-21
11-20
8-17
17-18
10-25
21-13
152.9Avg total
75.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)75.477.5152.9-2.130%
Last 5 (5)60.879.0139.8-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.884.0148.8-19.220%
vs Similar (2)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (8)97.466.0163.4+31.4100%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
97-50
97
50
+47
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
83-51
83
51
+32
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 86
H22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-8
19-17
20-12
19-13
–
–
–
–
25-19
27-5
7-19
24-8
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
149.8Avg total
83.2Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.266.6149.8+16.670%
Last 5 (5)91.284.0175.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.264.0149.2+21.389%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
IndonesiaAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#4
L
21-59
21
59
-38
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
72-16
72
16
+56
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
74.3Avg total
36.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.875.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.834.874.6+5.050%-
Last 30 away (16)34.940.475.3-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.374.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.268.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.740.070.7-9.315%-
vs Similar (2)41.035.576.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (8)52.432.985.2+19.5100%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
58-25
58
25
+33
A11/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
84.2Avg total
48.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.133.578.7+11.686%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.733.678.3+11.188%-
Last 30 away (12)45.833.479.2+12.383%-
Last 10 (9)48.036.284.2+11.867%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.088.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.033.378.2+11.785%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.8
50.4%
49.3%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.5
39.0%
32.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.711.0
66.0%
70.1%11.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.0
52.3%
49.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.0
25.9%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.0
81.8%
70.1%18.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indonesia
LLLLLLWWWL
Australia
WWLWLWWWLW
#29
League position
#1
+19.2
Net rating
+20.0
110.1
Offensive rating
106.2
91.0
Defensive rating
86.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
39.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.0%
3-point %
25.9%
63.3%
Assist %
76.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.2Defence91.0 · 86.2Shooting53.9% · 47.2%3-point %39.0% · 25.9%Ball care17.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 39.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Indonesia   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indonesia wins
1
Australia wins
DateGameScore
16/07/22Australia v Indonesia78-53
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AThailand56-73
30/09/23HQatar67-74
28/09/23HJapan57-70
26/09/23ASouth Korea55-95
16/05/23AThailand69-83
15/05/23HPhilippines76-84
14/05/23HThailand87-69
12/05/23AVietnam88-82
10/05/23HLaos141-37
18/07/22AChina58-108
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
23/02/23HBahrain83-51
14/11/22AIran0-20
11/11/22AKazakhstan97-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indonesia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game56.0-56.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total129.0-129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines220100%100.058.5+41.5
2 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
3 Jordan110100%73.046.0+27.0
4 Australia110100%85.071.0+14.0
5 Kazakhstan110100%63.050.0+13.0
6 Japan220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Lebanon110100%87.078.0+9.0
8 Bahrain110100%70.064.0+6.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%64.058.0+6.0
10 Iran110100%76.074.0+2.0
11 Guam76186%73.068.1+4.9
12 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
13 Iraq64267%78.274.0+4.2
14 Mongolia95456%80.077.1+2.9
15 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
16 South Korea21150%83.573.5+10.0
17 United Arab Emirates63350%67.064.8+2.2
18 Palestine63350%68.368.7-0.3
19 Qatar63350%64.765.7-1.0
20 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
21 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
22 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 Syria1010%78.087.0-9.0
25 India1010%50.063.0-13.0
26 Indonesia1010%56.073.0-17.0
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Chinese Taipei2020%61.097.5-36.5
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indonesia122121651
Australia22272235106
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