PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iowa vs Eastern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Projected 86-59
Projected total 145.1
Final 91-47
41-20 50-27
Position#45
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game54.0
Iowa 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ IOWA 99%■ EAST 1%
Pythia win probability
Eastern Illinois
USA
Position#413
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game91.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Iowa v Eastern Illinois
06 Nov 2026
IOWA91
EAST47
21 Dec 2022
IOWA83
EAST92
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Iowa hosts Eastern Illinois on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Iowa as the clear favourite with a 99% chance of winning, a projection of 86-59 and a 145.1 total that sits comfortably above the 137.0 line with a 70% over probability; the model also gives a 0% chance of overtime. Iowa has a 1-0 record, 76.0 points per game and 54.0 allowed per game, and its sole home game was a 76-54 win over Lipscomb on 3 November 2026, leaving a 4-1 record in the last five games. Eastern Illinois is 0-1, 57.0 points per game and 91.0 allowed per game, and its only road game was a 57-91 loss to Indiana on 2 November 2026, with a 2-3 record in the last five games. The teams have met once, with Eastern Illinois winning 92-83 on 21 December 2022.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winWon
98.6%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Illinois winLost
1.4%fair 69.88
Best odds100.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A28/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#292
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
31-37
30-30
38-41
26-30
44-40
25-26
50-38
30-34
39-38
32-25
35-36
33-31
40-41
43-46
34-25
32-28
27-43
38-29
38-25
139.9Avg total
70.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.054.0130.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)76.054.0130.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.869.1139.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)70.465.8136.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.271.0137.2-4.820%
vs Similar (11)69.768.7138.5+1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.664.0142.6+14.679%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
50-77
50
77
-27
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#58
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-19
29-35
31-39
39-40
34-30
44-42
28-29
42-44
20-36
48-34
36-29
35-38
26-35
24-42
40-31
25-34
22-27
41-39
23-44
34-47
138.4Avg total
66.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)57.091.0148.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)57.091.0148.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)66.472.0138.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)63.674.4138.0-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.576.7141.2-12.225%
vs Similar (9)66.266.2132.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (3)79.063.3142.3+15.767%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 132.5Actual: Over 132.5
Over 132.5
78.5%
@ 1.57+17.8pp
Under 132.5
21.5%
@ 2.45-17.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 137.5 · main lineActual: Over 137.5
Over 137.5
68.3%
@ 2.12+18.3pp
Under 137.5
31.7%
@ 1.90-18.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Be
1.99
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.64
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
56.5%
@ 3.15+23.5pp
Under 142.5
43.5%
@ 1.45-23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.32

📊 3. Team Totals

Iowa total 80.5Actual: Iowa over 80.5
Over 80.5
71.1%
Under 80.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iowa total 84.5 · main lineActual: Iowa over 84.5
Over 84.5
56.0%
@ 1.88+6.0pp
Under 84.5
44.0%
@ 1.91-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Iowa total 88.5Actual: Iowa over 88.5
Over 88.5
39.9%
@ 2.10-3.3pp
Under 88.5
60.1%
@ 1.60+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.60
Eastern Illinois total 46.5Actual: Eastern Illinois over 46.5
Over 46.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 46.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.62
Eastern Illinois total 51 · main lineActual: Eastern Illinois under 51
Over 51
80.2%
@ 1.87+30.5pp
Under 51
19.8%
@ 1.85-30.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Eastern Illinois total 55Actual: Eastern Illinois under 55
Over 55
66.7%
Under 55
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Iowa -38Actual: Iowa -38
IOWA -38
no forecast
@ 2.22
EAST +38
no forecast
@ 1.58
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
Bet365
2.22
EAST
Bet365
1.58
Spread Iowa -35 · main lineActual: Iowa -35
IOWA -35
no forecast
@ 1.95
EAST +35
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.83
EAST
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Spread Iowa -32Actual: Iowa -32
IOWA -32
no forecast
@ 1.58
EAST +32
no forecast
@ 2.22
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
Bet365
1.58
EAST
Bet365
2.22

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -3.4-3.4
IowaEastern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#292
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64
Last 30 (30)34.930.265.1+4.763%40%
Last 30 at home (15)35.727.563.2+8.167%33%
Last 30 away (15)34.132.967.1+1.260%47%
Last 10 (10)32.731.364.0+1.450%30%
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.429.860.2+0.660%0%
vs Similar (11)34.531.265.6+3.364%36%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.929.666.5+7.264%57%
This opponent (Eastern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Indiana
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A03/11
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64
Last 30 (30)32.832.765.5+0.147%60%
Last 30 at home (14)34.930.665.5+4.457%50%
Last 30 away (16)30.934.665.5-3.638%69%
Last 10 (10)29.131.961.0-2.840%40%
Last 5 (5)29.433.262.6-3.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.136.168.2-3.938%75%
vs Similar (9)30.030.360.3-0.344%33%
vs Weaker (3)37.028.365.3+8.767%67%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Iowa win
IOWA win
no forecast
@ 1.01
EAST win
no forecast
@ 16.00
1st half Spread Iowa -19.5 · main lineActual: Iowa -19.5
IOWA -19.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
EAST +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 64 · main lineActual: Under 64
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Iowa 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Iowa under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Eastern Illinois 1st half total 22 · main lineActual: Eastern Illinois under 22
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: IOWA + total 63.5
IOWA & over
no forecast
@ 1.86
IOWA & under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: Draw + total 63.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 51.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half: EAST + total 63.5
EAST & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
EAST & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Iowa -20.5Actual: Iowa -20.5
IOWA -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
EAST +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Spread Iowa -18.5Actual: Iowa -18.5
IOWA -18.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
EAST +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Spread Iowa -21.5Actual: Eastern Illinois +21.5
IOWA -21.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
EAST +21.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Iowa -17.5Actual: Iowa -17.5
IOWA -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
EAST +17.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 60.5Actual: Over 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Iowa (regulation)
IOWA
no forecast
@ 1.02
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
EAST
no forecast
@ 23.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
IOWA win + total 137.5
🔒 Pro
EAST win + total 137.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: IOWA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: EAST leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Eastern Illinois over 50.580.8%1.89
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
Bet365
1.86		+33.4ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 53.571.5%2.27
Betano
2.27		----+31.7ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 51.577.9%1.99
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
1.95		---+31.6ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 52.574.8%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+31.2ppLost
Eastern Illinois over 5180.2%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85		---+30.5ppLost
Over 13574.1%1.86
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.80		-+24.5ppWon
Over 13672.0%1.96
Pinnacle
1.99
Bet365
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.94
1xBet
1.94		-+24.1ppWon
Over 134.574.6%1.82
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.80		+23.4ppWon
Over 13476.1%1.73
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.71		---+22.2ppWon
Over 13378.0%1.64
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.62		---+21.0ppWon
Over 13279.9%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+20.1ppWon
Over 133.576.6%1.64
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.55		--+18.9ppWon
Over 13181.6%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+18.2ppWon
Over 132.578.5%1.52
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.47		---+17.8ppWon
Over 136.570.5%1.93
Bet365
2.01
WilliamHill
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathon Bet
1.98
Betano
1.93		+17.7ppWon
Over 135.572.6%1.87
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90		+17.4ppWon
Over 13083.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+17.2ppWon
Over 12984.8%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+16.7ppWon
Over 131.580.2%1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.42		---+16.6ppWon
Over 129.583.5%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+16.5ppWon
Over 130.581.9%1.41
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.38		---+16.2ppWon
Over 12886.2%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+15.3ppWon
Over 128.585.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+15.0ppWon
Over 127.586.4%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+14.1ppWon
Over 126.587.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+11.6ppWon
Iowa (regulation)98.3%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+6.6ppWon
Iowa under 91.571.2%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+5.1ppWon
Iowa over 75.585.6%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+5.0ppWon
Iowa over 76.583.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.6ppWon
Iowa under 95.583.2%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+0.9ppWon
Iowa -14.585.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----7.8ppWon
Under 156.576.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----14.7ppWon
Iowa -19.574.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----15.2ppWon
Under 154.572.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----18.7ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa wins
1
Eastern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Iowa v Eastern Illinois83-92
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HLipscomb76-54
28/03/26AIllinois59-71
26/03/26ANebraska77-71
22/03/26AFlorida73-72
20/03/26AClemson67-61
12/03/26AOhio State69-72
11/03/26HMaryland75-64
08/03/26ANebraska75-84 OT
06/03/26HMichigan68-71
28/02/26APenn State69-71
Eastern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AIndiana57-91
06/03/26AUT Martin63-66
05/03/26ASiu Edwardsville77-71 OT
28/02/26ASiu Edwardsville50-77
27/02/26ALindenwood71-67
21/02/26HSouthern Indiana68-70
20/02/26HMorehead State70-73
14/02/26HUALR78-72
11/02/26AWestern Illinois70-79
07/02/26ATennessee Tech60-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total130.0130.0-
Over 137.50%0%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Eastern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game57.0-57.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over 137.5100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois220100%116.057.5+58.5
2 Nebraska110100%106.064.0+42.0
3 Michigan State220100%93.560.0+33.5
4 USC110100%95.063.0+32.0
5 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
6 Indiana220100%91.563.0+28.5
7 Rutgers110100%81.054.0+27.0
8 Minnesota220100%80.556.0+24.5
9 Oregon220100%92.570.0+22.5
10 Iowa110100%76.054.0+22.0
11 Penn State220100%97.075.0+22.0
12 Northwestern220100%82.062.5+19.5
13 Washington110100%90.076.0+14.0
14 UCLA110100%84.075.0+9.0
15 Wisconsin220100%74.066.0+8.0
16 Ohio State21150%86.079.5+6.5
17 Michigan21150%80.576.5+4.0
18 Purdue21150%79.077.5+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville220100%88.050.0+38.0
2 Southeast Missouri State220100%88.072.0+16.0
3 Southern Indiana21150%83.057.0+26.0
4 Tennessee State21150%95.577.5+18.0
5 Lindenwood21150%89.572.0+17.5
6 Morehead State21150%86.071.5+14.5
7 Tennessee Tech21150%102.588.0+14.5
8 UT Martin1010%98.0100.0-2.0
9 UALR1010%72.082.0-10.0
10 Western Illinois1010%58.080.0-22.0
11 Eastern Illinois1010%57.091.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa415091
Eastern Illinois202747
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.