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Inowroclaw vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-73
17-26 12-11 21-17 26-19
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.5
Poland1 LigaRound 3· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2024-25
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Pelplin
03 Apr 2027
INOW v PELP
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
INOW78
PELP99
09 Oct 2024
INOW76
PELP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Pruszkow
#10
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
A11/03
1 Liga
GTK Gliwice
#2
W
65-63
65
63
+2
no box
H18/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#4
L
74-108
74
108
-34
no box
A25/03
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
H02/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
H08/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H09/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A22/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
82avg 78
H29/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 78
A06/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-23
9-23
18-16
25-21
16-12
13-9
11-21
16-21
19-33
21-32
18-22
13-22
20-9
23-26
12-21
11-12
26-12
15-29
22-25
21-17
17-19
8-23
26-20
27-22
17-24
25-22
20-18
18-20
18-16
13-21
30-36
24-19
19-19
12-15
26-18
13-30
26-22
19-16
20-13
157.2Avg total
74.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.576.0155.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.682.6157.2-8.030%
Last 5 (5)79.882.0161.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.182.8157.9-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.775.6148.3-2.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 72
H02/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 72
A09/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
63avg 72
H17/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
85-100
85
100
-15
80avg 72
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
64avg 72
H25/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
65-95
65
95
-30
51avg 72
A29/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
80avg 72
H06/04
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
95-105
95
105
-10
85avg 72
A14/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 72
A28/09
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 72
H05/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
19-20
22-14
19-25
27-23
13-24
14-21
21-21
19-21
18-17
16-22
14-28
21-30
18-21
21-30
25-19
20-29
16-25
28-22
17-17
16-37
19-13
11-18
19-27
18-17
10-30
30-12
23-23
26-25
20-27
24-22
25-31
26-29
20-14
24-20
15-14
21-23
19-25
20-17
20-11
169.8Avg total
80.8Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.576.5159.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.889.0169.8-8.230%
Last 5 (5)81.287.0168.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.881.6148.3-14.822%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.087.8173.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (7)86.973.1160.0+13.786%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
InowroclawPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pruszkow
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/03
1 Liga
GTK Gliwice
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A25/03
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H08/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/04
1 Liga
Nysa Klodzko
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A23/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H29/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A06/10
1 Liga
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.576.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.335.071.3+1.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.981.4-6.57%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.681.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.941.780.6-2.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.937.272.1-2.340%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A09/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H25/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A29/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/04
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/09
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H05/10
1 Liga
87.6Avg total
40.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.681.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.179.5-2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.183.1-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.047.687.6-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.048.087.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.639.673.1-6.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.845.486.1-4.636%-
vs Weaker (7)45.336.982.1+8.471%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws27.019.0
70.4%
70.2%19.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.7
53.2%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.0
25.8%
32.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.516.6
65.1%
70.2%16.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
LWLWLLLLWL
Pelplin
WWLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#7
+4.7
Net rating
-10.6
105.9
Offensive rating
100.2
101.2
Defensive rating
110.8
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.5%
3-point %
25.8%
77.4%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 100.2Defence101.2 · 110.8Shooting49.2% · 48.0%3-point %29.5% · 25.8%Ball care19.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds34.7% · 32.7%Free throws0.45 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Inowroclaw wins
0
Pelplin wins
No previous meetings.
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24ALKS Lodz78-81
29/09/24HPoznan81-71
23/04/17ANysa Klodzko79-93
22/04/17ANysa Klodzko89-86
09/04/17HNysa Klodzko72-79
08/04/17HNysa Klodzko74-78
02/04/17HNysa Klodzko68-78
25/03/17AGKS Tychy74-108
18/03/17HGTK Gliwice65-63
11/03/17APruszkow66-89
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HHydroTruck Radom80-76
28/09/24AWKK Wroclaw85-77
14/04/24ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl95-105
06/04/24HPolonia Warszawa81-82
29/03/24AStarogard Gdanski65-95
25/03/24HSlask Wroclaw II81-93
22/03/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg85-100
17/03/24HPoli. Opolska67-88
09/03/24AHydroTruck Radom75-89
02/03/24HMKKS Koszalin94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.581.078.0
Allowed / game76.071.081.0
Point differential+3.5+10.0-3.0
Avg total155.5152.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.580.085.0
Allowed / game76.576.077.0
Point differential+6.0+4.0+8.0
Avg total159.0156.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trefl Sopot II220100%93.077.0+16.0
2 Polonia Warszawa110100%83.068.0+15.0
3 Poli. Opolska220100%93.583.5+10.0
4 Krosno220100%76.070.0+6.0
5 Pelplin220100%82.576.5+6.0
6 Lancut32167%85.778.0+7.7
7 Poznan32167%86.379.7+6.7
8 Bydgoszcz21150%71.567.5+4.0
9 Inowroclaw21150%79.576.0+3.5
10 HydroTruck Radom21150%77.576.5+1.0
11 GKS Tychy21150%82.081.5+0.5
12 Starogard Gdanski21150%70.075.0-5.0
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg31233%78.381.0-2.7
14 LKS Lodz31233%78.082.0-4.0
15 WKK Wroclaw3030%78.786.3-7.7
16 MKKS Koszalin3030%76.790.0-13.3
17 Slask Wroclaw II1010%76.093.0-17.0
18 R. Rzeszow2020%70.091.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Inowroclaw1712212676
Pelplin2611171973
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