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Starogard Gdanski vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-65
37-16 13-19 18-11 27-19
Position#6
Record19-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#11
Record16-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.4
Poland1 LigaRound 26· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2023-24
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Pelplin
14 Nov 2026
STAR v PELP
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
STAR96
PELP91
27 Oct 2024
STAR88
PELP78
29 Mar 2024
STAR95
PELP65
26 Oct 2022
STAR72
PELP56
02 Jan 2022
STAR77
PELP52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
91avg 79
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 79
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 79
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 79
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 79
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 79
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
88avg 79
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
117-92
117
92
+25
114avg 79
H09/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 79
H16/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 79
H24/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
17-25
22-17
29-24
12-19
19-26
23-20
14-13
19-30
24-18
23-21
26-15
13-19
24-20
17-24
23-20
26-20
18-21
22-19
11-21
14-12
20-25
22-25
20-23
25-29
15-23
24-21
23-12
37-17
37-29
23-30
20-16
17-15
22-12
27-25
16-18
27-25
30-12
19-19
23-14
168.3Avg total
86.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.775.7157.5+6.061%
Season at home (16)83.974.6158.6+9.369%
Season away (15)79.476.9156.3+2.553%
Last 10 (10)86.881.5168.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)92.280.4172.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
vs Similar (10)76.278.3154.5-2.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.574.8160.3+10.772%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 74
A27/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
62avg 74
H31/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
56-84
56
84
-28
43avg 74
A03/02
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
no box
H10/02
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
106-72
106
72
+34
100avg 74
A24/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 74
H02/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 74
A09/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
63avg 74
H17/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
85-100
85
100
-15
80avg 74
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
64avg 74
H25/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
24-14
24-19
14-22
12-21
15-19
14-23
27-12
13-26
15-16
18-21
10-21
23-24
21-18
13-18
21-18
30-18
30-22
26-12
20-20
34-26
19-20
22-14
19-25
27-23
13-24
14-21
21-21
19-21
18-17
16-22
14-28
21-30
18-21
21-30
25-19
20-29
16-25
28-22
17-17
166.1Avg total
80.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.180.4161.5+0.652%
Season at home (16)79.178.6157.7+0.450%
Season away (15)83.282.3165.5+0.953%
Last 10 (10)80.485.7166.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)80.491.0171.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.881.6151.4-11.820%
vs Similar (12)84.585.9170.4-1.458%
vs Weaker (8)88.171.0159.1+17.175%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
Starogard GdanskiPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
74-46
74
46
+28
H09/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H16/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H24/03
1 Liga
85.9Avg total
44.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.778.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.279.9+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.276.9-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.885.9+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.888.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.043.576.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (10)35.439.074.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.137.981.0+5.161%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H31/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/02
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H10/02
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A24/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A09/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H25/03
1 Liga
85.7Avg total
41.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.279.1+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.677.9+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.080.5+0.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.485.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.288.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.637.972.5-3.330%-
vs Similar (12)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker (8)46.033.879.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.3
56.9%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.5
36.4%
32.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
69.4%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.1
23.9%
32.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.6
69.0%
69.4%17.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WWWWLLLWLW
Pelplin
LLLLWWLLLW
#6
League position
#11
+7.0
Net rating
-9.7
109.4
Offensive rating
99.2
102.4
Defensive rating
108.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
45.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.4%
3-point %
23.9%
65.3%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 99.2Defence102.4 · 108.8Shooting55.8% · 45.8%3-point %36.4% · 23.9%Ball care18.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Starogard Gdanski wins
1
Pelplin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HSlask Wroclaw II99-70
16/03/24HBydgoszcz82-70
09/03/24HAWF Katowice117-92
03/03/24AGornik Walbrzych87-85
28/02/24APoznan76-85
24/02/24HKrosno77-81
17/02/24AGKS Tychy77-83
11/02/24ASokol Miedzychod92-84
07/02/24HWKK Wroclaw68-78
26/01/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl93-87
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HSlask Wroclaw II81-93
22/03/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg85-100
17/03/24HPoli. Opolska67-88
09/03/24AHydroTruck Radom75-89
02/03/24HMKKS Koszalin94-85
24/02/24AAlstom Krakow106-72
10/02/24HAWF Katowice85-86 OT
03/02/24AGornik Walbrzych56-84
31/01/24HKrosno68-75
27/01/24AGKS Tychy87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%69%53%
Points / game81.783.979.4
Allowed / game75.774.676.9
Point differential+6.0+9.3+2.5
Avg total157.5158.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%50%53%
Points / game81.179.183.2
Allowed / game80.478.682.3
Point differential+0.6+0.4+0.9
Avg total161.5157.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %16%12%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych3224875%82.571.1+11.4
2 Krosno3224875%84.377.0+7.3
3 Slask Wroclaw II3223972%89.388.2+1.1
4 Bydgoszcz32221069%80.271.8+8.3
5 Poli. Opolska32221069%86.981.4+5.4
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg32201262%84.781.9+2.8
7 Starogard Gdanski31191261%81.775.7+6.0
8 GKS Tychy32191359%82.680.7+1.9
9 HydroTruck Radom32181456%80.581.4-0.9
10 Pelplin31161552%81.180.4+0.6
11 Poznan32161650%84.581.3+3.2
12 MKKS Koszalin32141844%81.785.0-3.3
13 Polonia Warszawa32112134%79.283.2-4.0
14 WKK Wroclaw32102231%78.883.8-5.0
15 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl3292328%80.284.3-4.1
16 Alstom Krakow3282425%78.087.1-9.1
17 Sokol Miedzychod3272522%80.791.6-10.9
18 AWF Katowice3252716%77.387.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski3713182795
Pelplin1619111965
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