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Indonesia W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 47-89
15-25 12-20 9-22 11-22
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game55.7
Allowed / game77.0
Indonesia W
vs
Japan W 🏆
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game45.0
EuropeAsian Games WomenAsian Games Women - Quarter-finals
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indonesia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indonesia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Singapore W
#6
W
87-53
87
53
+34
no box
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Vietnam W
#4
W
67-62
67
62
+5
58avg 82
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
no box
A10/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Malaysia W
#3
W
85-57
85
57
+28
80avg 82
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#2
W
89-68
89
68
+21
90avg 82
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Cambodia W
#6
W
100-54
100
54
+46
99avg 82
H13/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Singapore W
#7
W
86-39
86
39
+47
83avg 82
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
India W
#6
L
46-66
46
66
-20
no box
A27/09
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
52-101
52
101
-49
no box
H29/09
Asian Games Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
21-4
26-18
18-23
15-12
16-16
21-25
15-9
24-20
20-10
15-23
11-16
23-18
26-12
15-15
21-12
18-24
17-13
28-12
26-19
25-11
23-10
23-18
29-15
26-7
17-7
20-8
23-17
14-18
11-11
11-9
10-28
6-18
12-22
16-31
18-30
15-19
15-16
15-13
24-16
138.4Avg total
75.1Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)55.777.0132.7-21.333%
Season at home (2)60.582.5143.0-22.050%
Season away (1)46.066.0112.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.163.3138.4+11.880%
Last 5 (5)70.664.8135.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.784.5145.2-23.927%
vs Similar (2)75.069.0144.0+6.050%
vs Weaker (13)82.556.8139.2+25.7100%
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
53-67
53
67
-14
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 85
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 85
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 85
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 85
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-16
21-13
18-19
9-19
18-16
16-20
9-20
11-15
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
142.6Avg total
85.2Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.045.0147.0+57.0100%
Season at home (2)107.052.5159.5+54.5100%
Season away (1)92.030.0122.0+62.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.257.4142.6+27.870%
Last 5 (5)93.052.0145.0+41.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.377.9152.2-3.645%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.059.2147.2+28.888%
This opponent (Indonesia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.1+6.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.1+6.1
Indonesia WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indonesia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Singapore W
#6
W
43-12
43
12
+31
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Vietnam W
#4
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Malaysia W
#3
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Cambodia W
#6
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H13/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Singapore W
#7
W
43-14
43
14
+29
A14/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
India W
#6
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A27/09
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
18-40
18
40
-22
H29/09
Asian Games Women
Mongolia W
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H01/10
Asian Games Women
64.2Avg total
36.6Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.169.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.833.569.3+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.236.270.4-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.627.664.2+9.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.827.860.6+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.241.270.4-12.027%-
vs Similar (2)30.535.566.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (13)42.127.970.0+14.292%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
73.2Avg total
44.7Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.833.873.5+6.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.532.773.2+7.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.935.073.9+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.728.573.2+16.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.825.276.0+25.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.874.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.529.974.4+14.688%-
This opponent (Indonesia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indonesia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia W: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.7
46.6%
-41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.7
33.0%
-29.0
🏀 Free throws18.711.5
61.6%
-11.5
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.8
40.8%
-41.4
🏀 Free throws10.28.8
86.3%
-8.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indonesia W
WLLWWWWWWW
Japan W
WWWLWWWWLL
#9
League position
#2
+30.3
Net rating
+36.5
102.1
Offensive rating
120.8
71.7
Defensive rating
84.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
36.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.15
33.0%
3-point %
40.8%
70.9%
Assist %
69.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Indonesia W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indonesia W wins
0
Japan W wins
No previous meetings.
Indonesia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HMongolia W69-64
29/09/23HChina W52-101
27/09/23AIndia W46-66
14/05/23ASingapore W86-39
13/05/23HCambodia W100-54
12/05/23APhilippines W89-68
11/05/23HMalaysia W85-57
10/05/23AThailand W70-69
09/05/23HVietnam W67-62
22/05/22HSingapore W87-53
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53
27/09/22AAustralia W54-71
26/09/22AFrance W53-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indonesia W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game55.760.546.0
Allowed / game77.082.566.0
Point differential-21.3-22.0-20.0
Avg total132.7143.0112.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.0107.092.0
Allowed / game45.052.530.0
Point differential+57.0+54.5+62.0
Avg total147.0159.5122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Japan W330100%102.045.0+57.0
2 China W440100%104.252.8+51.5
3 South Korea W330100%86.059.0+27.0
4 North Korea W43175%88.566.0+22.5
5 Philippines W32167%80.372.7+7.7
6 India W42250%61.078.8-17.8
7 Indonesia W31233%55.777.0-21.3
8 Hong Kong W31233%59.791.0-31.3
9 Chinese Taipei W41325%63.584.0-20.5
10 Mongolia W3030%57.379.3-22.0
11 Thailand W3030%53.084.3-31.3
12 Kazakhstan W3030%48.381.7-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indonesia W151291147
Japan W2520222289
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