PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Inowroclaw vs Spojnia Stargard Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 82-83
Projected total 165.6
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.3
Vs
46%
54%
■ INOW 46%■ SPOJ 54%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game86.2
Poland1 LigaRound 10· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2026-27
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Spojnia Stargard
20 Nov 2026
INOW v SPOJ
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
INOW89
SPOJ92
12 Feb 2017
INOW65
SPOJ92
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The 1 Liga clash on 20 November 2026 between Inowroclaw and Spojnia Stargard is a true toss-up, with the model giving Spojnia Stargard a 54% edge over Inowroclaw's 46%. Inowroclaw, 6-3 this season, averages 80.2 points and concedes 78.3, sits fourth in the standings and is unbeaten at home with a 4-0 record, 79.8 points for and 73.0 against; their last five games saw three wins and two losses, including a 84-78 victory over Krosno and an 80-76 win at home against Poli. Opolska, but a 75-83 loss away to Poznan. Spojnia Stargard, 7-2 overall, averages 90.7 points and allows 86.2, sits second, and on the road is 3-2, 86.6 points for and 88.0 against; their last five also three wins, two losses, highlighted by an 85-82 win over Kotwica Kolobrzeg and a 105-96 win over LKS Lodz. Historically, Spojnia has won all four previous meetings, most recently 81-67 on 15 April 2026. Pythia projects a 82-83 score for a 165.6-point game, with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw win
45.7%fair 2.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard win
54.3%fair 1.84
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 73
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
71avg 73
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 73
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 73
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 73
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
64avg 73
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
68avg 73
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 73
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
22-27
24-18
20-11
19-24
20-20
27-21
13-32
17-23
21-13
20-26
16-15
13-16
16-24
14-13
15-25
30-21
21-23
25-16
10-19
24-18
17-16
25-25
20-20
22-17
157.5Avg total
78.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.278.3158.6+1.967%
Season at home (4)79.873.0152.8+6.8100%
Season away (5)80.682.6163.2-2.040%
Last 10 (10)78.978.6157.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.081.4160.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.276.8154.1+0.438%
vs Weaker (7)81.477.3158.7+4.171%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 79
H23/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
83avg 79
A19/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 79
H26/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
94avg 79
A04/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
105-79
105
79
+26
108avg 79
H10/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 79
A18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 79
A24/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 79
H31/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A07/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
28-26
19-13
15-15
19-14
18-28
20-21
26-18
21-12
23-22
20-19
24-26
17-31
26-18
27-13
29-32
27-24
24-24
32-11
22-20
13-22
20-16
23-18
21-16
21-34
22-20
25-25
24-20
24-24
31-26
22-22
28-24
14-26
25-22
14-24
29-22
19-24
31-18
17-23
18-17
174.9Avg total
89.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.786.2176.9+4.478%
Season at home (4)95.884.0179.8+11.8100%
Season away (5)86.688.0174.6-1.460%
Last 10 (10)89.485.5174.9+3.970%
Last 5 (5)88.288.6176.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.0101.0175.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.682.9170.5+4.771%
vs Weaker (10)89.277.1166.3+12.190%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
51.6%
Under 164.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
39.7%
Under 169.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
28.9%
Under 174.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Inowroclaw total 82.5
Over 82.5
48.3%
Under 82.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inowroclaw total 86.5
Over 86.5
33.5%
Under 86.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inowroclaw total 90.5
Over 90.5
21.0%
Under 90.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spojnia Stargard total 79.5
Over 79.5
64.4%
Under 79.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spojnia Stargard total 83.5
Over 83.5
49.3%
Under 83.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spojnia Stargard total 87.5
Over 87.5
34.3%
Under 87.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Inowroclaw -3
INOW -3
36.7%
SPOJ +3
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
INOW
No market prices yet.
SPOJ
No market prices yet.
Spread Inowroclaw 0
INOW 0
45.7%
SPOJ 0
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
INOW
No market prices yet.
SPOJ
No market prices yet.
Spread Inowroclaw +3
INOW +3
54.9%
SPOJ -3
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
INOW
No market prices yet.
SPOJ
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
InowroclawSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/11
1 Liga
77.0Avg total
39.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.479.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.739.481.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.577.1-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.877.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.741.679.3-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.137.477.5+2.754%-
vs Weaker (7)41.140.181.3+1.071%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/09
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A04/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A24/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H31/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A07/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H14/11
1 Liga
89.5Avg total
43.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.183.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.084.1+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.282.8-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.689.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.490.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.052.789.7-15.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.241.483.5+0.841%-
vs Weaker (10)41.340.281.5+1.160%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.8%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.3%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.214.9
64.2%
70.8%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.0
57.2%
53.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.818.7
72.5%
70.8%18.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
WWLWLWLWWL
Spojnia Stargard
WLWLWWWWWL
#4
League position
#2
-1.0
Net rating
-0.3
87.9
Offensive rating
97.6
89.0
Defensive rating
97.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.3%
3-point %
31.5%
60.5%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 97.6Defence89.0 · 97.9Shooting48.1% · 53.4%3-point %31.3% · 31.5%Ball care14.5% · 15.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Inowroclaw wins
4
Spojnia Stargard wins
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKrosno84-78
08/11/26HPoli. Opolska80-76
31/10/26APoznan75-83
24/10/26HBytom79-74 OT
17/10/26AGKS Tychy77-96
11/10/26HStarogard Gdanski85-80
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg85-82
07/11/26ALancut82-94
31/10/26HLKS Lodz105-96
24/10/26APelplin92-99
18/10/26AKrosno77-72
10/10/26HPoli. Opolska105-79
04/10/26APoznan99-94
26/09/26HBytom88-79
19/09/26AGKS Tychy83-81
23/05/26HStarogard Gdanski78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game80.279.880.6
Allowed / game78.373.082.6
Point differential+1.9+6.8-2.0
Avg total158.6152.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Spojnia Stargard
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game90.795.886.6
Allowed / game86.284.088.0
Point differential+4.4+11.8-1.4
Avg total176.9179.8174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
8 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.