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Iowa vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-75
24-35 45-40
Position#81
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game60.8
Iowa
USA
vs
Illinois 🏆
USA
Position#35
Record12-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa v Illinois
11 Jan 2026
IOWA69
ILLI75
10 Mar 2024
IOWA61
ILLI73
04 Feb 2023
IOWA81
ILLI79
06 Dec 2021
IOWA83
ILLI87
02 Feb 2020
IOWA72
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A03/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H14/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
94-39
94
39
+55
H20/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
43-38
30-23
29-23
21-35
31-36
44-30
39-34
33-25
29-41
52-16
39-35
43-21
51-18
47-30
43-32
40-22
34-39
24-31
43-39
134.5Avg total
74.6Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.860.8140.6+19.080%
Season at home (11)87.059.9146.9+27.1100%
Season away (4)60.063.2123.2-3.225%
Last 10 (10)74.659.9134.5+14.770%
Last 5 (5)83.256.6139.8+26.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.387.0161.3-12.70%
vs Similar (11)73.369.4142.6+3.964%
vs Weaker (12)83.462.5145.9+20.983%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
54-19
44-39
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
43-16
38-39
147.7Avg total
82.4Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.767.3154.1+19.480%
Season at home (12)88.866.9155.7+21.875%
Season away (3)78.769.0147.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.465.3147.7+17.180%
Last 5 (5)83.061.2144.2+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar (10)79.279.8159.0-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.369.1157.4+19.283%
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.4+5.4
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.4+5.4
IowaIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A03/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H20/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
36.5Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.069.7+5.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.829.970.7+10.872%-
Last 30 away (12)33.035.168.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.526.462.9+10.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.224.065.2+17.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.737.376.0+1.457%-
vs Similar (11)34.733.067.7+1.745%-
vs Weaker (12)39.828.067.8+11.867%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
41.5Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.534.975.4+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.633.175.8+9.575%-
Last 30 away (10)36.138.574.6-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.529.871.3+11.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.425.867.2+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.573.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.631.274.8+12.483%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iowa wins
9
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Illinois v Iowa106-94
26/02/25Illinois v Iowa81-61
10/03/24Iowa v Illinois61-73
24/02/24Illinois v Iowa95-85
04/02/23Iowa v Illinois81-79
07/03/22Illinois v Iowa74-72
07/12/21Iowa v Illinois83-87
13/03/21Illinois v Iowa82-71
30/01/21Illinois v Iowa80-75
08/03/20Illinois v Iowa78-76
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AMinnesota67-70
03/01/26HUCLA74-61
29/12/25HUMass Lowell90-62
20/12/25HBucknell94-39
14/12/25HWestern Michigan91-51
12/12/25AIowa State62-66
06/12/25HMaryland83-64
03/12/25AMichigan State52-71
27/11/25AGrand Canyon59-46
26/11/25HOle Miss74-69
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73
22/11/25HLIU Sharks98-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %80%100%25%
Points / game79.887.060.0
Allowed / game60.859.963.2
Point differential+19.0+27.1-3.2
Avg total140.6146.9123.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%91%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game86.788.878.7
Allowed / game67.366.969.0
Point differential+19.4+21.8+9.7
Avg total154.1155.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska16160100%81.266.4+14.8
2 Purdue1615194%86.468.1+18.4
3 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 USC1613381%84.376.5+7.8
6 Illinois1512380%86.767.3+19.4
7 Iowa1512380%79.860.8+19.0
8 Indiana1612475%84.568.0+16.5
9 Ohio State1511473%83.771.3+12.4
10 UCLA1611569%78.969.1+9.8
11 Wisconsin1611569%83.175.0+8.1
12 Minnesota1610662%73.066.1+6.9
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State169756%78.175.4+2.8
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
17 Rutgers168850%69.373.1-3.8
18 Maryland167944%73.477.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa244569
Illinois354075
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